Virtus Roma vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 72-68

22-23 24-20 11-17 15-8

Position#5

Record7-4

FormWWLLW

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game72.8

Virtus Roma 🏆

Sassari

Position#4

Record8-3

FormWWWLL

Points / game85.9

Allowed / game79.0

Lega ARound 12

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Sassari

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sassari winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gravelines-Dunkerque

#20

64-74

-10

A20/11

Eurocup

Cremona

#14

78-68

+10

A24/11

Lega A

Belfius Mons

#53

60-61

-1

H27/11

Eurocup

Olimpia Milano

61-55

H02/12

Lega A

Alba Berlin

81-84

-3

A05/12

Eurocup

Pesaro

#15

82-77

A08/12

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

83-81

H10/12

Eurocup

Siena

70-82

-12

A15/12

Lega A

Bonn

#28

88-96 OT

-8

A18/12

Eurocup

Reggiana

72-67

H22/12

Lega A

17-15

14-20

16-15

17-24

23-11

16-31

23-12

16-14

18-12

20-20

13-14

9-15

9-19

13-10

16-20

23-6

17-15

21-22

24-17

19-30

18-18

25-19

15-21

24-19

18-18

19-25

19-18

27-20

19-19

18-18

19-23

14-22

14-21

23-27

29-20

17-15

18-20

16-20

13-13

25-14

148.4Avg total

73.9Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	74.5	72.8	147.3	+1.6	64%
Season at home (5)	72.2	70.4	142.6	+1.8	60%
Season away (6)	76.3	74.8	151.2	+1.5	67%
Last 10 (10)	73.9	74.5	148.4	-0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	80.6	159.6	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	73.4	75.3	148.8	-1.9	33%
vs Similar (16)	74.6	77.2	151.8	-2.7	38%
vs Weaker (5)	77.2	71.4	148.6	+5.8	80%

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oldenburg

#26

82-74

H20/11

Eurocup

Avellino

#12

78-75

H24/11

Lega A

Bilbao

#19

93-91 OT

A27/11

Eurocup

Venezia

#11

95-87

A01/12

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

#36

82-80

A03/12

Eurocup

Reggiana

92-85

H08/12

Lega A

Cedevita

#21

77-68

H11/12

Eurocup

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

88-69

+19

A14/12

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#49

63-68

-5

A17/12

Eurocup

Siena

60-62

-2

H22/12

Lega A

20-21

14-15

21-15

27-23

18-21

20-23

19-14

21-17

14-18

23-20

23-22

20-20

12-18

25-19

21-25

37-25

28-22

26-24

12-15

16-19

29-23

15-24

18-17

30-21

23-18

12-16

30-19

12-15

28-22

20-11

24-20

16-16

30-23

14-13

5-16

14-16

14-19

15-16

13-6

18-21

156.9Avg total

81.0Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	85.9	79.0	164.9	+6.9	73%
Season at home (6)	86.3	75.3	161.7	+11.0	83%
Season away (5)	85.4	83.4	168.8	+2.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	75.9	156.9	+5.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	70.4	146.4	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	85.3	79.9	165.2	+5.4	63%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	86.7	79.4	166.1	+7.4	73%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaSassari

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.6	35.2	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	16.9	34.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.4	36.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	16.8	33.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.6	17.8	33.3	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.6	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.8	41.9	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	20.5	43.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	21.0	45.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.3	19.8	43.1	+3.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	18.7	35.4	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.2	39.7	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	56%	-
vs Similar (16)	16.5	20.1	36.6	-3.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.2	40.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.4	40.4	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	16.0	31.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	64%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gravelines-Dunkerque

#20

31-35

-4

A20/11

Eurocup

Cremona

#14

39-42

-3

A24/11

Lega A

Belfius Mons

#53

38-32

H27/11

Eurocup

Olimpia Milano

22-29

-7

H02/12

Lega A

Alba Berlin

38-37

A05/12

Eurocup

Pesaro

#15

43-37

A08/12

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

37-43

-6

H10/12

Eurocup

Siena

37-37

A15/12

Lega A

Bonn

#28

37-48

-11

A18/12

Eurocup

Reggiana

34-40

-6

H22/12

Lega A

73.6Avg total

35.6Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	37.4	72.6	-2.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.1	35.6	69.7	-1.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	39.3	75.5	-3.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	38.0	73.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	41.0	78.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	33.8	34.8	68.6	-1.0	22%	-
vs Similar (16)	34.2	38.1	72.3	-3.9	19%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.8	40.0	80.8	+0.8	40%	-

This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oldenburg

#26

34-36

-2

H20/11

Eurocup

Avellino

#12

38-44

-6

H24/11

Lega A

Bilbao

#19

37-38

-1

A27/11

Eurocup

Venezia

#11

37-37

A01/12

Lega A

Chalon/Saone

#36

54-46

A03/12

Eurocup

Reggiana

44-47

-3

H08/12

Lega A

Cedevita

#21

35-34

H11/12

Eurocup

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

48-33

+15

A14/12

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#49

44-36

A17/12

Eurocup

Siena

29-35

-6

H22/12

Lega A

78.6Avg total

40.0Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	40.1	82.6	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	39.4	81.5	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	40.9	83.8	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	38.6	78.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.0	77.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	41.5	40.4	81.9	+1.2	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.1	39.6	83.7	+4.5	64%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.0	37.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	44%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	15.0	33.4	+3.4	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.3	38.8	+2.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	16.6	37.7	+4.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.9	35.5	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.6	33.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	20.3	17.7	38.1	+2.6	68%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.3	19.2	37.6	-0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	16.4	34.4	+1.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	20.1	43.9	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.8	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.6	20.5	42.2	+1.1	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.4	76.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	36.7	74.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	38.1	77.9	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	35.2	73.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.0	77.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.3	39.0	77.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.1	38.3	78.4	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	36.4	31.4	67.8	+5.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	38.6	81.1	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.8	36.8	81.6	+8.1	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	40.8	80.6	-0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	36.2	75.9	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	33.4	69.4	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (19)	42.4	38.0	80.4	+4.4	79%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	42.6	39.7	82.4	+2.9	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Sassari wins

Date	Game	Score
14/04/13	Sassari v Virtus Roma	105-87
23/12/12	Virtus Roma v Sassari	81-83
07/03/12	Virtus Roma v Sassari	68-72
19/11/11	Sassari v Virtus Roma	80-68
17/04/11	Sassari v Virtus Roma	86-85
28/12/10	Virtus Roma v Sassari	92-80

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/13	H	Reggiana	72-67
18/12/13	A	Bonn	88-96 OT
15/12/13	A	Siena	70-82
10/12/13	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	83-81
08/12/13	A	Pesaro	82-77
05/12/13	A	Alba Berlin	81-84
02/12/13	H	Olimpia Milano	61-55
27/11/13	H	Belfius Mons	60-61
24/11/13	A	Cremona	78-68
20/11/13	A	Gravelines-Dunkerque	64-74

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/13	H	Siena	60-62
17/12/13	A	Spirou Charleroi	63-68
14/12/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	88-69
11/12/13	H	Cedevita	77-68
08/12/13	H	Reggiana	92-85
03/12/13	A	Chalon/Saone	82-80
01/12/13	A	Venezia	95-87
27/11/13	A	Bilbao	93-91 OT
24/11/13	H	Avellino	78-75
20/11/13	H	Oldenburg	82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	64%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	LWWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	64%	60%	67%
Points / game	74.5	72.2	76.3
Allowed / game	72.8	70.4	74.8
Point differential	+1.6	+1.8	+1.5
Avg total	147.3	142.6	151.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	9%	20%	0%

Sassari

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	73%
Home	WWWWL	83%
Away	LLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	83%	60%
Points / game	85.9	86.3	85.4
Allowed / game	79.0	75.3	83.4
Point differential	+6.9	+11.0	+2.0
Avg total	164.9	161.7	168.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	11	9	2	82%	81.6	70.1	+11.5
2	Sassari	11	8	3	73%	85.9	79.0	+6.9
3	Cantu	11	8	3	73%	83.0	79.7	+3.3
4	Brindisi	12	8	4	67%	78.1	74.4	+3.7
5	Virtus Roma	11	7	4	64%	74.5	72.8	+1.6
6	Olimpia Milano	11	6	5	55%	78.9	74.3	+4.6
7	Virtus Bologna	11	6	5	55%	80.5	79.9	+0.5
8	Avellino	12	6	6	50%	76.2	78.5	-2.3
9	Caserta	11	5	6	45%	76.2	74.3	+1.9
10	Reggiana	11	5	6	45%	72.6	72.4	+0.3
11	Venezia	11	5	6	45%	78.2	78.5	-0.3
12	Varese	11	4	7	36%	79.6	81.8	-2.2
13	Pistoia	11	4	7	36%	75.1	79.7	-4.6
14	Sutor Montegranaro	11	4	7	36%	78.4	87.5	-9.2
15	Cremona	11	2	9	18%	76.5	83.4	-6.9
16	Pesaro	11	2	9	18%	81.5	90.5	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	22	24	11	15	72
Sassari	23	20	17	8	68

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Sassari Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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