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Virtus Bologna vs Crvena zvezda Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 31 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:30
Scheduled
Position#16
Record4-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game90.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 35· PalaDozza
European cup2026
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Crvena zvezda
31 Mar 2027
VIR v CZV
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
VIR93
CZV102
06 Dec 2024
VIR87
CZV94
20 Oct 2023
VIR85
CZV79
31 Jan 2023
VIR84
CZV72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 84
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 84
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 84
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 84
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 84
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#8
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
20-28
23-32
25-16
23-27
24-13
15-19
31-16
18-27
181.7Avg total
90.4Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.190.7176.8-4.636%
Season at home (5)86.491.8178.2-5.440%
Season away (6)85.889.8175.7-4.033%
Last 10 (10)90.491.3181.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)88.490.4178.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
vs Similar (6)94.294.7188.8-0.550%
vs Weaker (19)92.284.4176.6+7.768%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
97-78
97
78
+19
86avg 84
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
70avg 84
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 84
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
100-78
100
78
+22
104avg 84
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
103avg 84
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
100-82
100
82
+18
105avg 84
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
62-57
62
57
+5
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
84-105
84
105
-21
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
no box
H15/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
17-24
30-20
23-16
21-31
17-21
12-13
25-10
20-36
13-14
24-10
24-20
34-15
21-15
23-25
22-23
19-15
29-16
31-23
24-19
28-18
27-26
22-17
23-21
19-11
21-11
11-19
11-16
29-28
22-18
21-14
19-20
20-38
21-18
18-26
25-23
26-24
22-19
19-21
27-19
169.5Avg total
89.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.377.7161.0+5.564%
Season at home (6)87.878.0165.8+9.867%
Season away (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 10 (10)89.480.1169.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)86.281.4167.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0103.0185.0-21.00%
vs Similar (14)84.385.9170.2-1.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.778.6169.3+12.193%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
Virtus BolognaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#8
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A13/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A15/11
Lega A
86.7Avg total
43.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.687.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.942.390.3+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.985.6-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.086.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (6)45.547.893.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker (19)46.441.287.6+5.374%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H15/11
ABA League
86.9Avg total
45.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.387.9+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.642.089.6+5.687%-
Last 30 away (15)41.544.786.1-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.686.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.289.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.056.0100.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)43.546.089.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.540.085.5+5.580%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
77.1%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.922.2
61.8%
55.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
77.1%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWLLLLWLW
Crvena zvezda
WLWWWWWWLW
#16
League position
#6
+3.7
Net rating
+14.0
102.2
Offensive rating
106.5
98.4
Defensive rating
92.5
54.8%
Effective FG%
59.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.3%
3-point %
37.9%
57.7%
Assist %
71.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 106.5Defence98.4 · 92.5Shooting54.8% · 59.7%3-point %36.3% · 37.9%Ball care14.0% · 13.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virtus Bologna wins
6
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ATrento88-75
13/11/26AAnadolu Efes91-103
09/11/26HVerona95-81
06/11/26HDubai75-93
02/11/26HTrieste93-100
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCedevita Olimpija94-83
12/11/26AReal Madrid84-105
09/11/26HSlovan Bratislava91-80
06/11/26AOlympiacos62-57
01/11/26HSiroki Brijeg100-82
29/10/26HBayern103-73
27/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-78
24/10/26AIgokea81-80
22/10/26APartizan82-85 OT
18/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto97-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game86.186.485.8
Allowed / game90.791.889.8
Point differential-4.6-5.4-4.0
Avg total176.8178.2175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game83.387.877.8
Allowed / game77.778.077.4
Point differential+5.5+9.8+0.4
Avg total161.0165.8155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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