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Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#21
Record4-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game108.1
Allowed / game113.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#24
Record3-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game115.2
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Indiana Pacers
17 Jan 2027
WAS v IND
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
WAS131
IND118
19 Feb 2026
WAS112
IND105
27 Mar 2025
WAS109
IND162
12 Feb 2025
WAS130
IND134
15 Dec 2023
WAS137
IND123
11 Feb 2023
WAS127
IND113
28 Oct 2022
WAS117
IND127
06 Mar 2022
WAS133
IND123
22 Oct 2021
WAS135
IND134
20 May 2021
WAS142
IND115
03 May 2021
WAS154
IND141
29 Mar 2021
WAS132
IND124
03 Aug 2020
WAS100
IND111
15 Apr 2020
WAS v IND
upcoming
23 Feb 2019
WAS112
IND119
30 Jan 2019
WAS107
IND89
17 Mar 2018
WAS109
IND102
04 Mar 2018
WAS95
IND98
10 Feb 2017
WAS112
IND107
28 Dec 2016
WAS111
IND105
05 Mar 2016
WAS99
IND100
24 Nov 2015
WAS106
IND123
25 Mar 2015
WAS101
IND103
05 Nov 2014
WAS96
IND94
15 May 2014
WAS80
IND93
11 May 2014
WAS92
IND95
09 May 2014
WAS63
IND85
28 Mar 2014
WAS91
IND78
06 Apr 2013
WAS104
IND85
19 Nov 2012
WAS89
IND96
04 Apr 2012
WAS96
IND109
22 Mar 2012
WAS83
IND85
22 Feb 2011
WAS96
IND113
29 Dec 2010
WAS104
IND90
14 Apr 2010
WAS98
IND97
12 Dec 2009
WAS113
IND114
08 Feb 2009
WAS119
IND117
15 Dec 2008
WAS98
IND118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana Pacers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#16
L
102-112
102
112
-10
91avg 98
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-120
124
120
+4
118avg 98
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 98
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 98
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 98
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 98
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 98
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 98
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 98
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 98
A10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
31-26
25-21
25-31
28-27
29-35
40-20
27-38
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
219.2Avg total
106.1Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.1113.4221.5-5.336%
Season at home (4)107.5106.8214.2+0.850%
Season away (7)108.4117.1225.6-8.729%
Last 10 (10)106.1113.1219.2-7.030%
Last 5 (5)105.2117.8223.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)111.8129.2241.0-17.40%
vs Similar ◀ (3)117.0108.3225.3+8.767%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPacers
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
105-121
105
121
-16
96avg 104
H23/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
136-109
136
109
+27
138avg 104
A25/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
L
102-110
102
110
-8
90avg 104
A27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
109-114
109
114
-5
104avg 104
H28/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
125-145
125
145
-20
115avg 104
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 104
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
104-108
104
108
-4
75avg 104
H03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
107-103
107
103
+4
98avg 104
A05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
102-114
102
114
-12
97avg 104
H07/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
122-125
122
125
-3
117avg 104
A10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-44
16-33
33-21
29-23
24-26
41-30
37-24
34-29
29-31
32-19
24-34
17-26
25-25
27-37
36-13
21-39
42-36
19-32
27-35
37-42
19-20
21-23
22-28
28-27
29-37
27-31
23-19
25-21
32-24
22-28
26-30
27-21
19-27
22-37
37-26
24-24
31-26
35-30
27-34
29-35
224.9Avg total
110.2Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)111.4115.2226.5-3.827%
Season at home (5)102.0111.0213.0-9.00%
Season away (6)119.2118.7237.8+0.550%
Last 10 (10)110.2114.7224.9-4.520%
Last 5 (5)105.0109.6214.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)111.9121.0232.8-9.114%
vs Similar ◀ (6)124.7122.2246.8+2.550%
vs Weaker (3)109.3105.7215.0+3.733%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
Washington WizardsIndiana Pacers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#16
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
114.6Avg total
54.7Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.662.9117.5-8.213%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.762.4117.1-7.88%-
Last 30 away (18)54.663.2117.8-8.617%-
Last 10 (10)54.759.9114.6-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)54.863.6118.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)54.365.4119.8-11.14%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)62.054.3116.3+7.767%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Indiana Pacers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana PacersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
43-77
43
77
-34
H23/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A25/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A27/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H28/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H03/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A05/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
41-64
41
64
-23
H07/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A10/11
NBA
113.5Avg total
53.9Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.862.3120.1-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.665.6120.2-10.914%-
Last 30 away (16)60.659.4119.9+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)53.959.6113.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)51.456.6108.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)56.265.6121.9-9.424%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)64.556.8121.3+7.767%-
vs Weaker (3)55.349.7105.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.731.7
55.9%
54.0%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.9
34.2%
35.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.518.7
79.6%
76.8%18.7
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Indiana Pacerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Indiana Pacers: 111.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.026.6
56.6%
54.0%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.813.7
34.4%
35.0%41.1
🏀 Free throws23.417.4
74.4%
76.8%17.4
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLWWLLWL
Indiana Pacers
LLWLLLLLWL
#21
League position
#24
-5.8
Net rating
-2.9
108.3
Offensive rating
107.3
114.2
Defensive rating
110.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.7%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.2%
3-point %
34.4%
58.9%
Assist %
71.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 107.3Defence114.2 · 110.1Shooting54.2% · 54.3%3-point %34.2% · 34.4%Ball care13.6% · 13.7%Off. rebounds22.9% · 21.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Indiana Pacers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
25/10/26AChicago Bulls124-120
23/10/26HToronto Raptors102-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ADallas Mavericks122-125
07/11/26HDenver Nuggets102-114
05/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies107-103
03/11/26HAtlanta Hawks104-108
01/11/26HBrooklyn Nets90-98
31/10/26AMiami Heat125-145
28/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers109-114
27/10/26AMilwaukee Bucks102-110
25/10/26ABrooklyn Nets136-109
23/10/26HDallas Mavericks105-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%50%29%
Points / game108.1107.5108.4
Allowed / game113.4106.8117.1
Point differential-5.3+0.8-8.7
Avg total221.5214.2225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana Pacers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%0%50%
Points / game111.4102.0119.2
Allowed / game115.2111.0118.7
Point differential-3.8-9.0+0.5
Avg total226.5213.0237.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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