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Crvena zvezda vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-79
21-23 27-19 26-23 20-14
Position#16
Record10-20
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#8
Record17-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31· Beogradska arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Virtus Bologna
24 Nov 2026
CZV v VIR
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
CZV90
VIR89
26 Mar 2025
CZV88
VIR52
22 Mar 2024
CZV94
VIR79
02 Dec 2022
CZV83
VIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 81
H14/02
Korac cup
Cacak 94
#4
W
87-52
87
52
+35
85avg 81
A16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 81
H17/02
Korac cup
Bayern
#15
L
66-74
66
74
-8
53avg 81
A01/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
102-66
102
66
+36
109avg 81
A03/03
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
78avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
110-57
110
57
+53
118avg 81
H10/03
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
75avg 81
H14/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
82-59
82
59
+23
85avg 81
A17/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
76-89
76
89
-13
73avg 81
H20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
23-20
18-19
22-20
15-15
20-8
29-14
23-15
15-18
28-26
25-19
17-16
19-20
8-12
19-21
20-21
21-23
26-13
31-14
24-16
17-25
21-21
22-23
20-29
31-11
25-16
25-17
29-13
21-17
26-14
14-22
19-31
21-14
21-16
20-20
20-9
20-29
21-22
15-19
20-19
158.1Avg total
84.8Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.281.6162.7-0.433%
Season at home (15)81.778.4160.1+3.347%
Season away (15)80.784.7165.4-4.120%
Last 10 (10)84.873.3158.1+11.560%
Last 5 (5)85.677.4163.0+8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.079.8150.8-8.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.281.9165.1+1.345%
vs Weaker (14)87.469.9157.4+17.571%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 80
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
94-67
94
67
+27
96avg 80
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 80
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 80
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 80
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 80
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 80
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 80
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
75avg 80
A19/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
19-24
19-15
24-21
31-21
18-20
19-11
26-15
20-15
17-19
17-19
18-28
18-20
26-12
21-25
22-17
25-27
15-17
22-21
26-28
22-21
24-16
5-20
18-17
24-19
23-18
17-17
20-21
15-23
16-21
21-17
22-28
19-18
17-15
17-17
19-22
22-22
27-21
14-25
18-28
163.0Avg total
81.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.181.5161.6-1.357%
Season at home (15)83.478.8162.2+4.680%
Season away (15)76.984.1161.0-7.333%
Last 10 (10)81.381.7163.0-0.430%
Last 5 (5)78.884.2163.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.380.5150.8-10.217%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.982.2163.1-1.364%
vs Weaker (12)88.375.2163.6+13.167%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
Crvena zvezdaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H14/02
Korac cup
Cacak 94
#4
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/02
Korac cup
Bayern
#15
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A01/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A03/03
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A07/03
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H10/03
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H14/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A17/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H20/03
Euroleague
77.2Avg total
41.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.780.5+5.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.836.882.5+9.071%-
Last 30 away (13)38.939.077.9-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.635.677.2+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.081.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.042.277.2-7.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.937.581.4+6.564%-
vs Weaker (14)44.436.881.1+7.664%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H11/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/02
Italian Cup
Valencia
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
80.4Avg total
41.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.880.1+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.338.478.7+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.239.181.3+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.080.4+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.743.278.8-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.739.480.1+1.455%-
vs Weaker (12)45.036.581.5+8.575%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.022.4
64.0%
53.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.2
31.8%
36.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.314.6
75.6%
77.4%14.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.1
58.4%
53.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.4
34.6%
36.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.513.7
78.3%
77.4%13.7
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
LWLWLWLWWW
Virtus Bologna
LLLWLLWLWL
#16
League position
#8
+16.1
Net rating
+5.8
117.5
Offensive rating
114.3
101.4
Defensive rating
108.5
57.1%
Effective FG%
55.5%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.2%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.8%
3-point %
34.6%
66.7%
Assist %
69.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 114.3Defence101.4 · 108.5Shooting57.1% · 55.5%3-point %31.8% · 34.6%Ball care15.0% · 16.2%Off. rebounds28.7% · 28.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Crvena zvezda wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HPanathinaikos76-89
17/03/24ACibona82-59
14/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv80-84
10/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto110-57
07/03/24AMonaco80-98
03/03/24AMornar Bar102-66
01/03/24ABayern66-74
17/02/24HPartizan85-79
16/02/24ACacak 9487-52
14/02/24HFMP Beograd80-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas81-96
17/03/24APesaro86-87 OT
15/03/24HReal Madrid74-89
10/03/24HOlimpia Milano84-75
07/03/24AOlympiacos69-74
03/03/24ASassari88-93
29/02/24HValencia87-74
15/02/24HReggiana72-81
11/02/24HScafati94-67
09/02/24HMonaco78-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL47%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %33%47%20%
Points / game81.281.780.7
Allowed / game81.678.484.7
Point differential-0.4+3.3-4.1
Avg total162.7160.1165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (9)0% (3)0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL57%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%80%33%
Points / game80.183.476.9
Allowed / game81.578.884.1
Point differential-1.3+4.6-7.3
Avg total161.6162.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3125681%88.580.4+8.1
2 Barcelona30201067%82.778.6+4.0
3 Panathinaikos30191163%81.377.1+4.2
4 Fenerbahce30191163%85.181.3+3.8
5 Monaco30191163%82.079.4+2.6
6 Olympiacos31191261%78.674.7+4.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv30171357%87.387.2+0.1
8 Virtus Bologna30171357%80.181.5-1.3
9 Baskonia31161552%83.884.1-0.3
10 Valencia30141647%76.377.9-1.6
11 Partizan31141745%83.284.3-1.1
12 Anadolu Efes31141745%85.587.1-1.7
13 Olimpia Milano30131743%77.877.5+0.3
14 Bayern30131743%78.781.4-2.7
15 Zalgiris Kaunas31131842%80.280.6-0.4
16 Crvena zvezda30102033%81.281.6-0.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3172423%78.285.8-7.6
18 Alba Berlin3152616%76.385.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2127262094
Virtus Bologna2319231479
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