Varese vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2009

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 67-84

19-20 21-24 15-13 12-27

Position#10

Record5-5

FormLWWLW

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game80.7

Varese

Virtus Roma 🏆

Position#7

Record3-7

FormLLLLL

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game81.3

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Varese v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

73-66

H11/10

Lega A

Teramo

#13

58-84

-26

A17/10

Lega A

Biella

#14

78-87

-9

H25/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

85-73

+12

A01/11

Lega A

Avellino

74-91

-17

H08/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

68-78

-10

H15/11

Lega A

Treviso

94-86

A21/11

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

81-74

H29/11

Lega A

Siena

74-87

-13

A06/12

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

84-81

A13/12

Lega A

25-23

12-11

23-21

13-11

15-17

20-22

12-22

11-23

15-18

22-23

21-23

20-23

29-16

22-13

15-24

19-20

23-21

10-27

19-23

22-20

14-22

21-16

13-20

20-20

28-19

22-20

19-26

25-21

–

17-16

16-25

23-20

18-26

29-18

17-22

16-29

22-12

157.6Avg total

76.9Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	76.9	80.7	157.6	-3.8	50%
Season at home (5)	74.8	79.2	154.0	-4.4	40%
Season away (5)	79.0	82.2	161.2	-3.2	60%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	80.7	157.6	-3.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	81.2	161.4	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	76.6	81.6	158.2	-5.0	40%
vs Similar (4)	75.5	79.5	155.0	-4.0	50%
vs Weaker (1)	84.0	81.0	165.0	+3.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

90-92 OT

-2

H12/11

Euroleague

Pesaro

#11

84-73

+11

A15/11

Lega A

Siena

58-83

-25

A22/11

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#29

70-87

-17

A25/11

Euroleague

Cantu

70-81

-11

H29/11

Lega A

Baskonia

#10

60-67

-7

A02/12

Euroleague

Sutor Montegranaro

97-103

103

-6

A06/12

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

57-72

-15

H10/12

Euroleague

Teramo

#13

61-80

-19

H13/12

Lega A

Maroussi

#18

74-87

-13

H16/12

Euroleague

17-17

16-18

26-16

14-22

21-20

23-17

26-14

19-16

19-24

9-18

11-25

21-23

7-25

20-16

22-23

14-23

22-15

20-18

14-25

11-17

17-16

10-20

22-14

23-27

24-22

18-26

32-28

16-24

6-17

16-22

19-9

20-17

14-25

14-21

13-17

17-28

22-23

18-14

17-22

154.6Avg total

72.1Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	78.0	81.3	159.3	-3.3	30%
Season at home (5)	73.6	78.2	151.8	-4.6	20%
Season away (5)	82.4	84.4	166.8	-2.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	72.1	82.5	154.6	-10.4	10%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	81.8	151.6	-12.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.8	79.0	148.8	-9.2	25%
vs Similar (13)	79.2	78.3	157.5	+0.9	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	80.5	79.3	159.8	+1.2	46%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	23.6	17.2	40.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	80%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	18.0	47.0	+11.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	19.8	39.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.5	17.2	38.7	+4.4	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	16.2	19.2	35.5	-3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.0	39.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.2	19.8	36.0	-3.6	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.3	19.3	40.7	+2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	20.8	38.4	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.5	19.5	33.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-1.9	46%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

37-34

H11/10

Lega A

Teramo

#13

35-39

-4

A17/10

Lega A

Biella

#14

37-41

-4

H25/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

51-29

+22

A01/11

Lega A

Avellino

33-48

-15

H08/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

35-38

-3

H15/11

Lega A

Treviso

50-39

+11

A21/11

Lega A

Siena

33-41

-8

A06/12

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

46-40

A13/12

Lega A

78.4Avg total

39.7Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	39.7	38.8	78.4	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	35.5	40.2	75.8	-4.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (5)	43.0	37.6	80.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.7	38.8	78.4	+0.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	41.2	80.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.6	40.0	77.6	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.0	36.3	77.3	+4.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	46.0	40.0	86.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

33-35

-2

H12/11

Euroleague

Pesaro

#11

35-42

-7

A15/11

Lega A

Siena

38-40

-2

A22/11

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#29

28-48

-20

A25/11

Euroleague

Cantu

36-38

-2

H29/11

Lega A

Baskonia

#10

28-33

-5

A02/12

Euroleague

Sutor Montegranaro

47-49

-2

A06/12

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

22-41

-19

H10/12

Euroleague

Teramo

#13

34-42

-8

H13/12

Lega A

Maroussi

#18

39-51

-12

H16/12

Euroleague

75.9Avg total

34.0Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	38.6	77.2	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	37.1	75.7	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	41.9	75.9	-7.9	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	43.2	77.2	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	39.2	72.2	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.9	40.4	80.3	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	39.1	36.6	75.7	+2.5	62%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	17.9	23.1	41.0	-5.2	22%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	25%	-
Last 30 away (5)	17.0	24.2	41.2	-7.2	20%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.9	23.1	41.0	-5.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.6	41.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	29.0	45.0	-13.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.1	37.9	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	18.7	35.6	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.6	35.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	17.0	34.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.4	17.2	36.6	+2.2	77%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	18.8	18.5	37.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	22.0	38.7	-5.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	12.0	34.0	+10.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	21.6	39.9	-3.3	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.5	22.7	43.2	-2.2	15%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (9)	36.8	42.7	79.4	-5.9	11%	-
Last 30 at home (4)	37.8	40.2	78.0	-2.5	25%	-
Last 30 away (5)	36.0	44.6	80.6	-8.6	0%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.8	42.7	79.4	-5.9	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	43.4	82.8	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	39.0	41.6	80.6	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	32.7	45.0	77.7	-12.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	38.7	77.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	39.4	77.1	-1.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	38.7	75.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	38.6	74.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.5	35.0	67.5	-2.5	75%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.3	37.9	77.2	+1.4	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	39.5	41.4	80.9	-1.8	38%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Virtus Roma wins

No previous meetings.

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/09	A	NSB Napoli	84-81
06/12/09	A	Siena	74-87
29/11/09	H	Ferrara	81-74
21/11/09	A	Treviso	94-86
15/11/09	H	Virtus Bologna	68-78
08/11/09	H	Avellino	74-91
01/11/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	85-73
25/10/09	H	Biella	78-87
17/10/09	A	Teramo	58-84
11/10/09	H	Olimpia Milano	73-66

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/12/09	H	Maroussi	74-87
13/12/09	H	Teramo	61-80
10/12/09	H	CSKA Moscow	57-72
06/12/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	97-103
02/12/09	A	Baskonia	60-67
29/11/09	H	Cantu	70-81
25/11/09	A	Petrol Olimpija	70-87
22/11/09	A	Siena	58-83
15/11/09	A	Pesaro	84-73
12/11/09	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	90-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	50%
Home	WLLLW	40%
Away	LWWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	50%	40%	60%
Points / game	76.9	74.8	79.0
Allowed / game	80.7	79.2	82.2
Point differential	-3.8	-4.4	-3.2
Avg total	157.6	154.0	161.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	30%
Home	WLLLL	20%
Away	LWWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	30%	20%	40%
Points / game	78.0	73.6	82.4
Allowed / game	81.3	78.2	84.4
Point differential	-3.3	-4.6	-2.0
Avg total	159.3	151.8	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	20%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	11	11	0	100%	86.9	64.6	+22.3
2	Caserta	11	8	3	73%	85.0	75.6	+9.4
3	Olimpia Milano	10	7	3	70%	81.4	76.7	+4.7
4	Avellino	11	7	4	64%	76.2	76.1	+0.1
5	Biella	10	6	4	60%	81.3	80.8	+0.5
6	Cantu	10	6	4	60%	75.9	76.0	-0.1
7	Virtus Bologna	11	6	5	55%	74.6	72.8	+1.8
8	Teramo	10	5	5	50%	81.2	77.3	+3.9
9	Treviso	10	5	5	50%	83.3	81.0	+2.3
10	Sutor Montegranaro	10	5	5	50%	79.0	79.6	-0.6
11	Varese	10	5	5	50%	76.9	80.7	-3.8
12	Cremona	10	4	6	40%	86.1	86.7	-0.6
13	Virtus Roma	10	3	7	30%	78.0	81.3	-3.3
14	Pesaro	10	2	8	20%	76.1	83.4	-7.3
15	Ferrara	10	2	8	20%	71.9	81.5	-9.6
16	NSB Napoli	10	0	10	0%	60.2	83.2	-23.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	19	21	15	12	67
Virtus Roma	20	24	13	27	84

← all games of the day

Varese vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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