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Sandringham Sabres vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 92-71
22-17 27-16 22-18 21-20
Position#3
Record9-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game91.2
vs
Position#4
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game79.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Sandringham Sabres v Melbourne Tigers
16 Aug 2025
SAND99
MELB80
05 Jul 2025
SAND92
MELB71
04 May 2024
SAND85
MELB71
08 Jun 2023
SAND99
MELB74
07 May 2022
SAND79
MELB84
04 Jul 2021
SAND83
MELB97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sandringham Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sandringham SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
W
104-97
104
97
+7
A27/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H03/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
103-104
103
104
-1
H10/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
106-87
106
87
+19
H17/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A24/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
103-100
103
100
+3
A06/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
102-67
102
67
+35
A14/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H15/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
112-105
112
105
+7
A21/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
118-97
118
97
+21
A28/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
34-20
26-30
17-18
25-20
12-11
21-20
27-22
21-25
34-29
27-25
21-25
25-26
20-15
33-24
28-22
24-20
25-17
23-26
21-23
21-30
30-24
24-14
28-32
24-14
25-25
27-12
26-16
19-23
19-16
35-19
26-29
30-24
25-27
22-27
35-27
34-24
23-23
36-27
25-23
192.8Avg total
102.5Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)92.591.2183.7+1.356%
Season at home (7)90.787.9178.6+2.943%
Season away (9)93.993.8187.7+0.167%
Last 10 (10)102.590.3192.8+12.290%
Last 5 (5)106.891.2198.0+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.089.0153.0-25.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.087.2173.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (21)96.785.3182.0+11.471%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H11/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
100-78
100
78
+22
A17/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
A24/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H06/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A14/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H15/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H29/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
11-21
16-24
23-14
35-18
23-23
24-23
18-14
15-18
25-14
13-15
16-22
30-26
16-24
20-24
20-15
24-22
29-17
21-16
27-19
22-16
17-19
24-22
22-21
31-22
15-27
22-22
11-20
16-24
25-19
40-19
14-22
25-20
20-20
21-16
32-27
17-26
17-16
20-13
31-11
169.4Avg total
88.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.679.5167.1+8.165%
Season at home (9)86.079.4165.4+6.656%
Season away (8)89.479.6169.0+9.875%
Last 10 (10)88.181.3169.4+6.870%
Last 5 (5)88.480.4168.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.181.4166.6+3.771%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.281.0157.2-4.831%
vs Weaker (10)89.776.1165.8+13.690%
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.9+2.9
Sandringham SabresMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sandringham SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A27/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H03/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H10/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A24/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A06/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A14/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A21/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A28/06
NBL1 South
93.9Avg total
49.7Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.743.690.3+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.141.886.9+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)48.145.293.4+2.969%-
Last 10 (10)49.744.293.9+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)50.046.096.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.244.888.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker (21)48.543.291.8+5.367%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H11/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A17/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H06/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A14/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H15/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/06
NBL1 South
85.4Avg total
43.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.684.0+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.343.185.4-0.927%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.182.7+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.285.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.882.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.043.085.0-1.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.340.782.0+0.646%-
vs Weaker (10)44.141.986.0+2.250%-
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25ABallarat118-97
21/06/25ADandenong112-105
15/06/25HEltham99-87
14/06/25ADiamond Valley102-67
06/06/25ACasey Cavaliers103-100
24/05/25ANunawading93-86
17/05/25HBallarat106-87
10/05/25HWaverley103-104
03/05/25HGeelong85-73
27/04/25ARingwood104-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25HBendigo Braves85-66
28/06/25HNW Tasmania98-83
20/06/25AMt Gambier95-84
15/06/25HHobart Chargers79-91
14/06/25AKnox85-78
06/06/25HKeilor Thunder101-74
31/05/25AGeelong86-89
24/05/25ACasey Cavaliers83-81 OT
17/05/25ABendigo Braves100-78
11/05/25HFrankston69-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sandringham Sabres
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%43%67%
Points / game92.590.793.9
Allowed / game91.287.993.8
Point differential+1.3+2.9+0.1
Avg total183.7178.6187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%56%75%
Points / game87.686.089.4
Allowed / game79.579.479.6
Point differential+8.1+6.6+9.8
Avg total167.1165.4169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1814478%91.382.9+8.3
2 Mt Gambier1913668%96.784.6+12.1
3 Melbourne Tigers1711665%87.679.5+8.1
4 Casey Cavaliers1710759%89.185.0+4.1
5 Ballarat1710759%88.591.9-3.4
6 Sandringham Sabres169756%92.591.2+1.3
7 Hobart Chargers1810856%86.984.5+2.4
8 Kilsyth1810856%87.285.4+1.8
9 Eltham179853%87.086.3+0.7
10 Waverley179853%93.094.4-1.4
11 Ringwood189950%93.990.9+3.1
12 Frankston178947%92.388.5+3.8
13 Nunawading178947%86.286.9-0.8
14 Bendigo Braves1981142%84.493.3-8.9
15 Geelong1771041%83.788.6-4.9
16 Keilor Thunder1661038%82.689.2-6.6
17 Diamond Valley1751229%84.593.8-9.4
18 NW Tasmania1851328%85.689.7-4.1
19 Dandenong1741324%89.196.6-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sandringham Sabres2227222192
Melbourne Tigers1716182071
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