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Virtus Roma vs Treviso Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 17:15
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game90.1
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Treviso
10 Jan 2021
VRO v TRV
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
VRO69
TRV81
01 Apr 2012
VRO102
TRV99
14 Nov 2010
VRO84
TRV73
07 Feb 2010
VRO100
TRV76
14 Dec 2008
VRO96
TRV75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
85-101
85
101
-16
A22/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
14-18
18-22
17-23
20-21
18-29
16-12
20-10
16-13
15-28
28-24
10-14
18-23
17-20
16-28
28-23
27-27
21-23
15-23
27-28
22-27
162.3Avg total
73.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.987.7162.6-12.822%
Season at home (4)73.285.2158.5-12.025%
Season away (5)76.289.6165.8-13.420%
Last 10 (10)73.688.7162.3-15.120%
Last 5 (5)76.687.2163.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.490.9165.3-16.415%
vs Similar (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
98-87
98
87
+11
A07/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A03/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H06/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
93-97
93
97
-4
A13/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
72-98
72
98
-26
H20/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H03/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
30-22
21-14
23-24
24-25
20-19
22-12
23-26
23-27
21-17
14-30
16-24
28-18
19-22
28-26
16-15
29-21
9-19
25-33
30-24
22-21
30-19
27-26
22-24
20-26
21-26
11-19
20-27
16-29
14-16
28-8
22-26
14-18
21-23
24-22
20-21
22-28
27-20
22-16
15-24
174.7Avg total
86.3Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.490.1174.4-5.743%
Season at home (7)87.187.6174.7-0.457%
Season away (7)81.692.6174.1-11.029%
Last 10 (10)86.388.4174.7-2.150%
Last 5 (5)83.687.8171.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.092.2169.2-15.20%
vs Similar (17)84.083.0167.0+1.059%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.072.7153.7+8.367%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
Virtus RomaTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/10
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H08/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A15/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
33.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.947.184.0-10.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.445.381.6-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)37.348.786.0-11.412%-
Last 10 (10)33.744.277.9-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.948.284.1-12.311%-
vs Similar (2)46.535.582.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A07/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A03/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H06/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A13/12
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H20/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H03/01
Lega A
87.7Avg total
43.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.583.5+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.142.884.9-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.382.0+1.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.387.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.286.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.843.284.0-2.430%-
vs Similar (17)42.441.583.9+0.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.036.079.0+7.067%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.9
52.8%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.4
31.5%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.011.2
65.9%
75.8%11.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.2
53.4%
51.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
35.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.114.4
79.6%
75.8%14.4
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLWL
Treviso
LLWLWLWLWW
#16
League position
#7
-16.4
Net rating
-3.0
100.3
Offensive rating
111.6
116.7
Defensive rating
114.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.0%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.5%
3-point %
33.0%
56.9%
Assist %
57.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 111.6Defence116.7 · 114.6Shooting50.7% · 51.8%3-point %31.5% · 33.0%Ball care16.6% · 15.0%Off. rebounds21.5% · 29.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virtus Roma wins
5
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
24/11/19Virtus Roma v Treviso69-81
01/04/12Virtus Roma v Treviso102-99 OT
10/12/11Treviso v Virtus Roma93-79
27/02/11Treviso v Virtus Roma86-72
14/11/10Virtus Roma v Treviso84-73
07/02/10Virtus Roma v Treviso100-76
17/10/09Treviso v Virtus Roma92-85
08/04/09Treviso v Virtus Roma79-62
14/12/08Virtus Roma v Treviso96-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20ACantu85-101
15/11/20AVarese88-98
08/11/20HVenezia71-89
31/10/20ABrescia70-64
25/10/20HPesaro69-84
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/21HVenezia86-88
30/12/20ATrieste79-84
27/12/20AVarese80-79
20/12/20HVirtus Bologna72-98
16/12/20HCremona101-90
13/12/20ASassari93-97
06/12/20HPesaro91-81
03/12/20AReggiana74-98
18/11/20HCantu89-82
07/11/20AFortitudo Bologna98-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game74.973.276.2
Allowed / game87.785.289.6
Point differential-12.8-12.0-13.4
Avg total162.6158.5165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game84.487.181.6
Allowed / game90.187.692.6
Point differential-5.7-0.4-11.0
Avg total174.4174.7174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1413193%89.172.9+16.1
2 Brindisi1411379%86.579.4+7.1
3 Virtus Bologna149564%84.677.1+7.4
4 Sassari149564%89.685.9+3.7
5 Venezia148657%78.676.9+1.6
6 Pesaro158753%83.381.4+1.9
7 Cremona136746%83.985.2-1.2
8 Reggiana136746%76.577.8-1.3
9 Trieste136746%75.677.2-1.6
10 Trento146843%78.679.7-1.1
11 Treviso146843%84.490.1-5.7
12 Cantu145936%76.881.5-4.7
13 Fortitudo Bologna1551033%78.982.6-3.7
14 Brescia1551033%79.483.3-3.9
15 Varese134931%79.986.8-6.9
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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