Virtus Roma vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 May 2013

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 74-69

19-21 20-14 16-11 19-23

Position#6

Record22-12

FormWLWLW

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game75.2

Virtus Roma 🏆

Reggiana

Position#7

Record20-14

FormWWLWL

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game73.0

Lega ALega A - Quarter-finals

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Reggiana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Reggiana winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

58-81

-23

A01/04

Lega A

Avellino

#11

75-81 OT

-6

H07/04

Lega A

Sassari

87-105

105

-18

A14/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

88-82

H21/04

Lega A

Biella

#17

85-78

A28/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

82-64

+18

H05/05

Lega A

Reggiana

58-70

-12

H09/05

Lega A

Reggiana

82-58

+24

H11/05

Lega A

Reggiana

69-89

-20

A13/05

Lega A

Reggiana

71-68

A15/05

Lega A

17-18

11-15

10-21

20-27

23-20

18-15

8-17

17-14

18-16

19-32

21-28

29-29

18-20

23-18

22-34

25-10

25-23

28-17

17-15

15-23

18-20

27-13

24-13

13-18

5-14

18-18

16-19

19-19

23-14

27-10

17-19

15-15

15-21

19-23

21-23

14-22

19-17

19-11

8-22

25-18

153.1Avg total

75.5Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	77.7	75.2	152.9	+2.4	65%
Season at home (17)	76.5	72.1	148.6	+4.5	65%
Season away (17)	78.8	78.4	157.2	+0.4	65%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	77.6	153.1	-2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	69.8	142.2	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	79.7	89.7	169.3	-10.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	76.2	75.6	151.8	+0.6	62%
vs Weaker (10)	78.9	72.8	151.7	+6.1	80%

This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Reggiana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#13

84-69

+15

A30/03

Lega A

Sassari

101-75

101

+26

H07/04

Lega A

Avellino

#11

78-69

A14/04

Lega A

Cantu

71-65

H21/04

Lega A

Cremona

#10

78-87

-9

H28/04

Lega A

Caserta

#12

80-77

A05/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

70-58

+12

A09/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

58-82

-24

A11/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

89-69

+20

H13/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

68-71

-3

H15/05

Lega A

19-14

17-16

24-14

24-25

17-17

32-19

22-18

30-21

18-21

24-16

18-18

18-14

22-19

12-21

18-10

19-15

21-22

22-22

19-23

16-20

25-15

14-26

17-10

24-26

14-5

18-18

19-16

19-19

14-23

10-27

19-17

15-15

21-15

23-19

23-21

22-14

17-19

11-19

22-8

18-25

149.9Avg total

77.7Scored

72.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	76.9	73.0	149.8	+3.9	59%
Season at home (17)	80.6	71.4	152.1	+9.2	65%
Season away (17)	73.1	74.5	147.6	-1.5	53%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	72.2	149.9	+5.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	71.4	144.4	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	75.9	76.9	152.8	-0.9	44%
vs Weaker (13)	81.2	71.6	152.8	+9.5	85%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaReggiana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	18.9	35.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.6	18.9	34.5	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	18.9	37.1	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	17.2	33.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	18.3	32.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	15.5	18.9	34.4	-3.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	19.1	35.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.0	35.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.4	33.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.2	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	16.4	36.6	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.2	38.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.0	37.0	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	22.3	44.7	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.5	17.4	36.9	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.3	17.9	37.2	+1.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	18.3	36.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.8	37.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.5	15.9	36.5	+4.6	69%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

28-33

-5

A01/04

Lega A

Avellino

#11

41-35

H07/04

Lega A

Sassari

37-48

-11

A14/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

41-38

H21/04

Lega A

Biella

#17

53-40

+13

A28/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

45-33

+12

H05/05

Lega A

Reggiana

23-32

-9

H09/05

Lega A

Reggiana

50-24

+26

H11/05

Lega A

Reggiana

34-44

-10

A13/05

Lega A

Reggiana

38-28

+10

A15/05

Lega A

74.5Avg total

39.0Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	37.2	74.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.8	35.3	71.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	39.2	76.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	35.5	74.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	32.2	70.2	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	40.7	77.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	35.0	36.3	71.3	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.3	37.0	75.3	+1.3	50%	-

This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brindisi

#13

36-30

A30/03

Lega A

Sassari

49-36

+13

H07/04

Lega A

Avellino

#11

42-37

A14/04

Lega A

Cantu

34-40

-6

H21/04

Lega A

Cremona

#10

43-44

-1

H28/04

Lega A

Caserta

#12

39-41

-2

A05/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

32-23

A09/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

24-50

-26

A11/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

44-34

+10

H13/05

Lega A

Virtus Roma

28-38

-10

H15/05

Lega A

74.4Avg total

37.1Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	36.7	75.0	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	36.0	77.3	+5.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.2	37.5	72.7	-2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	37.3	74.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	37.2	70.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.0	39.1	76.1	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (13)	39.7	33.8	73.5	+5.8	77%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.8	38.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.9	36.9	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	21.1	37.5	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	15.5	35.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	14.4	34.4	+5.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.4	18.2	37.7	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.5	18.2	36.6	+0.3	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.0	29.3	53.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.1	19.6	41.8	+2.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.8	15.1	33.9	+3.7	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.3	78.7	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	37.0	76.5	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.2	39.6	80.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	40.6	76.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	37.6	72.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.0	49.0	92.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	41.2	39.3	80.5	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.4	33.2	71.6	+5.2	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	38.0	77.9	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	37.1	77.9	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	38.9	77.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	34.9	75.5	+5.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	34.2	73.8	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.9	37.8	76.8	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (13)	41.5	37.8	79.2	+3.7	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Reggiana wins

Date	Game	Score
15/05/13	Reggiana v Virtus Roma	68-71
13/05/13	Reggiana v Virtus Roma	89-69
11/05/13	Virtus Roma v Reggiana	82-58
09/05/13	Virtus Roma v Reggiana	58-70
03/02/13	Reggiana v Virtus Roma	96-93
14/10/12	Virtus Roma v Reggiana	77-66

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/13	A	Reggiana	71-68
13/05/13	A	Reggiana	69-89
11/05/13	H	Reggiana	82-58
09/05/13	H	Reggiana	58-70
05/05/13	H	Sutor Montegranaro	82-64
28/04/13	A	Biella	85-78
21/04/13	H	Brindisi	88-82
14/04/13	A	Sassari	87-105
07/04/13	H	Avellino	75-81 OT
01/04/13	A	Varese	58-81

Reggianalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/13	H	Virtus Roma	68-71
13/05/13	H	Virtus Roma	89-69
11/05/13	A	Virtus Roma	58-82
09/05/13	A	Virtus Roma	70-58
05/05/13	A	Caserta	80-77
28/04/13	H	Cremona	78-87
21/04/13	H	Cantu	71-65
14/04/13	A	Avellino	78-69
07/04/13	H	Sassari	101-75
30/03/13	A	Brindisi	84-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	65%
Home	LWWLW	65%
Away	LLWLW	65%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	65%	65%	65%
Points / game	77.7	76.5	78.8
Allowed / game	75.2	72.1	78.4
Point differential	+2.4	+4.5	+0.4
Avg total	152.9	148.6	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	29%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (12)	75% (4)	75% (8)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

Reggiana

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	59%
Home	WWLWL	65%
Away	WWWWL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	59%	65%	53%
Points / game	76.9	80.6	73.1
Allowed / game	73.0	71.4	74.5
Point differential	+3.9	+9.2	-1.5
Avg total	149.8	152.1	147.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	47%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	20% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	34	26	8	76%	84.0	77.1	+7.0
3	Sassari	34	24	10	71%	88.3	82.8	+5.4
4	Virtus Roma	34	22	12	65%	77.7	75.2	+2.4
5	Olimpia Milano	34	21	13	62%	81.4	77.3	+4.1
6	Siena	34	20	14	59%	77.5	73.1	+4.4
7	Reggiana	34	20	14	59%	76.9	73.0	+3.9
8	Cantu	34	19	15	56%	74.3	69.9	+4.4
9	Venezia	34	17	17	50%	78.8	79.2	-0.4
10	Cremona	30	13	17	43%	79.9	80.4	-0.5
11	Avellino	30	13	17	43%	76.5	81.0	-4.6
12	Caserta	30	13	17	43%	72.1	77.0	-4.9
13	Brindisi	30	11	19	37%	81.4	82.8	-1.4
14	Sutor Montegranaro	30	11	19	37%	83.0	85.7	-2.7
15	Pesaro	30	10	20	33%	74.8	79.4	-4.6
16	Virtus Bologna	30	10	20	33%	75.0	80.2	-5.2
17	Biella	30	6	24	20%	72.3	83.7	-11.5
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	19	20	16	19	74
Reggiana	21	14	11	23	69

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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