PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

VMI vs East Tennessee St Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#175
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#287
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · VMI v East Tennessee St
05 Dec 2026
VMI v EAST
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
VMI70
EAST87
05 Feb 2025
VMI55
EAST62
24 Jan 2024
VMI73
EAST74
31 Dec 2022
VMI50
EAST64
29 Jan 2022
VMI83
EAST79
15 Feb 2020
VMI67
EAST72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
East Tennessee St win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H21/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#500
W
115-83
115
83
+32
H02/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#31
L
70-95
70
95
-25
A06/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#164
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#358
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H11/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#377
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-44
44-38
30-38
32-43
36-36
25-44
33-42
46-44
27-39
43-45
60-31
55-52
28-47
42-48
35-31
33-39
32-22
33-29
38-18
33-35
150.2Avg total
73.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Season at home (3)83.762.3146.0+21.3100%
Season away (2)69.082.5151.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)73.776.5150.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)68.983.0152.0-14.19%
vs Similar (2)62.081.0143.0-19.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.768.0150.7+14.767%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A18/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H09/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#36
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A03/11
NCAA
NC State
#43
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
44-35
39-36
48-39
37-33
32-39
35-49
41-33
36-32
47-44
24-38
45-29
35-42
26-34
31-37
34-38
36-35
27-42
25-25
43-28
144.1Avg total
71.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.368.3133.7-3.033%
Season at home (1)68.053.0121.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)71.972.2144.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)65.269.6134.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
vs Similar (8)71.476.2147.6-4.938%
vs Weaker (20)78.168.5146.6+9.675%
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +2.6+2.6
VMIEast Tennessee St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#500
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H02/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#31
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A06/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#164
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#358
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#377
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H14/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
35.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.836.970.7-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.333.370.6+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)30.740.170.8-9.412%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.869.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.868.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.239.471.6-7.317%-
vs Similar (2)29.540.570.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.328.070.3+14.3100%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H08/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#36
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/11
NCAA
NC State
#43
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H12/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
33.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.769.6+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.333.167.4+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)35.736.472.1-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)33.236.169.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.235.465.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.536.069.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (8)32.640.272.9-7.60%-
vs Weaker (20)36.032.368.3+3.870%-
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
VMI wins
9
East Tennessee St wins
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMary Baldwin71-53
11/11/26HN. Carolina Central65-51
07/11/26AUTSA Roadrunners68-70
06/11/26ASMU Mustangs70-95
02/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg115-83
07/03/26ANC Greensboro70-84
28/02/26AChattanooga Mocs79-86
27/02/26ASamford61-80
21/02/26HWestern Carolina62-81
18/02/26AWofford76-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HCampbell68-53
07/11/26ANC State63-77
03/11/26AArizona State65-75
09/03/26HFurman61-76
08/03/26HWestern Carolina69-67
07/03/26HCitadel83-76
28/02/26AMercer76-82
26/02/26HWofford69-72
21/02/26ANC Greensboro87-75
18/02/26AFurman78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game77.883.769.0
Allowed / game70.462.382.5
Point differential+7.4+21.3-13.5
Avg total148.2146.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
East Tennessee St
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game65.368.064.0
Allowed / game68.353.076.0
Point differential-3.0+15.0-12.0
Avg total133.7121.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.