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Virtus Bologna vs Barcelona Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#16
Record4-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game90.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game87.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· PalaDozza
European cup2026
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Barcelona
15 Jan 2027
VIR v BAR
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
VIR85
BAR80
20 Dec 2024
VIR86
BAR81
06 Dec 2023
VIR80
BAR75
09 Feb 2023
VIR75
BAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 82
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 82
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 82
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 82
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 82
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#8
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
20-28
23-32
25-16
23-27
181.8Avg total
90.2Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.190.7176.8-4.636%
Season at home (5)86.491.8178.2-5.440%
Season away (6)85.889.8175.7-4.033%
Last 10 (10)90.291.6181.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)91.096.0187.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
vs Similar (6)94.294.7188.8-0.550%
vs Weaker (19)92.584.7177.3+7.868%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#12
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 82
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 82
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#7
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 82
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#8
W
92-89
92
89
+3
84avg 82
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
no box
H08/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
108-83
108
83
+25
no box
H15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
19-21
27-25
27-18
20-26
23-20
16-20
30-30
30-21
17-17
15-16
11-24
33-17
25-18
26-22
22-22
35-21
181.1Avg total
93.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.687.4177.0+2.373%
Season at home (5)91.691.2182.8+0.460%
Season away (6)88.084.2172.2+3.883%
Last 10 (10)93.188.0181.1+5.190%
Last 5 (5)93.685.4179.0+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)88.096.8184.8-8.844%
vs Similar (10)91.884.9176.7+6.970%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)95.887.5183.4+8.382%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
Virtus BolognaBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#8
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A13/11
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
44.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.843.088.8+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.242.490.6+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.943.786.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.287.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.493.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (6)45.547.893.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker (19)47.241.788.9+5.474%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#8
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/11
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#13
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H15/11
ACB
86.1Avg total
43.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.685.4+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.442.084.4+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)43.243.486.6-0.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.686.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.685.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.344.783.0-6.311%-
vs Similar (10)43.942.486.3+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.441.286.5+4.255%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
77.1%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.9
58.4%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
77.1%14.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLLLLWLWW
Barcelona
WWWWWWWWWL
#16
League position
#4
+3.7
Net rating
+0.7
102.2
Offensive rating
105.6
98.4
Defensive rating
104.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
58.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.3%
3-point %
39.5%
57.7%
Assist %
51.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 105.6Defence98.4 · 104.9Shooting54.8% · 58.8%3-point %36.3% · 39.5%Ball care14.0% · 15.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virtus Bologna wins
4
Barcelona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AAnadolu Efes91-103
09/11/26HVerona95-81
06/11/26HDubai75-93
02/11/26HTrieste93-100
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HObradoiro CAB108-83
13/11/26APanathinaikos76-74
08/11/26HBreogan99-91
05/11/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv93-90
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game86.186.485.8
Allowed / game90.791.889.8
Point differential-4.6-5.4-4.0
Avg total176.8178.2175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game89.691.688.0
Allowed / game87.491.284.2
Point differential+2.3+0.4+3.8
Avg total177.0182.8172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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