PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virtus Roma vs Reggiana Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#15
Record7-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#12
Record9-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game84.0
ItalyLega ARound 33
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Reggiana
20 Dec 2020
VRO v REG
upcoming
19 Apr 2020
VRO v REG
upcoming
16 Mar 2015
VRO66
REG56
22 Dec 2013
VRO72
REG67
21 May 2013
VRO72
REG59
17 May 2013
VRO74
REG69
11 May 2013
VRO82
REG58
09 May 2013
VRO58
REG70
14 Oct 2012
VRO77
REG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
15-25
13-22
12-16
13-20
17-10
26-30
21-18
13-21
19-31
22-27
25-16
22-22
14-22
15-28
21-21
18-26
15-20
20-12
23-23
18-21
22-32
29-26
24-22
17-23
21-21
27-15
14-25
18-20
18-22
23-19
16-28
35-26
19-24
16-30
27-19
26-20
170.4Avg total
80.7Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.585.5164.0-7.032%
Season at home (11)76.783.2159.9-6.536%
Season away (11)80.387.7168.0-7.527%
Last 10 (10)80.789.7170.4-9.010%
Last 5 (5)86.692.0178.6-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.587.8166.3-9.420%
vs Similar (5)75.275.2150.4+0.040%
vs Weaker (5)88.275.4163.6+12.8100%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
85-104
85
104
-19
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H29/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A05/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H11/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
103-81
103
81
+22
A18/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H25/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
93-95
93
95
-2
A02/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
10-19
24-32
29-19
29-30
23-28
18-21
15-25
13-24
25-22
18-20
16-21
31-19
27-22
16-25
22-22
19-17
19-19
19-25
12-25
22-24
15-24
21-18
23-21
32-15
23-18
25-22
23-26
18-18
28-17
19-12
20-26
36-18
14-31
16-18
27-28
20-22
21-15
11-26
27-23
172.3Avg total
85.0Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.984.0166.9-1.043%
Season at home (10)81.981.8163.7+0.160%
Season away (11)83.885.9169.7-2.127%
Last 10 (10)85.087.3172.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)88.284.4172.6+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.987.3163.2-11.418%
vs Similar (13)84.684.1168.7+0.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.276.7164.8+11.583%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.2-2.2
Virtus RomaReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H07/03
Lega A
86.6Avg total
39.8Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.283.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.782.3-1.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.884.9-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.846.886.6-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.286.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.546.084.5-7.530%-
vs Similar (5)42.835.478.2+7.480%-
vs Weaker (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H15/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A26/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H29/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H11/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A18/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H25/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A02/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/02
Lega A
86.7Avg total
44.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.742.484.1-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.684.2+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.886.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.486.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.246.386.5-6.118%-
vs Similar (13)42.840.383.1+2.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.737.782.3+7.083%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.3
54.6%
52.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.7
32.1%
35.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.511.3
68.5%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.4
50.6%
52.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.1
37.1%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.313.9
72.0%
73.6%13.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLLLLLLLW
Reggiana
LLWWLLWLLW
#15
League position
#12
-9.5
Net rating
-14.4
107.4
Offensive rating
115.2
116.9
Defensive rating
129.6
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.5%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.1%
3-point %
37.1%
51.6%
Assist %
50.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 115.2Defence116.9 · 129.6Shooting52.5% · 52.5%3-point %32.1% · 37.1%Ball care16.9% · 14.7%Off. rebounds29.2% · 34.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virtus Roma wins
5
Reggiana wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HSassari88-93
08/02/20AFortitudo Bologna92-95
02/02/20HPistoia80-81
26/01/20ACremona92-103
19/01/20ABrindisi81-88 OT
12/01/20HVirtus Bologna68-97
29/12/19AReggiana88-96
26/12/19AVenezia77-79
22/12/19HBrescia53-83
14/12/19ATrento88-82
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20APistoia79-86
02/02/20ACremona93-95
25/01/20HCantu85-73
18/01/20ATrento103-81
11/01/20HBrescia81-87
05/01/20AFortitudo Bologna69-86
29/12/19HVirtus Roma96-88
26/12/19ABrindisi72-87
22/12/19HVenezia85-104
15/12/19HTrieste87-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%36%27%
Points / game78.576.780.3
Allowed / game85.583.287.7
Point differential-7.0-6.5-7.5
Avg total164.0159.9168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Reggiana
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game82.981.983.8
Allowed / game84.081.885.9
Point differential-1.0+0.1-2.1
Avg total166.9163.7169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.