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Vitoria vs CAB Madeira Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.4
PortugalLPBRound 12· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vitoria v CAB Madeira
03 Jan 2027
VITO v CAB
upcoming
01 Apr 2023
VITO106
CAB 82
11 Dec 2022
VITO91
CAB 109
05 Nov 2022
VITO101
CAB 75
07 Nov 2021
VITO76
CAB 84
18 Mar 2021
VITO89
CAB 100
26 Oct 2019
VITO85
CAB 79
22 Mar 2019
VITO95
CAB 58
03 Nov 2018
VITO88
CAB 72
20 May 2018
VITO89
CAB 76
19 May 2018
VITO100
CAB 104
22 Mar 2018
VITO94
CAB 79
21 Oct 2017
VITO92
CAB 78
29 Oct 2016
VITO76
CAB 93
15 Apr 2016
VITO92
CAB 91
30 Jan 2016
VITO97
CAB 87
06 May 2015
VITO86
CAB 76
26 Apr 2015
VITO74
CAB 77
25 Apr 2015
VITO73
CAB 61
08 Mar 2015
VITO82
CAB 60
26 Oct 2013
VITO86
CAB 81
03 Feb 2013
VITO77
CAB 78
07 Jan 2012
VITO67
CAB 72
18 Dec 2010
VITO81
CAB 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CAB Madeira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
83avg 69
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 69
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 69
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 69
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 69
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
72-91
72
91
-19
54avg 69
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
61avg 69
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
57avg 69
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
48-91
48
91
-43
no box
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
H13/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
12-20
18-23
22-26
20-22
24-21
19-13
15-20
16-18
18-12
21-16
14-23
15-24
10-21
11-34
12-22
15-14
16-23
10-26
17-23
22-21
159.1Avg total
74.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.783.9152.6-15.129%
Season at home (4)69.581.8151.2-12.225%
Season away (3)67.786.7154.3-19.033%
Last 10 (10)74.784.4159.1-9.740%
Last 5 (5)65.484.4149.8-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.588.8163.3-14.425%
vs Similar (6)89.587.2176.7+2.367%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.525%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadeira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
81avg 75
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
52avg 75
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
66avg 75
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 75
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
54avg 75
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 75
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 75
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
102avg 75
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
28-20
18-19
23-18
26-26
11-22
17-17
7-13
13-30
18-18
27-21
14-21
18-14
24-17
21-25
15-27
20-21
12-18
20-19
17-15
23-22
26-20
25-20
19-22
15-26
20-22
21-18
26-27
20-21
25-24
25-24
20-21
18-20
18-23
30-20
20-27
18-11
13-29
14-12
17-17
164.7Avg total
80.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.786.4169.1-3.714%
Season at home (3)93.393.3186.7+0.033%
Season away (4)74.881.2156.0-6.50%
Last 10 (10)80.284.5164.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)86.489.8176.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.983.3163.2-3.433%
vs Similar (12)78.876.2155.0+2.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.077.9161.9+6.178%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
VitoriaCAB Madeira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A07/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H13/11
LPB
74.5Avg total
34.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.082.6-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.339.079.3+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.947.586.4-8.614%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.874.5-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.873.6-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.543.080.5-5.535%-
vs Similar (6)44.742.787.3+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)42.843.286.0-0.550%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/11
LPB
80.6Avg total
38.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.779.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.177.9+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.080.7-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.980.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.942.183.0-1.233%-
vs Similar (12)37.736.874.5+0.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.637.882.3+6.878%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.1
46.7%
51.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.5
29.1%
31.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.816.4
61.2%
71.1%16.4
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.8
51.5%
51.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
31.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
71.1%12.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLLWLLWWLW
CAB Madeira
LLLLWLLLLW
#9
League position
#10
-5.3
Net rating
+0.5
83.7
Offensive rating
92.5
88.9
Defensive rating
92.1
45.6%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.1%
3-point %
36.1%
55.8%
Assist %
64.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence83.7 · 92.5Defence88.9 · 92.1Shooting45.6% · 52.8%3-point %29.1% · 36.1%Ball care14.7% · 16.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Vitoria   ■ CAB Madeira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vitoria wins
5
CAB Madeira wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26CAB Madeira v Vitoria78-83
01/04/23Vitoria v CAB Madeira106-82
05/03/23CAB Madeira v Vitoria104-90
28/01/23CAB Madeira v Vitoria79-101
11/12/22Vitoria v CAB Madeira91-109
05/11/22Vitoria v CAB Madeira101-75
29/01/22CAB Madeira v Vitoria78-93
07/11/21Vitoria v CAB Madeira76-84
18/03/21Vitoria v CAB Madeira89-100
13/12/20CAB Madeira v Vitoria85-66
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HFC Porto65-93
07/11/26ASporting CP48-91
01/11/26HCD Povoa68-75
24/10/26HPortimonense74-72
18/10/26ABraga72-91
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABenfica62-69
07/11/26ACA Queluz86-90
31/10/26HOliveirense109-113 OT
25/10/26AFC Porto82-93
17/10/26HSporting CP93-84
10/10/26ACD Povoa69-73
03/10/26HVitoria78-83
31/05/26ACD Povoa72-90
30/05/26ACD Povoa61-78
24/05/26HCD Povoa90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game68.769.567.7
Allowed / game83.981.886.7
Point differential-15.1-12.2-19.0
Avg total152.6151.2154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CAB Madeira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game82.793.374.8
Allowed / game86.493.381.2
Point differential-3.7+0.0-6.5
Avg total169.1186.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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