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Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#22
Record4-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game113.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#14
Record7-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game116.2
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Atlanta Hawks
11 Jan 2027
WAS v ATL
upcoming
04 Nov 2026
WAS105
ATL120
06 Dec 2025
WAS116
ATL131
25 Nov 2025
WAS132
ATL113
08 Feb 2025
WAS111
ATL125
30 Oct 2024
WAS133
ATL120
31 Dec 2023
WAS126
ATL130
25 Nov 2023
WAS108
ATL136
10 Mar 2023
WAS107
ATL114
08 Mar 2023
WAS120
ATL122
04 Mar 2022
WAS114
ATL117
28 Oct 2021
WAS122
ATL111
29 Jan 2021
WAS100
ATL116
06 Mar 2020
WAS118
ATL112
10 Jan 2020
WAS111
ATL101
04 Feb 2019
WAS129
ATL137
02 Jan 2019
WAS114
ATL98
06 Apr 2018
WAS97
ATL103
11 Nov 2017
WAS113
ATL94
26 Apr 2017
WAS103
ATL99
19 Apr 2017
WAS109
ATL101
16 Apr 2017
WAS114
ATL107
22 Mar 2017
WAS104
ATL100
04 Nov 2016
WAS95
ATL92
13 Apr 2016
WAS109
ATL98
23 Mar 2016
WAS101
ATL122
15 May 2015
WAS91
ATL94
11 May 2015
WAS101
ATL106
09 May 2015
WAS103
ATL101
12 Apr 2015
WAS108
ATL99
25 Nov 2014
WAS102
ATL106
29 Mar 2014
WAS101
ATL97
30 Nov 2013
WAS108
ATL101
12 Jan 2013
WAS93
ATL83
18 Dec 2012
WAS95
ATL100
24 Mar 2012
WAS92
ATL95
09 Apr 2011
WAS115
ATL83
05 Feb 2011
WAS92
ATL99
10 Apr 2010
WAS95
ATL105
11 Mar 2010
WAS99
ATL105
02 Mar 2009
WAS89
ATL98
29 Nov 2008
WAS98
ATL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-120
124
120
+4
118avg 98
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 98
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 98
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 98
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#24
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 98
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 98
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 98
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 98
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 98
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
101-114
101
114
-13
no box
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
29-35
40-20
27-38
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
25-26
25-29
27-22
24-37
219.3Avg total
106.0Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)107.5113.4220.9-5.933%
Season at home (4)107.5106.8214.2+0.850%
Season away (8)107.5116.8224.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)106.0113.3219.3-7.330%
Last 5 (5)104.8121.8226.6-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)111.0128.2239.2-17.20%
vs Similar (4)113.0109.8222.8+3.250%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
114-121
114
121
-7
107avg 107
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
110-120
110
120
-10
92avg 107
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
117-129
117
129
-12
111avg 107
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
114-111
114
111
+3
113avg 107
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
99-121
99
121
-22
32avg 107
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
108-104
108
104
+4
92avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
120-105
120
105
+15
118avg 107
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
139-132
139
132
+7
139avg 107
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
124-121
124
121
+3
108avg 107
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
114-124
114
124
-10
109avg 107
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
22-29
33-33
33-29
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
18-33
30-30
26-29
25-29
37-29
31-27
19-23
21-25
37-32
31-29
25-24
27-20
28-32
38-27
39-35
34-38
27-37
39-33
22-25
36-26
22-31
35-37
33-27
24-29
234.7Avg total
115.9Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)118.2116.2234.4+2.158%
Season at home (6)120.3123.0243.3-2.750%
Season away (6)116.2109.3225.5+6.867%
Last 10 (10)115.9118.8234.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)121.0117.2238.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)106.8116.9223.8-10.131%
vs Similar (6)121.2114.8236.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)125.2113.2238.4+12.082%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Washington WizardsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#24
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/11
NBA
113.9Avg total
54.5Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.262.2116.4-7.913%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.762.4117.1-7.88%-
Last 30 away (18)53.962.0115.9-8.117%-
Last 10 (10)54.559.4113.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)52.862.8115.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)54.065.0119.0-11.05%-
vs Similar (4)59.054.5113.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H10/11
NBA
120.1Avg total
58.9Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.5118.5+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.658.4115.0-1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)63.458.6122.0+4.867%-
Last 10 (10)58.961.2120.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)65.062.8127.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)54.660.0114.6-5.438%-
vs Similar (6)61.756.2117.8+5.583%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)65.558.0123.5+7.573%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.731.7
55.9%
54.0%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.9
34.2%
35.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.518.7
79.6%
76.8%18.7
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.928.8
55.5%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.313.3
32.2%
35.0%39.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
76.8%16.5
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLWWLLW
Atlanta Hawks
LWWWWLWLLL
#22
League position
#14
-5.8
Net rating
-9.0
108.3
Offensive rating
109.8
114.2
Defensive rating
118.7
54.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.2%
3-point %
32.2%
58.9%
Assist %
69.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 109.8Defence114.2 · 118.7Shooting54.2% · 52.3%3-point %34.2% · 32.2%Ball care13.6% · 14.1%Off. rebounds22.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AIndiana Pacers101-114
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
25/10/26AChicago Bulls124-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers114-124
08/11/26HBrooklyn Nets124-121
07/11/26HWashington Wizards139-132
05/11/26AWashington Wizards120-105
03/11/26AIndiana Pacers108-104
31/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans99-121
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120
25/10/26HHouston Rockets114-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game107.5107.5107.5
Allowed / game113.4106.8116.8
Point differential-5.9+0.8-9.2
Avg total220.9214.2224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game118.2120.3116.2
Allowed / game116.2123.0109.3
Point differential+2.1-2.7+6.8
Avg total234.4243.3225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
21 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
22 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
23 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
24 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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