Virtus Bologna vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2012

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 76-56

21-7 16-14 22-11 17-24

Position#6

Record11-6

FormWLWLW

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game77.2

Virtus Bologna 🏆

Avellino

Position#10

Record10-7

FormLWLWW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game80.5

Lega ARound 19

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

85-80

H04/12

Lega A

Biella

#12

78-83

-5

A10/12

Lega A

Venezia

88-80

H18/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

74-61

+13

H27/12

Lega A

Caserta

#15

87-80

A30/12

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

70-62

H03/01

Lega A

Pesaro

77-86

-9

A08/01

Lega A

Siena

75-71

H11/01

Lega A

Cantu

72-78

-6

A14/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

82-78

A21/01

Lega A

33-20

17-14

18-24

17-22

13-16

21-25

23-23

21-19

29-26

21-19

25-17

13-18

18-13

14-16

20-15

22-17

22-21

22-17

21-20

22-22

12-9

18-19

14-24

26-10

19-27

24-19

19-23

15-17

20-15

14-20

23-13

18-23

19-11

17-22

17-31

19-14

25-27

15-14

21-20

21-17

154.7Avg total

78.8Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	78.9	77.2	156.1	+1.6	65%
Season at home (8)	79.9	73.2	153.1	+6.6	100%
Season away (9)	78.0	80.8	158.8	-2.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	75.9	154.7	+2.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	75.0	150.2	+0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	69.0	78.9	147.9	-9.9	25%
vs Similar (18)	79.1	77.8	156.9	+1.2	61%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	84.5	85.2	169.8	-0.8	50%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

82-72

+10

A27/11

Lega A

Biella

#12

82-84 OT

-2

A04/12

Lega A

Siena

77-83 OT

-6

H11/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

99-96 OT

A18/12

Lega A

Caserta

#15

84-74

+10

H27/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

89-90

-1

A30/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

64-62

H03/01

Lega A

Varese

78-94

-16

A11/01

Lega A

Venezia

84-63

+21

H15/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

93-84

H22/01

Lega A

18-14

24-17

14-21

26-20

27-14

15-25

16-7

14-26

23-18

16-20

16-17

17-17

24-22

19-23

27-22

14-17

25-16

22-21

11-16

26-21

29-17

18-22

14-14

28-37

26-11

9-16

18-19

11-16

13-26

18-20

29-26

18-22

21-20

12-15

35-11

16-17

27-24

22-14

14-26

30-20

163.4Avg total

83.2Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	81.8	80.5	162.4	+1.3	59%
Season at home (9)	84.3	77.9	162.2	+6.4	78%
Season away (8)	79.0	83.5	162.5	-4.5	38%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	80.2	163.4	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	78.6	160.2	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	82.5	84.8	167.3	-2.3	50%
vs Similar (19)	79.1	77.8	156.9	+1.3	53%
vs Weaker (5)	94.6	81.2	175.8	+13.4	80%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.9	19.9	35.8	-4.0	38%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.7	18.2	38.9	+2.5	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.0	42.6	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	18.8	42.7	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	18.2	41.5	+5.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	25.0	18.8	43.8	+6.2	83%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.4	18.8	43.2	+5.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.7	39.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.9	40.1	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.8	36.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.7	18.6	37.2	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	25.0	24.2	49.2	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.3	36.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.4	33.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.7	19.2	37.8	-0.5	17%	-
vs Similar (19)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	68%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	60%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

50-34

+16

H04/12

Lega A

Biella

#12

34-41

-7

A10/12

Lega A

Venezia

50-45

H18/12

Lega A

Treviso

#14

32-29

H27/12

Lega A

Caserta

#15

44-38

A30/12

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

30-28

H03/01

Lega A

Pesaro

43-46

-3

A08/01

Lega A

Siena

34-35

-1

H11/01

Lega A

Cantu

36-33

A14/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

40-41

-1

A21/01

Lega A

76.3Avg total

39.3Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	38.6	77.6	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	35.9	75.4	+3.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	41.3	79.8	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.6	73.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.8	39.8	74.5	-5.0	38%	-
vs Similar (18)	39.4	36.8	76.2	+2.6	61%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	45.5	44.8	90.2	+0.8	50%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

42-31

+11

A27/11

Lega A

Biella

#12

42-39

A04/12

Lega A

Siena

39-38

H11/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

43-45

-2

A18/12

Lega A

Caserta

#15

47-37

+10

H27/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

47-39

A30/12

Lega A

Cremona

#11

35-27

H03/01

Lega A

Varese

31-46

-15

A11/01

Lega A

Venezia

33-35

-2

H15/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

49-38

+11

H22/01

Lega A

78.3Avg total

40.8Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.5	80.7	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	37.1	80.5	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	39.9	80.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	37.5	78.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	37.0	76.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	43.7	38.0	81.7	+5.7	83%	-
vs Similar (19)	40.6	38.4	78.9	+2.2	63%	-
vs Weaker (5)	46.8	39.4	86.2	+7.4	60%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.7	36.7	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.5	19.8	36.2	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.8	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.3	41.9	-0.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	17.7	35.2	-0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.5	20.8	36.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.6	21.2	45.8	+3.4	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	20.7	40.1	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.8	19.4	37.1	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	21.3	40.9	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	22.5	24.2	46.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.5	19.5	38.1	-1.0	37%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	39.8	77.2	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	39.3	76.8	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	40.3	77.6	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	38.9	78.4	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.4	77.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.2	39.1	73.4	-4.9	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	38.4	39.9	78.4	-1.5	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.7	78.5	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	40.5	81.0	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	39.0	76.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	39.2	78.6	+0.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	41.6	84.2	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.0	45.0	83.0	-7.0	17%	-
vs Similar (19)	37.2	38.2	75.4	-0.9	32%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.8	39.4	85.2	+6.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
16/10/11	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	96-90
06/02/11	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	105-101 OT
31/10/10	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	73-66
21/03/10	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	79-82
20/02/10	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	61-73
22/11/09	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	73-55
28/02/09	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	64-65
09/11/08	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	71-78

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/12	A	Virtus Roma	82-78
14/01/12	A	Cantu	72-78
11/01/12	H	Siena	75-71
08/01/12	A	Pesaro	77-86
03/01/12	H	Casale Monferrato	70-62
30/12/11	A	Caserta	87-80
27/12/11	H	Treviso	74-61
18/12/11	H	Venezia	88-80
10/12/11	A	Biella	78-83
04/12/11	H	Sassari	85-80

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	93-84
15/01/12	H	Venezia	84-63
11/01/12	A	Varese	78-94
03/01/12	H	Cremona	64-62
30/12/11	A	Olimpia Milano	89-90
27/12/11	H	Caserta	84-74
18/12/11	A	Virtus Roma	99-96 OT
11/12/11	H	Siena	77-83 OT
04/12/11	A	Biella	82-84 OT
27/11/11	A	Pesaro	82-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	65%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	65%	100%	33%
Points / game	78.9	79.9	78.0
Allowed / game	77.2	73.2	80.8
Point differential	+1.6	+6.6	-2.8
Avg total	156.1	153.1	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Avellino

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	59%
Home	LWWWW	78%
Away	WLWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	59%	78%	38%
Points / game	81.8	84.3	79.0
Allowed / game	80.5	77.9	83.5
Point differential	+1.3	+6.4	-4.5
Avg total	162.4	162.2	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	33%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	18%	11%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	17	13	4	76%	79.5	70.6	+8.9
2	Virtus Bologna	17	11	6	65%	78.9	77.2	+1.6
3	Pesaro	17	11	6	65%	74.4	74.2	+0.1
4	Cantu	18	11	7	61%	74.4	70.3	+4.1
5	Olimpia Milano	17	10	7	59%	75.7	72.9	+2.8
6	Avellino	17	10	7	59%	81.8	80.5	+1.3
7	Venezia	16	9	7	56%	77.2	76.0	+1.2
8	Sassari	18	10	8	56%	77.2	78.2	-1.0
9	Varese	17	9	8	53%	77.2	76.9	+0.3
10	Biella	18	9	9	50%	75.3	74.9	+0.4
11	Caserta	17	8	9	47%	77.3	77.7	-0.4
12	Treviso	18	8	10	44%	75.1	76.5	-1.4
13	Virtus Roma	18	7	11	39%	78.9	81.3	-2.4
14	Sutor Montegranaro	17	6	11	35%	76.7	78.9	-2.2
15	Teramo	18	6	12	33%	71.3	75.0	-3.7
16	Cremona	17	5	12	29%	71.2	77.7	-6.5
17	Casale Monferrato	17	4	13	24%	72.8	75.6	-2.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	21	16	22	17	76
Avellino	7	14	11	24	56

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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