Virtus Roma vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2010

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 84-73

17-15 22-17 18-21 27-20

Position#7

Record9-9

FormLWWWL

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game75.3

Virtus Roma 🏆

Ferrara

Position#15

Record5-13

FormLWLLW

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game82.1

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Ferrara

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferrara winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#10

84-67

+17

A20/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

77-69

H03/01

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

59-79

-20

A07/01

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#16

138-37

138

+101

H10/01

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#29

69-48

+21

H14/01

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

61-81

-20

A17/01

Lega A

Caserta

83-64

+19

H24/01

Lega A

Cremona

#12

79-75

A31/01

Lega A

Treviso

100-76

100

+24

H07/02

Lega A

Avellino

56-74

-18

A14/02

Lega A

20-19

24-21

13-15

27-12

19-12

21-9

16-26

21-22

20-22

15-13

13-21

11-23

31-10

35-8

27-5

45-14

13-5

15-10

21-13

20-20

12-20

10-27

20-19

19-15

16-13

20-11

22-21

25-19

13-13

21-19

30-14

15-29

21-13

17-19

22-24

40-20

18-17

13-13

9-28

16-16

147.6Avg total

80.6Scored

67.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	81.0	75.3	156.3	+5.7	50%
Season at home (9)	85.1	70.8	155.9	+14.3	56%
Season away (9)	76.9	79.9	156.8	-3.0	44%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	67.0	147.6	+13.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	74.0	149.8	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	67.6	79.0	146.6	-11.4	20%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	77.9	77.0	154.9	+0.9	50%
vs Weaker (7)	82.3	68.6	150.9	+13.7	43%

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferrara

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

73-90

-17

H06/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

70-75

-5

A13/12

Lega A

Cantu

72-84

-12

H20/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

88-92 OT

-4

A03/01

Lega A

Treviso

102-95

102

H09/01

Lega A

Caserta

72-95

-23

A17/01

Lega A

Biella

#14

89-78

+11

H24/01

Lega A

Teramo

#13

69-71

-2

A31/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

56-66

-10

H07/02

Lega A

Cremona

#12

83-82

A13/02

Lega A

–

11-20

18-20

18-18

23-17

13-18

14-17

23-24

22-25

19-19

20-21

19-25

22-15

26-15

26-29

27-24

23-27

21-22

23-26

13-27

15-20

20-21

22-21

29-14

18-22

16-18

18-21

23-16

12-16

14-13

15-16

13-13

14-24

20-23

21-27

19-17

23-15

160.2Avg total

77.4Scored

82.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	75.0	82.1	157.1	-7.1	28%
Season at home (9)	77.9	81.6	159.4	-3.7	44%
Season away (9)	72.1	82.7	154.8	-10.6	11%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	82.8	160.2	-5.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	78.4	152.2	-4.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	72.2	93.8	166.0	-21.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	80.3	81.6	162.0	-1.3	43%
vs Weaker (3)	75.0	72.7	147.7	+2.3	67%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaFerrara

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.3	38.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	14.4	32.7	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	15.2	31.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.4	14.4	34.9	+6.0	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	19.9	39.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.2	40.7	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.8	20.7	37.5	-3.8	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	48%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	16.5	35.3	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.7	38.3	-3.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	15.0	34.1	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.8	34.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.8	18.2	32.0	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	21.5	40.4	-2.7	23%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	16.3	34.7	+2.0	67%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#10

44-40

A20/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-21

+19

H03/01

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

35-35

A07/01

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#16

66-18

+48

H10/01

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#29

28-15

+13

H14/01

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

22-47

-25

A17/01

Lega A

Caserta

36-24

+12

H24/01

Lega A

Cremona

#12

34-32

A31/01

Lega A

Treviso

38-32

H07/02

Lega A

Avellino

31-30

A14/02

Lega A

66.8Avg total

37.4Scored

29.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	36.8	73.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.2	33.5	70.7	+3.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	40.0	76.8	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	29.4	66.8	+8.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	33.0	65.2	-0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.4	38.4	71.8	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.3	37.6	74.9	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	38.7	33.4	72.1	+5.3	57%	-

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

29-40

-11

A13/12

Lega A

Cantu

27-35

-8

H20/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

39-40

-1

A03/01

Lega A

Treviso

52-44

H09/01

Lega A

Caserta

44-48

-4

A17/01

Lega A

Biella

#14

42-42

H24/01

Lega A

Teramo

#13

34-39

-5

A31/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

29-29

H07/02

Lega A

Cremona

#12

41-50

-9

A13/02

Lega A

78.2Avg total

37.4Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.3	40.5	78.8	-2.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	39.0	79.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.7	42.2	77.9	-6.5	15%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.4	40.8	78.2	-3.3	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.6	79.6	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.2	47.8	87.0	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.3	35.0	73.3	+3.3	67%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	16.5	36.9	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.7	36.1	-1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.6	14.1	33.7	+5.4	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	36%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.1	40.1	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	25.0	41.0	-9.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	23.7	40.7	-6.7	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.9	40.4	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.1	41.5	+1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	19.0	42.9	+4.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.2	19.0	33.2	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.7	19.1	41.9	+3.6	29%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.6	19.8	40.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	69%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.4	35.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.0	48%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	14.0	33.7	+5.7	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	37.5	76.9	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	36.6	78.5	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	38.5	75.3	-1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	37.6	80.8	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.0	84.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	30.8	36.8	67.6	-6.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.6	39.4	80.0	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.3	33.3	75.6	+9.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.8	40.0	79.8	-0.2	54%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	42.1	83.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.5	37.5	75.1	+0.0	62%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.6	39.9	79.4	-0.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	36.8	72.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	46.0	79.0	-13.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	41.6	39.2	80.8	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.7	37.7	74.3	-1.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Ferrara wins

Date	Game	Score
01/11/09	Ferrara v Virtus Roma	71-88
29/03/09	Virtus Roma v Ferrara	88-93
07/12/08	Ferrara v Virtus Roma	73-67

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/10	A	Avellino	56-74
07/02/10	H	Treviso	100-76
31/01/10	A	Cremona	79-75
24/01/10	H	Caserta	83-64
17/01/10	A	Virtus Bologna	61-81
14/01/10	H	Petrol Olimpija	69-48
10/01/10	H	NSB Napoli	138-37
07/01/10	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	59-79
03/01/10	H	Olimpia Milano	77-69
20/12/09	A	Varese	84-67

Ferraralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/02/10	A	Cremona	83-82
07/02/10	H	Olimpia Milano	56-66
31/01/10	A	Teramo	69-71
24/01/10	H	Biella	89-78
17/01/10	A	Caserta	72-95
09/01/10	H	Treviso	102-95
03/01/10	A	Sutor Montegranaro	88-92 OT
20/12/09	H	Cantu	72-84
13/12/09	A	Pesaro	70-75
06/12/09	H	Virtus Bologna	73-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	50%
Home	LWWWW	56%
Away	LWLWL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	50%	56%	44%
Points / game	81.0	85.1	76.9
Allowed / game	75.3	70.8	79.9
Point differential	+5.7	+14.3	-3.0
Avg total	156.3	155.9	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	44%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

Ferrara

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	28%
Home	LLWWL	44%
Away	LLLLW	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	28%	44%	11%
Points / game	75.0	77.9	72.1
Allowed / game	82.1	81.6	82.7
Point differential	-7.1	-3.7	-10.6
Avg total	157.1	159.4	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	-	20% (5)
Overtime %	11%	0%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	19	19	0	100%	91.8	66.2	+25.6
2	Caserta	19	13	6	68%	87.8	75.0	+12.8
3	Olimpia Milano	18	12	6	67%	78.7	75.6	+3.2
4	Sutor Montegranaro	18	11	7	61%	77.2	78.2	-1.1
5	Virtus Bologna	19	11	8	58%	77.9	72.8	+5.1
6	Avellino	19	11	8	58%	80.3	75.3	+5.0
7	Cantu	19	10	9	53%	79.5	75.4	+4.2
8	Treviso	19	10	9	53%	82.8	82.6	+0.2
9	Virtus Roma	18	9	9	50%	81.0	75.3	+5.7
10	Varese	18	9	9	50%	76.6	79.9	-3.3
11	Teramo	18	8	10	44%	78.6	76.0	+2.6
12	Biella	18	8	10	44%	81.4	80.1	+1.3
13	Pesaro	19	7	12	37%	82.0	82.7	-0.7
14	Cremona	18	5	13	28%	80.1	83.3	-3.2
15	Ferrara	18	5	13	28%	75.0	82.1	-7.1
16	NSB Napoli	19	0	19	0%	57.3	107.7	-50.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	17	22	18	27	84
Ferrara	15	17	21	20	73

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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