Virtus Roma vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2010

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 83-64

16-13 20-11 22-21 25-19

Position#7

Record6-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game76.2

Virtus Roma 🏆

Caserta

Position#2

Record10-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game84.4

Allowed / game75.5

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

97-103

103

-6

A06/12

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

57-72

-15

H10/12

Euroleague

Teramo

#13

61-80

-19

H13/12

Lega A

Maroussi

#18

74-87

-13

H16/12

Euroleague

Varese

#10

84-67

+17

A20/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

77-69

H03/01

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

59-79

-20

A07/01

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#16

138-37

138

+101

H10/01

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#29

69-48

+21

H14/01

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

61-81

-20

A17/01

Lega A

23-27

24-22

18-26

32-28

16-24

6-17

16-22

19-9

20-17

14-25

14-21

13-17

17-28

22-23

18-14

17-22

20-19

24-21

13-15

27-12

19-12

21-9

16-26

21-22

20-22

15-13

13-21

11-23

31-10

35-8

27-5

45-14

13-5

15-10

21-13

20-20

12-20

10-27

20-19

19-15

150.0Avg total

77.7Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.4	76.2	157.6	+5.2	43%
Season at home (7)	83.3	71.0	154.3	+12.3	43%
Season away (7)	79.6	81.4	161.0	-1.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	72.3	150.0	+5.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	62.8	143.6	+18.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	67.6	79.0	146.6	-11.4	20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	77.5	78.4	155.9	-0.9	43%
vs Weaker (11)	82.6	70.6	153.3	+12.0	55%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

95-81

+14

H07/11

Lega A

Teramo

#13

85-92

-7

A15/11

Lega A

Cremona

#12

97-74

+23

H22/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

84-72

+12

A28/11

Lega A

Cantu

82-67

+15

H06/12

Lega A

Treviso

72-70

A13/12

Lega A

Avellino

66-73

-7

A19/12

Lega A

Varese

#10

76-53

+23

H03/01

Lega A

Siena

75-100

100

-25

A10/01

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

95-72

+23

H17/01

Lega A

21-25

21-24

25-16

28-16

27-28

21-21

25-14

12-29

27-19

15-22

32-17

23-16

17-18

17-14

21-13

29-27

25-16

15-22

16-12

26-17

17-18

12-19

24-13

19-20

16-21

17-17

14-16

19-19

21-19

18-11

22-13

15-10

20-24

12-29

18-25

25-22

22-21

26-23

27-13

20-15

158.1Avg total

82.7Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	84.4	75.5	159.9	+8.9	71%
Season at home (7)	89.4	73.6	163.0	+15.9	100%
Season away (7)	79.3	77.4	156.7	+1.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	75.4	158.1	+7.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	73.6	150.4	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	72.7	81.3	154.0	-8.5	27%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	80.4	85.3	165.7	-4.9	43%
vs Weaker (12)	83.5	71.4	154.9	+12.1	75%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	13.8	32.8	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.4	14.8	35.2	+5.5	91%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.0	38.9	+4.9	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	21.4	39.3	-3.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.7	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.6	37.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	16.3	35.8	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	21.1	38.9	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.5	36.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	13.4	32.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	13.8	18.2	32.0	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.1	38.0	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.6	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	42%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

47-49

-2

A06/12

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

22-41

-19

H10/12

Euroleague

Teramo

#13

34-42

-8

H13/12

Lega A

Maroussi

#18

39-51

-12

H16/12

Euroleague

Varese

#10

44-40

A20/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-21

+19

H03/01

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

35-35

A07/01

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#16

66-18

+48

H10/01

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#29

28-15

+13

H14/01

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

22-47

-25

A17/01

Lega A

73.6Avg total

37.7Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	37.0	74.8	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.3	33.4	71.8	+4.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	41.0	78.4	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	35.9	73.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	27.2	65.4	+11.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.4	38.4	71.8	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.6	32.5	72.2	+7.1	64%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

42-49

-7

H07/11

Lega A

Teramo

#13

48-49

-1

A15/11

Lega A

Cremona

#12

42-41

H22/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

34-32

A28/11

Lega A

Cantu

40-38

H06/12

Lega A

Treviso

29-37

-8

A13/12

Lega A

Avellino

33-38

-5

A19/12

Lega A

Varese

#10

39-30

H03/01

Lega A

Siena

32-53

-21

A10/01

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

48-44

H17/01

Lega A

79.8Avg total

38.7Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.3	77.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	35.6	76.9	+5.7	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	41.1	77.2	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	41.1	79.8	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	40.4	76.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.3	38.2	76.5	+0.1	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	38.1	38.3	76.4	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	58%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	17.8	34.4	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.4	16.2	36.5	+4.2	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	15.2	37.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.7	19.7	38.5	-1.0	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.6	14.7	37.2	+7.9	92%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.1	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.8	42.0	+4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.2	19.0	33.2	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.8	20.7	42.5	+1.1	18%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.4	40.3	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.9	39.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.9	41.5	-4.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.7	23.4	39.1	-7.6	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.3	23.9	43.1	-4.6	14%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.4	18.2	39.7	+3.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	37.6	76.6	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	37.0	77.4	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	38.3	75.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	36.4	76.4	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	35.6	78.2	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	30.8	36.8	67.6	-6.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.4	38.4	77.9	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.2	36.9	79.1	+5.3	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.2	78.4	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	36.9	77.3	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	41.5	79.6	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	34.3	78.3	+9.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	33.2	73.8	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.5	43.1	77.5	-8.6	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	38.6	43.9	82.4	-5.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.0	32.9	76.9	+11.1	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
25/01/09	Caserta v Virtus Roma	74-79
12/10/08	Virtus Roma v Caserta	83-81 OT

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/10	A	Virtus Bologna	61-81
14/01/10	H	Petrol Olimpija	69-48
10/01/10	H	NSB Napoli	138-37
07/01/10	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	59-79
03/01/10	H	Olimpia Milano	77-69
20/12/09	A	Varese	84-67
16/12/09	H	Maroussi	74-87
13/12/09	H	Teramo	61-80
10/12/09	H	CSKA Moscow	57-72
06/12/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	97-103

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/01/10	H	Ferrara	95-72
10/01/10	A	Siena	75-100
03/01/10	H	Varese	76-53
19/12/09	A	Avellino	66-73
13/12/09	A	Treviso	72-70
06/12/09	H	Cantu	82-67
28/11/09	A	Virtus Bologna	84-72
22/11/09	H	Cremona	97-74
15/11/09	A	Teramo	85-92
07/11/09	H	Pesaro	95-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	43%
Home	LLLWW	43%
Away	WLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	43%	43%	43%
Points / game	81.4	83.3	79.6
Allowed / game	76.2	71.0	81.4
Point differential	+5.2	+12.3	-1.9
Avg total	157.6	154.3	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	29%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (2)	-
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Caserta

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	71%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	71%	100%	43%
Points / game	84.4	89.4	79.3
Allowed / game	75.5	73.6	77.4
Point differential	+8.9	+15.9	+1.9
Avg total	159.9	163.0	156.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	71%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	15	15	0	100%	88.8	65.9	+22.9
2	Caserta	14	10	4	71%	84.4	75.5	+8.9
3	Olimpia Milano	15	10	5	67%	79.5	76.0	+3.5
4	Virtus Bologna	15	9	6	60%	75.7	72.7	+3.0
5	Biella	14	8	6	57%	83.4	78.1	+5.2
6	Cantu	14	8	6	57%	75.0	75.8	-0.8
7	Avellino	14	8	6	57%	75.6	76.7	-1.1
8	Teramo	14	7	7	50%	80.6	76.7	+3.9
9	Sutor Montegranaro	14	7	7	50%	78.1	80.9	-2.8
10	Treviso	15	7	8	47%	82.3	82.0	+0.3
11	Virtus Roma	14	6	8	43%	81.4	76.2	+5.2
12	Varese	14	6	8	43%	74.4	79.4	-5.0
13	Pesaro	14	5	9	36%	80.4	80.8	-0.4
14	Cremona	14	5	9	36%	82.4	84.1	-1.6
15	Ferrara	14	3	11	21%	75.2	84.4	-9.1
16	NSB Napoli	14	0	14	0%	59.1	93.2	-34.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	16	20	22	25	83
Caserta	13	11	21	19	64

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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