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Washington Wizards vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 01 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#23
Record4-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game113.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Washington Wizards v San Antonio Spurs
01 Jan 2027
WAS v SAS
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
WAS113
SAS124
10 Feb 2025
WAS121
SAS131
20 Jan 2024
WAS127
SAS131
24 Mar 2023
WAS136
SAS124
25 Feb 2022
WAS153
SAS157
26 Apr 2021
WAS143
SAS146
20 Nov 2019
WAS138
SAS132
05 Apr 2019
WAS112
SAS129
27 Mar 2018
WAS116
SAS106
26 Nov 2016
WAS100
SAS112
04 Nov 2015
WAS102
SAS99
13 Jan 2015
WAS101
SAS93
05 Feb 2014
WAS118
SAS125
26 Nov 2012
WAS92
SAS118
12 Feb 2011
WAS94
SAS118
02 Jan 2010
WAS86
SAS97
21 Feb 2009
WAS67
SAS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-120
124
120
+4
118avg 98
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 98
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 98
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 98
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 98
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 98
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 98
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 98
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 98
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
101-114
101
114
-13
83avg 98
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
29-35
40-20
27-38
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
25-26
25-29
27-22
24-37
219.3Avg total
106.0Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)107.5113.4220.9-5.933%
Season at home (4)107.5106.8214.2+0.850%
Season away (8)107.5116.8224.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)106.0113.3219.3-7.330%
Last 5 (5)104.8121.8226.6-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)111.0128.2239.2-17.20%
vs Similar (4)113.0109.8222.8+3.250%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
122-106
122
106
+16
109avg 111
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
130-103
130
103
+27
127avg 111
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
109avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
W
121-111
121
111
+10
116avg 111
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
119-97
119
97
+22
108avg 111
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
112-111
112
111
+1
102avg 111
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
124-109
124
109
+15
123avg 111
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
125-103
125
103
+22
122avg 111
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
122-96
122
96
+26
124avg 111
A10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-119
124
119
+5
112avg 111
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
36-29
24-29
30-17
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
34-28
26-33
33-27
28-23
27-16
32-33
35-20
25-28
32-26
36-25
22-29
22-31
38-29
37-27
24-24
25-29
22-20
42-29
45-27
16-27
31-25
30-21
32-22
29-28
29-41
27-29
34-19
34-30
228.2Avg total
121.6Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)119.2108.0227.2+11.283%
Season at home (6)116.0108.7224.7+7.367%
Season away (6)122.3107.3229.7+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)121.6106.6228.2+15.0100%
Last 5 (5)121.4107.6229.0+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)110.3107.5217.9+2.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)119.9106.3226.2+13.580%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Washington WizardsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A12/11
NBA
113.9Avg total
54.5Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.262.2116.4-7.913%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.762.4117.1-7.88%-
Last 30 away (18)53.962.0115.9-8.117%-
Last 10 (10)54.559.4113.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)52.862.8115.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)54.065.0119.0-11.05%-
vs Similar (4)59.054.5113.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A12/11
NBA
119.3Avg total
64.2Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.353.6111.8+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.250.5106.7+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)60.356.6116.9+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)64.255.1119.3+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)64.854.4119.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)56.153.5109.6+2.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)60.453.7114.1+6.760%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.431.5
55.9%
54.0%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.0
34.8%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws23.018.1
78.7%
77.1%18.1
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.928.3
51.5%
54.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.3
32.8%
35.1%36.9
🏀 Free throws24.319.6
80.7%
77.1%19.6
They take 92.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLWWLLW
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWWWWWWW
#23
League position
#3
-6.2
Net rating
+3.8
110.3
Offensive rating
109.7
116.5
Defensive rating
105.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.5%
Turnover %
11.7%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.8%
3-point %
32.8%
56.2%
Assist %
62.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 109.7Defence116.5 · 105.9Shooting54.5% · 50.6%3-point %34.8% · 32.8%Ball care13.5% · 11.7%Off. rebounds24.1% · 27.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 100%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AIndiana Pacers101-114
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
25/10/26AChicago Bulls124-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AChicago Bulls124-119
10/11/26APhoenix Suns122-96
08/11/26APortland Trail Blazers125-103
07/11/26ASacramento Kings124-109
05/11/26HDallas Mavericks112-111
03/11/26HUtah Jazz119-97
01/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves121-111
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
25/10/26ADallas Mavericks122-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game107.5107.5107.5
Allowed / game113.4106.8116.8
Point differential-5.9+0.8-9.2
Avg total220.9214.2224.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game119.2116.0122.3
Allowed / game108.0108.7107.3
Point differential+11.2+7.3+15.0
Avg total227.2224.7229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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