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Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 93-71
25-16 28-14 24-17 16-24
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game66.7
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Roma
Italy
Position#16
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game86.7
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma
18 Oct 2020
MIL93
VRO71
01 Mar 2020
MIL v VRO
upcoming
12 Apr 2015
MIL77
VRO56
16 Mar 2014
MIL85
VRO61
22 Oct 2012
MIL87
VRO82
03 Jan 2012
MIL83
VRO75
21 Nov 2010
MIL76
VRO70
25 Apr 2010
MIL64
VRO66
04 Jan 2009
MIL68
VRO85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Varese
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
H20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
82avg 77
A27/09
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
no box
A02/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
104-64
104
64
+40
105avg 77
H04/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 77
H09/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
87-65
87
65
+22
78avg 77
A11/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 77
A14/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
W
78-70
78
70
+8
63avg 77
H16/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
23-21
25-18
24-18
27-15
16-8
14-23
19-21
21-16
24-17
8-18
22-17
19-17
25-23
20-13
23-18
15-14
17-17
22-24
16-15
24-12
25-22
28-12
27-18
20-17
25-23
16-14
26-19
26-12
19-24
24-9
18-20
21-18
21-18
16-27
17-23
10-19
21-23
23-13
24-15
156.1Avg total
84.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.766.7159.3+26.0100%
Season at home (1)104.064.0168.0+40.0100%
Season away (2)87.068.0155.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.172.0156.1+12.190%
Last 5 (5)86.271.6157.8+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
vs Similar (7)80.374.0154.3+6.386%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.772.0158.7+14.786%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
76avg 70
H07/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
71-114
71
114
-43
no box
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
no box
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
56-89
56
89
-33
no box
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
76-99
76
99
-23
no box
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
82avg 70
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
49avg 70
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
65avg 70
H11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
16-30
27-19
26-20
21-29
17-39
18-30
15-16
15-30
26-19
12-18
16-23
7-23
20-28
13-25
20-28
16-24
9-20
19-23
12-22
22-35
15-26
13-21
26-17
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
164.9Avg total
70.2Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.386.7160.0-13.333%
Season at home (2)76.584.0160.5-7.550%
Season away (1)67.092.0159.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)70.294.7164.9-24.510%
Last 5 (5)71.691.4163.0-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.690.7165.2-16.119%
vs Similar (3)81.073.3154.3+7.767%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -8.9-8.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -8.9-8.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
Olimpia MilanoVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A27/09
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A02/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H04/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A11/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A14/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H16/10
Euroleague
77.4Avg total
41.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.578.7+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.136.479.5+6.681%-
Last 30 away (14)41.136.677.8+4.571%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.677.4+6.290%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.680.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (7)36.934.671.4+2.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.036.780.7+7.286%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H07/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-68
38
68
-30
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
37-61
37
61
-24
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
82.1Avg total
33.2Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.846.183.9-8.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.243.880.9-6.644%-
Last 30 away (14)38.648.887.4-10.221%-
Last 10 (10)33.248.982.1-15.710%-
Last 5 (5)33.244.677.8-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.847.684.4-10.823%-
vs Similar (3)44.735.380.0+9.3100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.3
46.7%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.5
40.4%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.6
76.5%
75.8%16.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.8
54.0%
51.2%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.2
33.0%
35.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.310.5
68.6%
75.8%10.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWWWWW
Virtus Roma
LLWLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#16
+13.9
Net rating
-13.2
112.6
Offensive rating
106.4
98.7
Defensive rating
119.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.5%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.23
40.4%
3-point %
33.0%
55.0%
Assist %
53.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 106.4Defence98.7 · 119.6Shooting51.9% · 52.5%3-point %40.4% · 33.0%Ball care14.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds27.9% · 26.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 10%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
27/10/19Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano73-79
12/04/15Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma77-56
21/12/14Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano68-79
16/03/14Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma85-61
02/12/13Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano61-55
17/02/13Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano66-79
22/10/12Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma87-82
25/04/12Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano78-91
03/01/12Olimpia Milano v Virtus Roma83-75
06/03/11Virtus Roma v Olimpia Milano80-62
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/20HReal Madrid78-70
14/10/20AOlympiacos75-86
11/10/20ATrieste87-65
09/10/20HLyon-Villeurbanne87-73
04/10/20HTreviso104-64
02/10/20ABayern81-79 OT
27/09/20AReggiana87-71
20/09/20HVirtus Bologna75-68
18/09/20HVenezia76-67
10/09/20HVarese91-77
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98
12/09/20HSassari76-99
10/09/20HPesaro56-89
07/09/20APesaro60-104
05/09/20HBrindisi69-90
03/09/20ASassari71-114
07/03/20HSassari88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.7104.087.0
Allowed / game66.764.068.0
Point differential+26.0+40.0+19.0
Avg total159.3168.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game73.376.567.0
Allowed / game86.784.092.0
Point differential-13.3-7.5-25.0
Avg total160.0160.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano330100%92.766.7+26.0
2 Sassari43175%87.079.2+7.8
3 Brindisi32167%79.772.7+7.0
4 Venezia32167%76.774.3+2.3
5 Trieste32167%80.378.7+1.7
6 Cantu32167%78.778.7+0.0
7 Virtus Bologna42250%81.079.2+1.8
8 Reggiana42250%77.878.8-1.0
9 Varese42250%82.285.5-3.2
10 Cremona42250%79.586.0-6.5
11 Brescia31233%87.787.3+0.3
12 Virtus Roma31233%73.386.7-13.3
13 Treviso31233%78.392.7-14.3
14 Fortitudo Bologna41325%84.582.0+2.5
15 Pesaro41325%76.079.8-3.8
16 Trento41325%75.580.2-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2528241693
Virtus Roma1614172471
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