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Waverley vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 99-102
29-21 20-28 21-23 29-30
Position#13
Record9-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game96.3
vs
Position#4
Record13-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.3
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Waverley v Melbourne Tigers
19 Jul 2025
WAVE99
MELB102
20 Apr 2024
WAVE93
MELB94
02 Jul 2023
WAVE82
MELB73
17 Jul 2022
WAVE92
MELB64
13 Apr 2019
WAVE84
MELB81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
H25/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
107-122
107
122
-15
A31/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H09/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
113-101
113
101
+12
A14/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H21/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
92-97
92
97
-5
A05/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
92-96
92
96
-4
A06/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
102-128
102
128
-26
H11/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
A18/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
28-36
13-26
16-18
30-37
33-26
20-32
24-27
38-15
7-32
25-19
26-14
23-33
29-20
34-28
27-20
25-16
27-20
26-16
17-29
33-25
24-19
24-22
16-24
29-28
24-27
20-23
19-19
28-24
26-22
17-22
21-28
30-33
16-29
33-28
23-38
17-10
18-34
21-24
30-18
195.9Avg total
96.5Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)93.496.3189.7-2.943%
Season at home (10)94.192.6186.7+1.560%
Season away (11)92.899.6192.5-6.827%
Last 10 (10)96.599.4195.9-2.940%
Last 5 (5)95.6101.4197.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)90.8102.2193.0-11.427%
vs Similar (9)91.291.2182.4+0.044%
vs Weaker (6)90.587.3177.8+3.250%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H06/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A14/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H15/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H29/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H18/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
29-17
21-16
27-19
22-16
17-19
24-22
22-21
31-22
15-27
22-22
11-20
16-24
25-19
40-19
14-22
25-20
20-20
21-16
32-27
17-26
17-16
20-13
31-11
17-22
16-27
18-22
20-21
26-19
15-33
25-15
16-26
25-10
22-23
22-26
18-18
28-19
17-20
22-27
30-28
171.2Avg total
88.0Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.081.3168.3+5.662%
Season at home (11)87.180.5167.6+6.564%
Season away (10)86.882.2169.0+4.660%
Last 10 (10)88.083.2171.2+4.870%
Last 5 (5)84.484.4168.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.482.8169.2+3.660%
vs Similar (14)77.684.0161.6-6.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.576.2165.6+13.391%
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
WaverleyMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A31/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H09/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A14/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A05/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A06/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H11/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A18/07
NBL1 South
101.3Avg total
50.4Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.549.196.6-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.147.196.2+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)46.150.996.9-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)50.450.9101.3-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)49.050.299.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)47.252.199.3-4.920%-
vs Similar (9)49.346.695.9+2.867%-
vs Weaker (6)45.345.791.0-0.367%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H06/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H15/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H18/07
NBL1 South
84.5Avg total
42.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.284.8+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.642.586.1+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)41.641.983.5-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.184.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.083.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
vs Similar (14)40.842.683.4-1.843%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.441.185.5+3.355%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Waverley wins
2
Melbourne Tigers wins
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/25AKilsyth95-96 OT
11/07/25HSandringham Sabres102-128
06/07/25ANunawading92-96
05/07/25AEltham92-97
28/06/25HHobart Chargers97-90
21/06/25HKilsyth95-81
14/06/25AFrankston113-101
09/06/25HDiamond Valley96-80
31/05/25ARingwood107-122
25/05/25HKnox76-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/25HCasey Cavaliers97-94
11/07/25HDiamond Valley87-77
08/07/25ARingwood82-93
05/07/25ASandringham Sabres71-92
29/06/25HBendigo Braves85-66
28/06/25HNW Tasmania98-83
20/06/25AMt Gambier95-84
15/06/25HHobart Chargers79-91
14/06/25AKnox85-78
06/06/25HKeilor Thunder101-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game93.494.192.8
Allowed / game96.392.699.6
Point differential-2.9+1.5-6.8
Avg total189.7186.7192.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayLWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%64%60%
Points / game87.087.186.8
Allowed / game81.380.582.2
Point differential+5.6+6.5+4.6
Avg total168.3167.6169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%45%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2217577%91.784.4+7.4
2 Mt Gambier2216673%96.582.4+14.1
3 Eltham2214864%89.985.5+4.4
4 Kilsyth2214864%89.386.0+3.3
5 Melbourne Tigers2113862%87.081.3+5.6
6 Sandringham Sabres2113862%93.790.6+3.1
7 Ballarat2113862%88.389.6-1.3
8 Hobart Chargers2112957%88.786.5+2.1
9 Casey Cavaliers21111052%88.586.7+1.8
10 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
11 Nunawading22111150%87.486.4+1.0
12 Frankston2191243%91.991.0+1.0
13 Waverley2191243%93.496.3-2.9
14 Bendigo Braves2181338%82.094.0-12.0
15 Dandenong2281436%91.195.5-4.4
16 Keilor Thunder2281436%82.488.0-5.7
17 Geelong2271532%81.988.5-6.5
18 NW Tasmania2151624%86.592.4-5.9
19 Diamond Valley2151624%84.294.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waverley2920212999
Melbourne Tigers21282330102
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