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Brindisi vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-67
22-15 25-14 27-20 18-18
Position#3
Record0-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.0
ItalyLega ARound 2
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Brindisi v Virtus Roma
04 Oct 2020
BRI92
VRO67
14 Sep 2020
BRI98
VRO62
19 Jan 2020
BRI88
VRO81
26 Dec 2014
BRI84
VRO54
26 Jan 2014
BRI72
VRO62
30 Dec 2012
BRI82
VRO86
23 Jan 2011
BRI80
VRO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H01/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-77
103
77
+26
A09/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
96-95
96
95
+1
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
98-62
98
62
+36
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A27/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
18-26
22-25
24-16
16-14
18-18
15-24
25-21
16-18
29-17
33-28
25-14
21-18
17-19
15-20
18-26
30-15
19-26
18-12
23-16
20-24
28-15
17-24
24-28
25-28
21-29
24-20
26-18
20-23
24-9
28-18
12-20
19-13
20-20
32-12
27-17
15-15
13-18
18-27
21-15
163.9Avg total
85.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.075.0142.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)67.075.0142.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)85.878.1163.9+7.760%
Last 5 (5)86.878.6165.4+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.091.0173.0-9.00%
vs Similar (13)84.086.6170.6-2.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.775.2160.9+10.573%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H07/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
71-114
71
114
-43
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
56-89
56
89
-33
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
76-99
76
99
-23
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
27-15
14-25
18-20
18-22
23-19
16-28
35-26
19-24
16-30
27-19
26-20
21-29
17-39
18-30
15-16
15-30
26-19
12-18
16-23
7-23
20-28
13-25
20-28
16-24
9-20
19-23
12-22
22-35
15-26
13-21
26-17
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
167.4Avg total
73.5Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.593.9167.4-20.410%
Last 5 (5)67.093.2160.2-26.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.790.4166.0-14.719%
vs Similar (3)81.073.3154.3+7.767%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
BrindisiVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H01/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A09/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/09
Lega A
79.1Avg total
41.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.581.0+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.837.879.7+4.069%-
Last 30 away (17)41.240.882.1+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.079.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.046.587.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (13)42.642.084.6+0.654%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.636.577.1+4.167%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H07/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-68
38
68
-30
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
37-61
37
61
-24
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
84.4Avg total
36.9Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.345.884.1-7.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.143.781.9-5.647%-
Last 30 away (15)38.547.886.3-9.320%-
Last 10 (10)36.947.584.4-10.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.245.478.6-12.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.447.284.6-9.823%-
vs Similar (3)44.735.380.0+9.3100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.1
50.1%
51.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.6
34.8%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.415.1
77.8%
75.8%15.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.224.9
55.1%
51.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.3
31.2%
35.9%18.9
🏀 Free throws16.011.2
70.0%
75.8%11.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
LWWWLWLWLW
Virtus Roma
WLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#16
+1.0
Net rating
-10.1
115.2
Offensive rating
106.1
114.2
Defensive rating
116.2
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.5%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.8%
3-point %
31.2%
48.1%
Assist %
51.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 106.1Defence114.2 · 116.2Shooting50.9% · 52.5%3-point %34.8% · 31.2%Ball care15.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds36.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Brindisi   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brindisi wins
4
Virtus Roma wins
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/20AVenezia67-75
14/09/20HVirtus Roma98-62
12/09/20APesaro84-70
10/09/20HSassari96-95
07/09/20ASassari89-91
05/09/20AVirtus Roma90-69
03/09/20HPesaro71-83
09/02/20APesaro103-77
01/02/20HOlimpia Milano74-77
26/01/20ABrescia86-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98
12/09/20HSassari76-99
10/09/20HPesaro56-89
07/09/20APesaro60-104
05/09/20HBrindisi69-90
03/09/20ASassari71-114
07/03/20HSassari88-93
08/02/20AFortitudo Bologna92-95
02/02/20HPistoia80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game75.0-75.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total142.0-142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano220100%95.567.5+28.0
2 Trieste220100%88.074.5+13.5
3 Venezia220100%79.066.5+12.5
4 Virtus Bologna220100%82.572.5+10.0
5 Varese220100%91.086.0+5.0
6 Virtus Roma110100%81.076.0+5.0
7 Sassari21150%83.579.5+4.0
8 Reggiana21150%79.084.0-5.0
9 Treviso21150%74.092.0-18.0
10 Brescia2020%84.587.5-3.0
11 Fortitudo Bologna2020%79.584.5-5.0
12 Trento2020%80.585.5-5.0
13 Brindisi1010%67.075.0-8.0
14 Pesaro1010%85.095.0-10.0
15 Cantu1010%65.084.0-19.0
16 Cremona2020%71.592.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi2225271892
Virtus Roma1514201867
← all games of the day
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