Virtus Roma vs NSB Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2009

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 99-75

24-21 23-18 23-17 29-19

Position#2

Record15-10

FormWWLLL

Points / game84.7

Allowed / game81.2

Virtus Roma 🏆

NSB Napoli

Position#13

Record9-16

FormWWLLL

Points / game72.2

Allowed / game77.3

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Virtus Roma v NSB Napoli

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

NSB Napoli winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

77-86

-9

A15/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

71-90

-19

H26/02

Euroleague

Udine

#16

83-70

+13

H01/03

Lega A

Unicaja

64-99

-35

A04/03

Euroleague

Siena

88-93

-5

A08/03

Lega A

Partizan

#10

88-72

+16

H11/03

Euroleague

Pesaro

#11

98-76

+22

H15/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

74-89

-15

A22/03

Lega A

Ferrara

88-93

-5

H29/03

Lega A

Treviso

62-79

-17

A08/04

Lega A

29-22

16-21

7-16

25-27

20-20

18-25

21-23

12-22

22-21

20-12

23-23

18-14

15-31

15-24

15-25

19-19

22-30

28-24

17-25

21-14

26-23

23-11

18-18

21-20

25-19

24-17

21-16

28-24

15-21

19-25

24-17

16-26

25-16

19-23

20-24

24-30

22-24

10-21

14-17

16-17

164.0Avg total

79.3Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	84.7	81.2	165.9	+3.6	60%
Season at home (12)	86.5	78.9	165.4	+7.6	75%
Season away (13)	83.1	83.2	166.3	-0.2	46%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	84.7	164.0	-5.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	81.8	163.8	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.8	94.2	171.0	-17.3	0%
vs Similar (7)	83.0	80.6	163.6	+2.4	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	82.1	77.5	159.6	+4.6	71%

This opponent (NSB Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NSB Napoli Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

73-78

-5

A25/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

79-74

H01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

65-86

-21

A08/02

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

75-66

H15/02

Lega A

Treviso

79-82

-3

A28/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

80-55

+25

H07/03

Lega A

Biella

79-73

A15/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

65-75

-10

H22/03

Lega A

Teramo

58-85

-27

A29/03

Lega A

Siena

54-69

-15

H05/04

Lega A

19-18

19-24

23-17

12-19

16-17

16-21

22-18

25-18

19-33

13-14

14-19

19-20

20-13

17-18

20-15

18-20

20-12

22-17

23-24

14-29

18-14

19-16

21-13

22-12

20-17

23-16

15-14

21-26

14-12

12-18

18-31

21-14

15-17

15-25

11-19

17-24

18-20

10-8

13-21

13-20

145.0Avg total

70.7Scored

74.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	72.2	77.3	149.5	-5.1	36%
Season at home (13)	73.8	70.8	144.7	+3.0	62%
Season away (12)	70.4	84.3	154.8	-13.9	8%
Last 10 (10)	70.7	74.3	145.0	-3.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	67.2	71.4	138.6	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	74.3	78.5	152.9	-4.2	27%
vs Similar (9)	67.9	75.9	143.8	-8.0	44%
vs Weaker (1)	79.0	72.0	151.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaNSB Napoli

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	22.7	44.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.2	24.8	45.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.1	20.7	42.9	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.5	56%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.7	15.5	34.2	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.4	21.9	39.3	-4.5	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.3	35.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.0	33.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.3	53%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.6	18.8	36.3	-1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	12.0	27.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	23.7	43.0	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	18.9	18.1	37.1	+0.8	41%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	16.9	18.3	35.2	-1.4	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.3	16.7	32.0	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	17.7	34.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	16.6	32.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.9	16.7	33.6	+0.3	60%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.4	21.1	37.6	-4.7	11%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

45-43

A15/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

38-45

-7

H26/02

Euroleague

Udine

#16

42-33

H01/03

Lega A

Unicaja

30-55

-25

A04/03

Euroleague

Siena

50-54

-4

A08/03

Lega A

Partizan

#10

49-34

+15

H11/03

Euroleague

Pesaro

#11

49-36

+13

H15/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

34-46

-12

A22/03

Lega A

Ferrara

44-39

H29/03

Lega A

Treviso

32-45

-13

A08/04

Lega A

84.3Avg total

41.3Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.0	80.2	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	37.5	79.0	+4.0	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.7	42.9	81.6	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	43.0	84.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	40.0	81.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.5	48.5	88.0	-9.0	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.9	38.3	80.1	+3.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.8	37.7	77.5	+2.1	71%	-

This opponent (NSB Napoli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NSB NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

38-42

-4

A25/01

Lega A

Avellino

#10

32-38

-6

H01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

32-47

-15

A08/02

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

37-31

H15/02

Lega A

Treviso

42-29

+13

A28/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

37-30

H07/03

Lega A

Biella

43-33

+10

A15/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

26-30

-4

H22/03

Lega A

Teramo

30-42

-12

A29/03

Lega A

Siena

28-28

H05/04

Lega A

69.5Avg total

34.5Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	35.0	36.9	71.9	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.0	32.2	66.2	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.1	42.0	78.1	-5.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	35.0	69.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	32.6	65.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.5	35.6	71.1	-0.1	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	34.0	39.9	73.9	-5.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	36.0	30.0	66.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	19.3	35.7	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	23.3	40.8	-5.8	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	20.2	38.6	-1.7	46%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.9	22.0	39.9	-4.1	27%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.3	16.4	33.8	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	19.0	44.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.4	44.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.1	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	16.5	36.4	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.8	22.8	39.6	-5.9	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.3	53%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.6	19.6	36.1	-3.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	37.9	77.5	+1.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	40.1	77.9	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	41.7	79.7	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.8	82.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.5	42.7	78.2	-7.2	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.1	39.7	78.9	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.7	37.4	77.1	+2.4	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	36.4	39.4	75.8	-3.0	36%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.3	36.7	75.0	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (12)	34.3	42.3	76.7	-8.0	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	39.3	75.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	38.8	73.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.5	41.3	78.7	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	33.9	36.0	69.9	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	42.0	85.0	+1.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

NSB Napoli wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/08	NSB Napoli v Virtus Roma	90-91 OT

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/09	A	Treviso	62-79
29/03/09	H	Ferrara	88-93
22/03/09	A	Virtus Bologna	74-89
15/03/09	H	Pesaro	98-76
11/03/09	H	Partizan	88-72
08/03/09	A	Siena	88-93
04/03/09	A	Unicaja	64-99
01/03/09	H	Udine	83-70
26/02/09	H	Panathinaikos	71-90
15/02/09	A	Teramo	77-86

NSB Napolilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/09	H	Siena	54-69
29/03/09	A	Teramo	58-85
22/03/09	H	Olimpia Milano	65-75
15/03/09	A	Biella	79-73
07/03/09	H	Virtus Bologna	80-55
28/02/09	A	Treviso	79-82
15/02/09	H	Fortitudo Bologna	75-66
08/02/09	A	Pesaro	65-86
01/02/09	H	Avellino	79-74
25/01/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	60%
Home	WWWWL	75%
Away	WLLLL	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	60%	75%	46%
Points / game	84.7	86.5	83.1
Allowed / game	81.2	78.9	83.2
Point differential	+3.6	+7.6	-0.2
Avg total	165.9	165.4	166.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	50%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	16%	25%	8%

NSB Napoli

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	36%
Home	WWWLL	62%
Away	LLLWL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	36%	62%	8%
Points / game	72.2	73.8	70.4
Allowed / game	77.3	70.8	84.3
Point differential	-5.1	+3.0	-13.9
Avg total	149.5	144.7	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	15%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	50% (6)	0% (2)
Overtime %	8%	15%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	24	23	1	96%	87.9	70.5	+17.4
2	Virtus Bologna	25	17	8	68%	78.1	76.4	+1.8
3	Olimpia Milano	26	16	10	62%	77.5	73.8	+3.7
4	Virtus Roma	25	15	10	60%	84.7	81.2	+3.6
5	Treviso	25	15	10	60%	77.0	74.6	+2.4
6	Teramo	25	15	10	60%	83.3	81.6	+1.7
7	Cantu	25	13	12	52%	80.2	82.5	-2.3
8	Avellino	24	11	13	46%	77.1	75.3	+1.8
9	Sutor Montegranaro	24	11	13	46%	75.0	79.7	-4.7
10	Pesaro	25	11	14	44%	81.9	81.6	+0.3
11	Biella	25	11	14	44%	83.4	83.3	+0.1
12	Ferrara	25	10	15	40%	77.1	79.0	-1.8
13	NSB Napoli	25	9	16	36%	72.2	77.3	-5.1
14	Caserta	25	9	16	36%	74.6	80.2	-5.6
15	Fortitudo Bologna	25	7	18	28%	73.7	79.7	-6.0
16	Udine	25	6	19	24%	79.5	86.2	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	24	23	23	29	99
NSB Napoli	21	18	17	19	75

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs NSB Napoli Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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