PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Keilor Thunder W vs Melbourne Tigers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 52-81
14-20 11-23 17-17 10-21
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#17
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game82.5
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2023
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Melbourne Tigers W
15 Apr 2023
KEIL52
MELB81
04 Jun 2022
KEIL72
MELB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H13/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A14/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
60-81
60
81
-21
H02/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
28-14
15-14
18-29
22-22
25-22
8-21
12-15
13-15
21-13
22-14
21-21
19-11
13-19
20-5
24-11
20-31
27-27
21-17
14-17
11-22
24-15
12-21
18-14
19-22
31-13
23-19
18-11
22-9
13-19
16-17
7-19
12-23
12-22
15-20
21-16
21-13
17-14
9-19
17-8
141.5Avg total
72.5Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)62.067.5129.5-5.550%
Season at home (2)62.067.5129.5-5.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.569.0141.5+3.550%
Last 5 (5)67.667.2134.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.381.3151.7-11.017%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.476.6153.0-0.260%
vs Weaker (7)79.166.9146.0+12.386%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#3
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A17/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
49-87
49
87
-38
H24/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
L
42-94
42
94
-52
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H31/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
52-100
52
100
-48
A06/08
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
59-85
59
85
-26
H07/08
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A13/08
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H14/08
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
L
54-79
54
79
-25
A01/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
12-11
13-24
15-12
12-12
16-22
5-33
16-20
11-17
13-18
11-32
7-27
19-26
10-22
11-12
17-16
6-32
17-19
13-29
16-20
15-29
6-15
18-26
20-15
13-24
17-13
17-24
9-11
18-15
13-19
10-29
18-9
21-19
8-24
17-11
8-25
18-15
19-21
14-21
27-29
137.8Avg total
55.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)66.082.5148.5-16.50%
Season at home (1)78.086.0164.0-8.00%
Season away (1)54.079.0133.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)55.682.2137.8-26.60%
Last 5 (5)61.278.8140.0-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)57.477.8135.2-20.313%
vs Similar ◀ (3)67.071.7138.7-4.767%
vs Weaker (4)78.266.5144.8+11.850%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -11.2-11.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -11.2-11.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
Keilor Thunder WMelbourne Tigers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H13/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H02/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
75.6Avg total
39.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)38.640.879.5-2.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.537.775.2-0.262%-
Last 30 away (11)40.044.584.5-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.275.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.470.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.844.180.8-7.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.442.685.0-0.260%-
vs Weaker (7)39.134.073.1+5.186%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne Tigers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#3
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A17/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H24/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#16
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H31/07
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
23-51
23
51
-28
A06/08
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
21-44
21
44
-23
H07/08
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A13/08
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H14/08
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A01/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
67.1Avg total
27.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.039.368.2-10.313%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.239.368.5-10.120%-
Last 30 away (15)28.739.368.0-10.57%-
Last 10 (10)27.439.767.1-12.310%-
Last 5 (5)29.638.868.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)26.739.466.1-12.713%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)31.038.769.7-7.70%-
vs Weaker (4)40.538.879.2+1.825%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
1
Melbourne Tigers W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/23HBallarat W64-54
02/04/23HKnox W60-81
14/08/22AKnox W58-64
13/08/22HCasey Cavaliers W91-65
06/08/22HGeelong W65-72
30/07/22ASandringham W82-92
23/07/22HDiamond Valley W76-46
17/07/22HFrankston W77-63
16/07/22AEltham W67-80
10/07/22AMelbourne Tigers W85-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/23HWaverley W78-86
01/04/23ABallarat W54-79
14/08/22HFrankston W59-72
13/08/22ANunawading W56-72
07/08/22HBallarat W59-85
06/08/22ABendigo W52-100
31/07/22HDandenong Rangers W57-76
30/07/22AKnox W42-94
24/07/22HGeelong W49-87
17/07/22AWaverley W50-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game62.062.0-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential-5.5-5.5-
Avg total129.5129.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Melbourne Tigers W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.078.054.0
Allowed / game82.586.079.0
Point differential-16.5-8.0-25.0
Avg total148.5164.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Launceston W110100%92.053.0+39.0
2 Mt. Gambier W330100%90.071.0+19.0
3 Bendigo W330100%80.368.7+11.7
4 Waverley W220100%83.575.0+8.5
5 Nunawading W32167%80.069.0+11.0
6 Kilsyth W32167%72.365.3+7.0
7 Knox W21150%75.068.0+7.0
8 Frankston W21150%66.061.0+5.0
9 Ringwood W21150%75.073.0+2.0
10 Diamond Valley W21150%74.575.5-1.0
11 Keilor Thunder W21150%62.067.5-5.5
12 Dandenong Rangers W21150%67.576.0-8.5
13 Sandringham W31233%75.375.3+0.0
14 Ballarat W41325%62.077.0-15.0
15 Geelong W2020%68.574.5-6.0
16 Eltham W1010%73.084.0-11.0
17 Melbourne Tigers W2020%66.082.5-16.5
18 Casey Cavaliers W2020%68.591.0-22.5
19 Hobart Chargers W1010%53.092.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W1411171052
Melbourne Tigers W2023172181
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.