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Virtus Bologna vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-81
23-15 12-19 30-31 21-16
Position#17
Record3-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#6
Record9-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game84.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· Segafredo Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Barcelona
15 Jan 2027
VIR v BAR
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
VIR85
BAR80
20 Dec 2024
VIR86
BAR81
06 Dec 2023
VIR80
BAR75
09 Feb 2023
VIR75
BAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 79
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 79
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 79
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 79
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
78avg 79
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 79
H06/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
82-81
82
81
+1
76avg 79
A12/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
64avg 79
H15/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
72avg 79
A18/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
16-23
37-23
21-21
22-23
16-14
23-19
21-30
24-21
14-23
23-25
17-12
19-27
32-19
21-18
25-34
18-26
20-22
23-20
17-10
19-18
19-26
25-13
24-37
24-22
29-20
13-11
16-20
21-21
17-17
18-19
26-24
17-14
15-26
23-14
15-24
17-29
29-14
10-21
21-23
169.1Avg total
83.8Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.685.4166.0-4.819%
Season at home (8)79.682.9162.5-3.212%
Season away (8)81.687.9169.5-6.225%
Last 10 (10)83.885.3169.1-1.530%
Last 5 (5)79.682.6162.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.886.0164.8-7.211%
vs Similar (11)84.585.8170.4-1.336%
vs Weaker (9)85.782.2167.9+3.467%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 81
H17/11
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
78-100
78
100
-22
74avg 81
A22/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
72avg 81
H28/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
72-85
72
85
-13
63avg 81
A01/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
L
89-90
89
90
-1
84avg 81
A03/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
88-86
88
86
+2
86avg 81
A05/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 81
H08/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
81-94
81
94
-13
80avg 81
H13/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
95-108
95
108
-13
85avg 81
A15/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
90-63
90
63
+27
90avg 81
H17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
21-19
21-29
31-32
21-28
17-20
20-29
20-23
17-22
21-12
14-20
22-20
22-22
16-29
15-19
19-15
19-25
26-20
24-18
20-27
22-16
15-28
27-22
24-20
23-20
22-20
20-18
21-21
24-16
19-24
17-36
21-18
18-16
29-25
17-33
31-34
20-12
24-25
21-16
25-10
177.2Avg total
87.1Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.384.9171.2+1.456%
Season at home (8)87.981.5169.4+6.462%
Season away (8)84.888.2173.0-3.550%
Last 10 (10)87.190.1177.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)88.086.0174.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.399.3196.7-2.033%
vs Similar (14)87.987.6175.5+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.882.2167.9+3.658%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Virtus BolognaBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A12/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A18/12
Euroleague
83.2Avg total
40.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.584.3-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.542.281.6-2.731%-
Last 30 away (17)43.642.786.4+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.383.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.482.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.842.983.7-2.133%-
vs Similar (11)42.543.085.5-0.545%-
vs Weaker (9)41.042.383.3-1.333%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H17/11
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H28/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A01/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H08/12
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H13/12
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A15/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H17/12
Euroleague
84.3Avg total
42.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.183.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.238.682.8+5.679%-
Last 30 away (16)41.443.484.8-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.884.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.483.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.043.788.7+1.333%-
vs Similar (14)43.842.986.7+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.938.479.3+2.558%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.8
55.3%
54.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.6
30.8%
36.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.316.4
73.5%
78.0%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.3
54.4%
54.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.1
37.1%
36.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.114.2
78.5%
78.0%14.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLWWLLLLLW
Barcelona
WLLWWLLLLW
#17
League position
#6
-2.0
Net rating
-3.9
111.6
Offensive rating
111.0
113.6
Defensive rating
114.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.9%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.8%
3-point %
37.1%
66.3%
Assist %
62.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 111.0Defence113.6 · 114.9Shooting51.8% · 54.9%3-point %30.8% · 37.1%Ball care14.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds27.7% · 25.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Barcelona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AOlympiacos77-87
15/12/24HTrieste70-78
12/12/24ABaskonia82-81
08/12/24AOlimpia Milano82-73
06/12/24HCrvena zvezda87-94
04/12/24HAlba Berlin88-90 OT
01/12/24ABrescia97-98
28/11/24AParis78-81
20/11/24HFenerbahce82-86
17/11/24HSassari95-85
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HFenerbahce90-63
15/12/24ABasket Zaragoza95-108
13/12/24HOlimpia Milano81-94
08/12/24HMurcia86-79
05/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv88-86
03/12/24APanathinaikos89-90
01/12/24AManresa72-85
28/11/24HReal Madrid90-97 OT
22/11/24ABayern78-100
17/11/24HValencia102-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL19%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%12%25%
Points / game80.679.681.6
Allowed / game85.482.987.9
Point differential-4.8-3.2-6.2
Avg total166.0162.5169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)0% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Barcelona
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWLLLW62%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game86.387.984.8
Allowed / game84.981.588.2
Point differential+1.4+6.4-3.5
Avg total171.2169.4173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1611569%86.883.6+3.2
2 Monaco1711665%86.381.3+5.0
3 Olympiacos1610662%85.080.9+4.1
4 Bayern1610662%88.787.9+0.8
5 Fenerbahce1610662%77.979.1-1.2
6 Panathinaikos1710759%86.382.4+3.9
7 Anadolu Efes1710759%85.081.6+3.4
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1710759%76.975.0+1.9
9 Barcelona169756%86.384.9+1.4
10 Olimpia Milano169756%87.487.6-0.2
11 Crvena zvezda168850%83.682.4+1.1
12 Real Madrid178947%84.782.6+2.1
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne178947%82.384.5-2.2
14 Partizan1771041%81.281.2-0.1
15 Baskonia1771041%78.281.5-3.3
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1641225%84.688.6-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna1631319%80.685.4-4.8
18 Alba Berlin1631319%79.691.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2312302186
Barcelona1519311681
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