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Virtus Roma vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-84
14-18 18-22 17-23 20-21
Position#16
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game79.8
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Pesaro
25 Oct 2020
VRO69
PES84
10 Sep 2020
VRO56
PES89
17 Nov 2019
VRO92
PES83
28 Feb 2015
VRO76
PES80
22 Mar 2014
VRO96
PES85
20 Jan 2013
VRO65
PES64
11 Jan 2012
VRO73
PES77
30 Jan 2011
VRO85
PES53
14 Mar 2010
VRO70
PES61
15 Mar 2009
VRO98
PES76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
71-114
71
114
-43
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
56-89
56
89
-33
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
76-99
76
99
-23
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
17-39
18-30
15-16
15-30
26-19
12-18
16-23
7-23
20-28
13-25
20-28
16-24
9-20
19-23
12-22
22-35
15-26
13-21
26-17
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
20-20
24-12
20-28
17-16
15-22
14-25
20-27
18-18
10-21
13-23
21-18
28-30
16-25
14-28
17-24
24-16
163.2Avg total
68.5Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.888.2161.0-15.525%
Season at home (2)76.584.0160.5-7.550%
Season away (2)69.092.5161.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)68.594.7163.2-26.210%
Last 5 (5)70.690.2160.8-19.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.990.9165.8-16.019%
vs Similar (3)81.073.3154.3+7.767%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
104-60
104
60
+44
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
89-56
89
56
+33
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A04/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A11/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
57-71
57
71
-14
H17/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
19-17
20-15
26-18
23-26
19-27
17-9
12-24
23-7
28-20
25-13
28-20
24-16
20-9
23-19
22-12
23-20
9-24
18-28
20-12
23-28
25-22
17-15
16-13
26-18
16-22
27-29
16-26
13-21
19-15
27-19
13-26
19-23
22-15
23-17
26-17
8-16
16-15
23-22
10-18
155.6Avg total
80.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.079.8155.8-3.825%
Season at home (2)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
Season away (2)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)80.275.4155.6+4.850%
Last 5 (5)77.079.4156.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)79.991.6171.5-11.79%
vs Similar (6)72.378.5150.8-6.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)96.558.0154.5+38.5100%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.3-9.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
Virtus RomaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
38-68
38
68
-30
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
37-61
37
61
-24
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H27/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A04/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A18/10
Lega A
81.5Avg total
32.7Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.946.484.4-8.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.943.881.7-5.947%-
Last 30 away (15)38.049.187.1-11.120%-
Last 10 (10)32.748.881.5-16.110%-
Last 5 (5)31.843.074.8-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.948.084.9-11.023%-
vs Similar (3)44.735.380.0+9.3100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H27/09
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A04/10
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A11/10
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H17/10
Lega A
77.5Avg total
39.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.683.3-3.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.742.679.3-5.920%-
Last 30 away (15)42.744.687.3-1.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.277.5+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.076.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.145.685.7-5.523%-
vs Similar (6)35.842.077.8-6.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.526.073.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.823.9
54.6%
51.2%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.7
30.9%
35.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws15.811.0
69.6%
75.8%11.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.1
49.0%
51.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.5
32.9%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.512.3
70.3%
75.8%12.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLWLLLLLL
Pesaro
LWLLWLWWLW
#16
League position
#10
-16.2
Net rating
-12.3
105.4
Offensive rating
105.6
121.6
Defensive rating
117.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
49.1%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.4%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.9%
3-point %
32.9%
53.9%
Assist %
49.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 105.6Defence121.6 · 117.9Shooting51.8% · 49.1%3-point %30.9% · 32.9%Ball care15.9% · 16.4%Off. rebounds25.5% · 31.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virtus Roma wins
5
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
10/09/20Virtus Roma v Pesaro56-89
07/09/20Pesaro v Virtus Roma104-60
17/11/19Virtus Roma v Pesaro92-83
28/02/15Virtus Roma v Pesaro76-80
08/11/14Pesaro v Virtus Roma89-87
22/03/14Virtus Roma v Pesaro96-85
08/12/13Pesaro v Virtus Roma77-82
20/01/13Virtus Roma v Pesaro65-64
30/09/12Pesaro v Virtus Roma71-75
02/05/12Pesaro v Virtus Roma83-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/20AOlimpia Milano71-93
11/10/20HSassari72-92
04/10/20ABrindisi67-92
27/09/20HFortitudo Bologna81-76
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98
12/09/20HSassari76-99
10/09/20HPesaro56-89
07/09/20APesaro60-104
05/09/20HBrindisi69-90
03/09/20ASassari71-114
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/20HTrento57-71
11/10/20AVenezia90-72
04/10/20ACantu72-81
27/09/20HSassari85-95
14/09/20ASassari81-78
12/09/20HBrindisi70-84
10/09/20AVirtus Roma89-56
07/09/20HVirtus Roma104-60
05/09/20HSassari71-86
03/09/20ABrindisi83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game72.876.569.0
Allowed / game88.284.092.5
Point differential-15.5-7.5-23.5
Avg total161.0160.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game76.071.081.0
Allowed / game79.883.076.5
Point differential-3.8-12.0+4.5
Avg total155.8154.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano550100%90.668.4+22.2
2 Venezia54180%80.876.4+4.4
3 Brindisi43175%84.575.2+9.2
4 Sassari53260%88.083.2+4.8
5 Virtus Bologna53260%81.878.0+3.8
6 Reggiana53260%78.876.4+2.4
7 Trieste42250%76.077.8-1.8
8 Cantu42250%75.877.8-2.0
9 Cremona42250%79.586.0-6.5
10 Brescia52340%81.081.6-0.6
11 Varese52340%80.485.4-5.0
12 Pesaro41325%76.079.8-3.8
13 Trento41325%75.580.2-4.8
14 Treviso41325%79.594.2-14.8
15 Virtus Roma41325%72.888.2-15.5
16 Fortitudo Bologna51420%81.882.0-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Roma1418172069
Pesaro1822232184
← all games of the day
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