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Virtus Bologna vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-94
19-18 19-26 25-13 24-37
Position#17
Record2-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#10
Record6-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Segafredo Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Crvena zvezda
31 Mar 2027
VIR v CZV
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
VIR93
CZV102
06 Dec 2024
VIR87
CZV94
20 Oct 2023
VIR85
CZV79
31 Jan 2023
VIR84
CZV72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
85-81
85
81
+4
88avg 79
H06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 79
H08/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
95-104
95
104
-9
99avg 79
A10/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
76avg 79
A12/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 79
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 79
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 79
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 79
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
78avg 79
H04/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
32-22
25-18
16-23
25-17
20-22
15-16
24-22
22-24
22-27
30-25
21-28
25-28
24-25
18-27
19-18
18-19
25-27
15-14
19-22
21-18
16-23
37-23
21-21
22-23
16-14
23-19
21-30
24-21
14-23
23-25
17-12
19-27
32-19
21-18
25-34
18-26
20-22
23-20
17-10
174.9Avg total
86.7Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.384.9165.2-4.615%
Season at home (7)78.681.3159.9-2.714%
Season away (6)82.389.2171.5-6.817%
Last 10 (10)86.788.2174.9-1.530%
Last 5 (5)88.088.0176.0+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.984.7162.6-6.914%
vs Similar (12)82.685.1167.7-2.525%
vs Weaker (10)87.082.1169.1+4.970%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
95avg 81
H04/11
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
92-71
92
71
+21
89avg 81
H07/11
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 81
A10/11
ABA League
Monaco
#4
W
98-90
98
90
+8
94avg 81
A12/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
74-77
74
77
-3
65avg 81
A14/11
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
105-85
105
85
+20
103avg 81
H17/11
ABA League
Partizan
#12
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 81
H21/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
101-77
101
77
+24
108avg 81
H29/11
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 81
A01/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
86-101
86
101
-15
80avg 81
A04/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
29-25
26-19
15-22
23-14
18-18
22-18
29-21
16-23
22-21
24-19
19-13
26-26
22-28
26-20
24-16
20-24
12-19
19-15
23-19
24-14
31-26
28-18
22-27
21-19
18-26
16-18
22-26
25-19
25-23
29-10
22-25
18-28
25-18
32-26
19-15
15-23
27-30
23-26
21-22
173.9Avg total
90.0Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.882.3166.1+1.546%
Season at home (6)86.581.2167.7+5.350%
Season away (7)81.483.3164.7-1.943%
Last 10 (10)90.083.9173.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)92.687.8180.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.088.5169.5-7.50%
vs Similar (13)83.283.2166.4+0.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.874.0158.8+10.887%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Virtus BolognaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/11
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A12/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H04/12
Euroleague
87.2Avg total
42.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.783.8+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.140.079.1-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)44.443.187.5+1.447%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.587.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.442.783.1-2.329%-
vs Similar (12)40.441.281.7-0.850%-
vs Weaker (10)44.342.486.7+1.950%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H04/11
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/11
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A10/11
ABA League
Monaco
#4
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A14/11
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H17/11
ABA League
Partizan
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H21/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H29/11
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A01/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A04/12
Euroleague
88.3Avg total
43.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.241.984.1+0.252%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.240.286.3+6.085%-
Last 30 away (16)38.943.482.3-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)43.944.488.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.291.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.539.577.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (13)40.243.483.6-3.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.640.985.6+3.764%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.2
57.2%
54.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.6
35.1%
36.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.715.9
70.0%
78.0%15.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.1
56.1%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.3
38.1%
36.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.9
77.2%
78.0%15.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLLLWLLLWW
Crvena zvezda
LWWLWLWWWW
#17
League position
#10
-1.5
Net rating
+7.5
114.0
Offensive rating
121.4
115.4
Defensive rating
113.9
55.5%
Effective FG%
56.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.1%
3-point %
38.1%
67.5%
Assist %
73.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 121.4Defence115.4 · 113.9Shooting55.5% · 56.6%3-point %35.1% · 38.1%Ball care15.6% · 15.5%Off. rebounds27.4% · 36.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HAlba Berlin88-90 OT
01/12/24ABrescia97-98
28/11/24AParis78-81
20/11/24HFenerbahce82-86
17/11/24HSassari95-85
15/11/24HPanathinaikos77-82
12/11/24AReal Madrid86-98
10/11/24AVarese95-104
08/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-77
06/11/24HTortona85-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24AOlimpia Milano86-101
01/12/24ASpartak Subotica94-87
29/11/24HBayern101-77
21/11/24HPartizan77-89
17/11/24HBorac Mozzart105-85
14/11/24ALyon-Villeurbanne74-77
12/11/24AMonaco98-90
10/11/24AMega Basket81-76
07/11/24HAlba Berlin92-71
04/11/24HCedevita Olimpija92-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%14%17%
Points / game80.378.682.3
Allowed / game84.981.389.2
Point differential-4.6-2.7-6.8
Avg total165.2159.9171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL46%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game83.886.581.4
Allowed / game82.381.283.3
Point differential+1.5+5.3-1.9
Avg total166.1167.7164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1411379%86.581.7+4.8
2 Fenerbahce1410471%79.676.9+2.7
3 Olympiacos149564%85.780.8+4.9
4 Monaco149564%85.981.8+4.1
5 Bayern149564%89.187.1+1.9
6 Panathinaikos148657%85.283.1+2.1
7 Zalgiris Kaunas148657%75.674.9+0.7
8 Barcelona148657%86.485.8+0.6
9 Olimpia Milano137654%87.687.2+0.4
10 Anadolu Efes147750%84.184.1+0.0
11 Crvena zvezda136746%83.882.3+1.5
12 Real Madrid146843%83.482.6+0.8
13 Partizan146843%80.980.2+0.7
14 Baskonia146843%77.479.6-2.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne135838%81.384.7-3.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1441029%83.987.4-3.5
17 Alba Berlin1431121%79.991.9-12.1
18 Virtus Bologna1321115%80.384.9-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1919252487
Crvena zvezda1826133794
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