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Waverley W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 May 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 74-71
17-18 23-11 18-24 16-18
Position#4
Record10-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#16
Record3-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game79.5
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2023
Meetings · Waverley W v Keilor Thunder W
28 May 2023
WAVE74
KEIL71
29 May 2022
WAVE77
KEIL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Waverley WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A13/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A15/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
106-74
106
74
+32
A22/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H30/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
W
98-63
98
63
+35
H07/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A12/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H14/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A20/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A21/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
21-19
21-14
29-27
16-18
23-12
23-16
24-17
25-24
25-18
39-12
17-20
16-14
14-21
26-14
15-11
25-14
20-16
14-16
13-21
30-20
25-22
29-5
14-16
17-30
30-23
23-18
11-26
25-26
22-16
34-19
13-21
26-16
22-26
20-22
18-8
27-22
18-14
29-17
19-32
161.4Avg total
87.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.773.9160.6+12.891%
Season at home (5)83.268.8152.0+14.4100%
Season away (6)89.778.2167.8+11.583%
Last 10 (10)87.374.1161.4+13.290%
Last 5 (5)90.479.8170.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.680.2155.9-4.650%
vs Similar (8)78.574.8153.2+3.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.967.1149.9+15.8100%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#19
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
52-81
52
81
-29
H15/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A22/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A29/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A30/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#11
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H06/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
97-94
97
94
+3
A13/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H20/05
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A27/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
17-14
9-19
17-8
14-20
11-23
17-17
10-21
18-32
18-28
11-17
12-13
14-17
15-27
13-23
22-27
18-19
15-16
16-21
13-26
12-11
20-10
23-22
19-17
22-22
33-21
28-23
14-28
22-20
19-23
12-12
21-25
9-23
24-25
16-17
16-14
17-20
19-20
15-19
10-20
146.5Avg total
67.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.579.5146.0-12.927%
Season at home (6)64.872.5137.3-7.733%
Season away (5)68.687.8156.4-19.220%
Last 10 (10)67.279.3146.5-12.130%
Last 5 (5)74.278.4152.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.480.8151.2-10.422%
vs Similar (6)72.377.3149.7-5.050%
vs Weaker (6)81.068.8149.8+12.283%
This opponent (Waverley W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +10.5+10.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -4.5-4.5
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +10.5+10.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -4.5-4.5
Waverley WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Waverley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A15/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A22/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H30/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H07/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A12/05
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#10
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H14/05
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/05
NBL1 South Women
83.1Avg total
44.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.678.4+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.735.073.7+3.762%-
Last 30 away (17)44.237.882.0+6.476%-
Last 10 (10)44.238.983.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.091.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.840.081.8+1.862%-
vs Similar (8)41.538.079.5+3.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.033.975.9+8.179%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#19
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H15/04
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#2
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A22/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A29/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A30/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#11
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H06/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A13/05
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H20/05
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H21/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A27/05
NBL1 South Women
76.2Avg total
35.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.478.4-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.437.473.9-1.056%-
Last 30 away (14)39.743.983.6-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)35.840.476.2-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.078.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.842.178.9-5.228%-
vs Similar (6)39.542.782.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker (6)39.833.373.2+6.5100%-
This opponent (Waverley W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Waverley W wins
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateGameScore
29/05/22Waverley W v Keilor Thunder W77-84
Waverley Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/23AKnox W93-85
20/05/23ABallarat W86-72
14/05/23HDandenong Rangers W94-82
12/05/23AMt. Gambier W81-97
07/05/23HLaunceston W98-63
30/04/23HNunawading W72-67
25/04/23HDiamond Valley W71-60
22/04/23ASandringham W106-74
15/04/23AFrankston W86-63
13/04/23AMelbourne Tigers W86-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/23AFrankston W61-79
21/05/23HRingwood W65-79
20/05/23HHobart Chargers W74-80
13/05/23ASandringham W97-94
06/05/23HKilsyth W74-60
30/04/23AEltham W62-82
29/04/23ADiamond Valley W64-94
22/04/23AMt. Gambier W59-90
15/04/23HMelbourne Tigers W52-81
14/04/23HBallarat W64-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %91%100%83%
Points / game86.783.289.7
Allowed / game73.968.878.2
Point differential+12.8+14.4+11.5
Avg total160.6152.0167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL27%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game66.564.868.6
Allowed / game79.572.587.8
Point differential-12.9-7.7-19.2
Avg total146.0137.3156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W12120100%90.267.7+22.5
2 Waverley W1110191%86.773.9+12.8
3 Mt. Gambier W118373%84.973.3+11.6
4 Frankston W128467%74.271.8+2.3
5 Geelong W117464%79.473.5+5.9
6 Eltham W127558%76.469.0+7.4
7 Diamond Valley W127558%74.671.3+3.2
8 Ringwood W127558%71.474.9-3.5
9 Knox W137654%76.371.1+5.2
10 Dandenong Rangers W147750%75.974.9+1.1
11 Nunawading W126650%74.175.2-1.1
12 Hobart Chargers W125742%72.276.8-4.6
13 Sandringham W135838%80.581.2-0.7
14 Launceston W124833%74.081.1-7.1
15 Melbourne Tigers W124833%68.476.2-7.8
16 Keilor Thunder W113827%66.579.5-12.9
17 Kilsyth W123925%67.276.3-9.1
18 Casey Cavaliers W1221017%71.582.0-10.5
19 Ballarat W1221017%62.776.7-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waverley W1723181674
Keilor Thunder W1811241871
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