Vytis VDU vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

On 12 November 2026 the NKL will feature Vytis VDU hosting Kretinga, with Vytis VDU the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them at 87% to win, reflecting their 7-3 record, 96.4 points per game and 89.6 allowed per game, and a 5-th league position, while Kretinga sits 15th with 2-10, 80.2 points per game and 89.3 allowed per game. Vytis VDU have gone 4-1 at home, averaging 95.0 points and 88.4 allowed, and won three of their last five games, including a 98-90 home win over Kedainiai BC on 7 November, a 101-77 away win over Mazeikiai on 5 November and a 107-81 away win over Vilkaviskis on 3 November; Kretinga have a 2-4 road record, 76.3 points per game and 84.5 allowed, and have won only one of their last five, a 75-72 away win over Omega-Tauras on 31 October. In their 10 previous meetings Vytis VDU have won 7 times to Kretinga's 3, most recently 90-85 on 10 April 2026. Pythia projects a 97-84 score, 181.5 total points, a 9.5-point home line with a 61% chance of covering, a 179.5 over line with a 54% chance of the over, and a 3% overtime probability, underscoring Vytis VDU's dominance as they prepare to extend their winning streak.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vytis VDU winWon

86.6%fair 1.15

Best odds1.40

Implied70.4%

Edge+16.2pp

Kretinga winLost

13.4%fair 7.46

Best odds3.56

Implied29.6%

Edge-16.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 18:15 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vytis VDU

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVDU

Date

Competition

Ukmerges Stekas

#14

90-89 OT

80avg 84

A01/10

NKL

Neptunas 2

88-84

81avg 84

H06/10

NKL

Alytaus Patriotai

#10

105-110 OT

105

110

-5

85avg 84

A15/10

NKL

Zalgiris Kaunas 2

#11

104-92

104

+12

104avg 84

H17/10

NKL

Kauno Atletas

#17

97-85

+12

87avg 84

H22/10

NKL

Silute

86-97

-11

63avg 84

A29/10

NKL

Telsiai

88-91

-3

76avg 84

H31/10

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#12

107-81

107

+26

no box

A03/11

NKL

Mazeikiai

#15

101-77

101

+24

no box

A05/11

NKL

Kedainiai BC

#13

98-90

no box

H07/11

NKL

22-25

17-21

23-17

18-17

26-17

16-24

26-23

20-20

24-26

20-21

23-18

29-31

30-19

33-28

25-23

16-22

34-21

25-16

14-22

24-26

21-24

22-26

18-25

25-22

12-20

23-27

23-25

30-19

21-23

24-21

35-19

27-18

26-21

17-20

32-15

21-19

25-23

22-24

30-24

186.0Avg total

96.4Scored

89.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	96.4	89.6	186.0	+6.8	70%
Season at home (5)	95.0	88.4	183.4	+6.6	80%
Season away (5)	97.8	90.8	188.6	+7.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	96.4	89.6	186.0	+6.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	96.0	87.2	183.2	+8.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	92.7	98.7	191.3	-6.0	0%
vs Similar (13)	87.7	86.9	174.6	+0.8	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	96.6	89.1	185.7	+7.4	71%

This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kretinga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKretinga

Date

Competition

Plunges Olimpas

85-98

-13

72avg 76

A08/10

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

#14

95-99

-4

89avg 76

H10/10

NKL

Suduva-Mantinga

83-88

-5

80avg 76

H15/10

NKL

Kauno Atletas

#17

84-72

+12

82avg 76

A17/10

NKL

Alytaus Patriotai

#10

70-90

-20

56avg 76

A22/10

NKL

Zalgiris Kaunas 2

#11

85-101

101

-16

74avg 76

H24/10

NKL

Jurbarkas

79-86

-7

71avg 76

H29/10

NKL

Omega-Tauras

75-72

73avg 76

A31/10

NKL

BC Olimpas Palanga

86-100

100

-14

no box

H05/11

NKL

Rytas 2

#18

79-91

-12

no box

A07/11

NKL

20-22

19-21

28-27

18-28

25-19

20-22

20-27

30-31

18-31

24-21

23-15

18-21

23-16

24-23

17-10

20-23

15-25

21-23

13-25

21-17

16-25

22-24

23-23

24-29

23-21

18-19

25-27

13-19

18-22

14-19

18-14

25-17

19-27

23-21

18-18

26-34

21-22

21-25

20-19

17-25

171.8Avg total

82.1Scored

89.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	80.2	89.3	169.5	-9.2	17%
Season at home (6)	84.0	94.2	178.2	-10.2	0%
Season away (6)	76.3	84.5	160.8	-8.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	89.7	171.8	-7.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	90.0	170.8	-9.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	78.6	90.8	169.4	-12.1	18%
vs Similar (10)	83.9	81.7	165.6	+2.2	60%
vs Weaker (3)	97.3	90.7	188.0	+6.7	100%

This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 176.25Actual: Over 176.25

Over 176.25

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under 176.25

no forecast

@ 1.91

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.72

Under

1xBet

1.91

Over/Under 181.25 · main lineActual: Over 181.25

Over 181.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 181.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 186Actual: Over 186

Over 186

38.4%

Under 186

61.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Vytis VDU total 88Actual: Vytis VDU over 88

Over 88

82.7%

Under 88

17.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Vytis VDU total 92 · main lineActual: Vytis VDU over 92

Over 92

70.3%

@ 1.72+20.3pp

Under 92

29.7%

@ 1.72-20.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.72

Under

1xBet

1.72

Vytis VDU total 96Actual: Vytis VDU over 96

Over 96

54.6%

@ 1.85+7.9pp

Under 96

45.4%

@ 1.62-7.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.85

Under

1xBet

1.62

Kretinga total 81.5Actual: Kretinga over 81.5

Over 81.5

60.7%

@ 1.40-1.8pp

Under 81.5

39.3%

@ 2.34+1.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.40

Under

1xBet

2.34

Kretinga total 85.5 · main lineActual: Kretinga over 85.5

Over 85.5

45.1%

@ 1.82-4.7pp

Under 85.5

54.9%

@ 1.83+4.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.74

Under

Betano

1.83

1xBet

1.70

Kretinga total 89.5Actual: Kretinga over 89.5

Over 89.5

30.4%

@ 2.39-6.2pp

Under 89.5

69.6%

@ 1.38+6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.39

Under

1xBet

1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Vytis VDU -9.5Actual: Kretinga +9.5

VYTI -9.5

61.1%

@ 2.20+14.3pp

KRET +9.5

38.9%

@ 1.83-14.3pp

Best 5 market prices

VYTI

1xBet

2.20

Pinnacle

1.99

Betfair

1.91

SBO

1.88

Betano

1.85

KRET

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.80

Betano

1.78

SBO

1.78

Pinnacle

1.75

Spread Vytis VDU -6.5 · main lineActual: Vytis VDU -6.5

VYTI -6.5

71.2%

@ 1.87+21.3pp

KRET +6.5

28.8%

@ 1.99-21.3pp

Best 5 market prices

VYTI

Pinnacle

1.87

Betano

1.83

1xBet

1.80

Betfair

1.80

SBO

1.72

KRET

SBO

1.99

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.86

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.78

Spread Vytis VDU -3.5Actual: Vytis VDU -3.5

VYTI -3.5

80.1%

@ 1.51+18.9pp

KRET +3.5

19.9%

@ 2.38-18.9pp

Best 5 market prices

VYTI

Pinnacle

1.51

1xBet

1.44

KRET

Pinnacle

2.38

1xBet

2.31

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Vytis VDUKretinga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	53%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	21.1	44.4	+2.1	56%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	21.7	44.4	+0.9	50%	50%
Last 10 (10)	23.7	21.5	45.2	+2.2	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	33%	33%
vs Similar (13)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.7	38%	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.5	20.9	45.4	+3.6	71%	64%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	40%	30%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	47%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	33%	33%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.4	42.8	-4.0	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.0	23.5	42.5	-4.5	24%	41%
vs Similar (10)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	60%	10%
vs Weaker (3)	24.0	19.7	43.7	+4.3	67%	33%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	23.1	45.4	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	22.6	45.9	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	23.6	44.9	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.8	45.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	23.6	47.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	29.3	51.7	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.4	23.2	45.5	-0.8	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.5	42.5	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	21.6	40.9	-2.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	22.2	42.1	-2.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.7	22.7	49.3	+4.0	100%	-

Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ukmerges Stekas

#14

39-46

-7

A01/10

NKL

Neptunas 2

42-41

H06/10

NKL

Alytaus Patriotai

#10

44-47

-3

A15/10

NKL

Zalgiris Kaunas 2

#11

63-47

+16

H17/10

NKL

Kauno Atletas

#17

59-37

+22

H22/10

NKL

Silute

43-50

-7

A29/10

NKL

Telsiai

35-47

-12

H31/10

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#12

45-44

A03/11

NKL

Mazeikiai

#15

52-42

+10

A05/11

NKL

Kedainiai BC

#13

46-42

H07/11

NKL

91.1Avg total

46.8Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)	45.3	44.5	89.8	+0.9	50%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	43.7	90.3	+2.9	56%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	45.4	89.2	-1.5	43%	71%
Last 10 (10)	46.8	44.3	91.1	+2.5	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	44.2	45.0	89.2	-0.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.0	52.3	93.3	-11.3	0%	67%
vs Similar (13)	44.7	44.8	89.5	-0.1	46%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	46.9	42.5	89.4	+4.4	64%	64%

This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Plunges Olimpas

39-43

-4

A08/10

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

#14

45-41

H10/10

NKL

Suduva-Mantinga

42-52

-10

H15/10

NKL

Kauno Atletas

#17

47-39

A17/10

NKL

Alytaus Patriotai

#10

36-48

-12

A22/10

NKL

Zalgiris Kaunas 2

#11

38-49

-11

H24/10

NKL

Jurbarkas

41-40

H29/10

NKL

Omega-Tauras

32-41

-9

A31/10

NKL

BC Olimpas Palanga

42-48

-6

H05/11

NKL

Rytas 2

#18

42-47

-5

A07/11

NKL

85.2Avg total

40.4Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.5	82.5	-2.4	37%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	42.6	84.1	-1.1	53%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	42.3	80.9	-3.8	20%	20%
Last 10 (10)	40.4	44.8	85.2	-4.4	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	39.0	45.0	84.0	-6.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.1	44.5	82.6	-6.4	18%	29%
vs Similar (10)	40.1	39.0	79.1	+1.1	50%	20%
vs Weaker (3)	50.7	42.3	93.0	+8.3	100%	33%

This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Vytis VDU win

VYTI win

no forecast

@ 1.44

KRET win

no forecast

@ 2.85

1st half Spread Vytis VDU -3.5 · main lineActual: Vytis VDU -3.5

VYTI -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

KRET +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half Over/Under 87.5 · main lineActual: Over 87.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Vytis VDU 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Vytis VDU over 45.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Kretinga 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Kretinga over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Spread Vytis VDU -4.5Actual: Vytis VDU -4.5

VYTI -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.88

KRET +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Over 89.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.86

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Vytis VDU (regulation)

VYTI

no forecast

@ 1.50

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.00

KRET

no forecast

@ 2.70

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.6	44.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	22.6	45.6	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	24.3	48.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.5	23.6	45.1	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	23.6	44.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.5	22.4	41.8	-2.9	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	20.8	44.6	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.4	20.7	45.1	+3.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	21.4	46.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	19.6	48.4	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	28.0	22.0	50.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.5	18.5	40.1	+3.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	25.0	22.6	47.6	+2.4	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	22.7	43.3	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	23.7	44.4	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	24.4	45.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	24.8	45.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.1	23.2	43.3	-3.1	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.0	21.3	42.3	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	24.7	47.0	-2.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	43.4	89.3	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.7	43.6	88.3	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.4	43.1	90.5	+4.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	43.0	90.7	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	42.2	94.0	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	51.7	46.3	98.0	+5.3	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	43.0	42.2	85.2	+0.8	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	47.5	43.9	91.4	+3.6	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	44.0	84.6	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	47.3	88.6	-6.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.0	40.7	80.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	44.9	86.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	45.0	86.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.6	45.5	85.1	-5.9	24%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.3	41.4	83.7	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

VYTI win + total 179.5

🔒 Pro

KRET win + total 179.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: VYTI leads at half

🔒 Pro

🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Vytis VDU -7	70.2%	1.86	Pinnacle 1.94	SBO 1.78	-	-	-	+22.2pp	Won
Vytis VDU over 91	73.7%	1.67	1xBet 1.67	-	-	-	-	+22.1pp	Won
Vytis VDU (regulation)	84.9%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+21.8pp	Won
Vytis VDU -6	73.5%	1.79	Pinnacle 1.79	-	-	-	-	+21.3pp	Won
Vytis VDU -6.5	71.2%	1.80	Pinnacle 1.87	Betano 1.83	1xBet 1.80	Betfair 1.80	SBO 1.72	+21.3pp	Won
Vytis VDU -2.5	82.3%	1.44	1xBet 1.44	-	-	-	-	+20.8pp	Won
Vytis VDU -5	76.6%	1.65	Pinnacle 1.65	-	-	-	-	+20.3pp	Won
Vytis VDU over 92	70.3%	1.72	1xBet 1.72	-	-	-	-	+20.3pp	Won
Vytis VDU -5.5	74.3%	1.71	Betano 1.80	Pinnacle 1.72	1xBet 1.62	-	-	+20.1pp	Won
Vytis VDU -4	79.5%	1.55	Pinnacle 1.55	-	-	-	-	+19.9pp	Won
Vytis VDU over 91.5	71.3%	1.71	Betano 1.75	1xBet 1.67	-	-	-	+19.6pp	Won
Vytis VDU over 90.5	74.6%	1.57	1xBet 1.57	-	-	-	-	+19.6pp	Won
Vytis VDU over 89.5	77.7%	1.49	1xBet 1.49	-	-	-	-	+19.4pp	Won
Vytis VDU -4.5	77.3%	1.56	Pinnacle 1.60	1xBet 1.52	-	-	-	+19.3pp	Won
Vytis VDU over 88.5	80.6%	1.42	1xBet 1.42	-	-	-	-	+19.0pp	Won
Vytis VDU -3.5	80.1%	1.48	Pinnacle 1.51	1xBet 1.44	-	-	-	+18.9pp	Won
Vytis VDU over 87.5	83.2%	1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	-	+18.5pp	Won
Vytis VDU over 85.5	87.7%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+18.4pp	Won
Vytis VDU over 86.5	85.6%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+17.7pp	Won
Vytis VDU win	86.6%	1.32	WilliamHill 1.40	Betfair 1.36	1xBet 1.35	Betano 1.33	Pinnacle 1.31	+16.2pp	Won
Kretinga under 91.5	76.0%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Lost
Kretinga under 90.5	72.9%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Lost
Overtime: no	97.2%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Kretinga over 78.5	71.6%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 93.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	26.0	61.3%	54.5%	52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.3	34.0%	31.3%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	16.8	10.5	62.5%	67.1%	10.5

They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 78.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

54%

29%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	19.3	54.2%	54.5%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	8.5	31.1%	31.3%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	23.0	14.8	64.3%	67.1%	14.8

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	49.2	28.4	57.7%	54.5%	56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.3	5.9	32.2%	31.3%	17.7
🏀 Free throws	22.1	14.5	65.6%	67.1%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	22.5	57.5%	54.5%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	9.3	30.5%	31.3%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	20.8	14.6	70.2%	67.1%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	25.4	61.9%	54.5%	50.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	9.0	33.3%	31.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	20.3	13.2	64.9%	67.1%	13.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	22.2	54.1%	54.5%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	7.6	30.3%	31.3%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	22.6	14.8	65.3%	67.1%	14.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.1	25.5	56.6%	54.5%	51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.8	8.1	34.0%	31.3%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	19.1	13.5	70.4%	67.1%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	22.8	57.7%	54.5%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	8.9	30.2%	31.3%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	14.3	67.1%	67.1%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Vytis VDU

WWWLLWWLWW

Kretinga

LLWLLLWLLL

League position

#16

+4.7

Net rating

-9.7

99.3

Offensive rating

89.2

94.6

Defensive rating

98.9

57.0%

Effective FG%

51.0%

55.2%

Opp. effective FG%

52.4%

14.5%

Turnover %

16.1%

0.23

Free-throw rate

0.37

34.0%

3-point %

31.1%

52.6%

Assist %

60.1%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

20%

Profile

■ Vytis VDU ■ Kretinga

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vytis VDU wins

Kretinga wins

Date	Game	Score
10/04/26	Vytis VDU v Kretinga	90-85
08/04/26	Kretinga v Vytis VDU	69-75
04/04/26	Vytis VDU v Kretinga	103-107 OT
31/03/26	Kretinga v Vytis VDU	78-96
27/03/26	Vytis VDU v Kretinga	91-95
29/01/26	Vytis VDU v Kretinga	84-79
02/10/25	Kretinga v Vytis VDU	78-89
08/03/25	Kretinga v Vytis VDU	88-102
06/03/25	Vytis VDU v Kretinga	94-93
12/12/24	Kretinga v Vytis VDU	90-86

Vytis VDUlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Kedainiai BC	98-90
05/11/26	A	Mazeikiai	101-77
03/11/26	A	Vilkaviskis	107-81
31/10/26	H	Telsiai	88-91
29/10/26	A	Silute	86-97
22/10/26	H	Kauno Atletas	97-85
17/10/26	H	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	104-92
15/10/26	A	Alytaus Patriotai	105-110 OT
06/10/26	H	Neptunas 2	88-84
01/10/26	A	Ukmerges Stekas	90-89 OT

Kretingalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Rytas 2	79-91
05/11/26	H	BC Olimpas Palanga	86-100
31/10/26	A	Omega-Tauras	75-72
29/10/26	H	Jurbarkas	79-86
24/10/26	H	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	85-101
22/10/26	A	Alytaus Patriotai	70-90
17/10/26	A	Kauno Atletas	84-72
15/10/26	H	Suduva-Mantinga	83-88
10/10/26	H	Ukmerges Stekas	95-99
08/10/26	A	Plunges Olimpas	85-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vytis VDU

NKL 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	70%
Home	WWWLW	80%
Away	WLLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	70%	80%	60%
Points / game	96.4	95.0	97.8
Allowed / game	89.6	88.4	90.8
Point differential	+6.8	+6.6	+7.0
Avg total	186.0	183.4	188.6
Over 181.25	60%	60%	60%
Win by 10+	40%	40%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	20%	0%	40%

Kretinga

NKL 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	17%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LWLWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	17%	0%	33%
Points / game	80.2	84.0	76.3
Allowed / game	89.3	94.2	84.5
Point differential	-9.2	-10.2	-8.2
Avg total	169.5	178.2	160.8
Over 181.25	33%	50%	17%
Win by 10+	8%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Telsiai	12	11	1	92%	90.5	74.2	+16.3
2	Jurbarkas	11	10	1	91%	90.2	77.6	+12.5
3	BC Olimpas Palanga	12	10	2	83%	96.2	84.7	+11.6
4	Suduva-Mantinga	11	8	3	73%	91.7	77.6	+14.1
5	Vytis VDU	10	7	3	70%	96.4	89.6	+6.8
6	Neptunas 2	12	8	4	67%	78.2	75.0	+3.2
7	Silute	12	8	4	67%	84.3	82.2	+2.2
8	Plunges Olimpas	12	7	5	58%	82.6	78.8	+3.8
9	Alytaus Patriotai	12	7	5	58%	85.1	84.7	+0.4
10	Omega-Tauras	12	6	6	50%	90.0	87.2	+2.8
11	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	12	5	7	42%	94.2	96.8	-2.7
12	Vilkaviskis	12	5	7	42%	80.9	85.2	-4.3
13	Kedainiai BC	12	4	8	33%	77.0	84.7	-7.7
14	Ukmerges Stekas	12	3	9	25%	77.8	89.5	-11.8
15	Kretinga	12	2	10	17%	80.2	89.3	-9.2
16	Mazeikiai	12	2	10	17%	76.8	88.7	-11.9
17	Kauno Atletas	12	2	10	17%	79.3	92.6	-13.2
18	Rytas 2	12	1	11	8%	77.7	87.2	-9.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vytis VDU	28	28	24	27	107
Kretinga	17	24	28	29	98

← all games of the day

Vytis VDU vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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