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Weber State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 86-64
43-34 43-30
Position#101
Record8-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game59.4
vs
Position#213
Record6-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Weber State v Montana State
09 Jan 2027
WEBE v MONT
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
WEBE82
MONT79
18 Jan 2025
WEBE71
MONT80
11 Mar 2024
WEBE82
MONT91
30 Dec 2023
WEBE86
MONT64
09 Feb 2023
WEBE73
MONT63
05 Feb 2022
WEBE57
MONT78
06 Feb 2021
WEBE82
MONT74
04 Feb 2021
WEBE96
MONT88
23 Jan 2020
WEBE61
MONT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Weber State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Weber StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gardner Webb
#195
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A17/11
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
75-65 OT
75
65
+10
H18/11
NCAA
Colgate
#44
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Navajo Skyhawks
#688
W
107-45
107
45
+62
H28/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A06/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
78-50
78
50
+28
H10/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A14/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A17/12
NCAA
Gilbert Buccaneers
#647
W
90-39
90
39
+51
H21/12
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
27-35
33-29
26-30
20-28
35-29
51-17
56-28
32-38
22-32
42-22
36-28
22-29
33-43
44-33
40-38
43-10
47-29
44-28
49-35
134.6Avg total
75.2Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.859.4135.2+16.367%
Season at home (6)89.854.0143.8+35.8100%
Season away (6)61.764.8126.5-3.233%
Last 10 (10)75.259.4134.6+15.860%
Last 5 (5)80.059.0139.0+21.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.268.5134.7-2.333%
vs Similar (17)67.165.1132.2+1.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)69.263.2132.5+6.050%
This opponent (Montana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#283
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A17/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
53-54 OT
53
54
-1
H21/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H23/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H26/11
NCAA
Rocky Mountain
#1
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H01/12
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A06/12
NCAA
SAGU
#433
W
106-81
106
81
+25
H17/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
H20/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A22/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-27
30-33
24-23
25-26
28-29
41-39
34-30
35-45
30-38
32-32
28-43
33-42
56-43
50-38
40-37
36-39
37-38
33-44
33-27
41-39
144.5Avg total
71.6Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.971.9145.8+2.050%
Season at home (7)78.771.3150.0+7.457%
Season away (5)67.272.8140.0-5.640%
Last 10 (10)71.672.9144.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)80.080.4160.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)68.071.0139.0-3.00%
vs Similar (10)69.272.9142.1-3.750%
vs Weaker (18)75.466.6142.1+8.889%
This opponent (Weber State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.4+10.41st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -2.1-2.1
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.4+10.41st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -2.1-2.1
Weber StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Weber StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gardner Webb
#195
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A17/11
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Colgate
#44
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Navajo Skyhawks
#688
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H28/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H10/12
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A17/12
NCAA
Gilbert Buccaneers
#647
W
43-10
43
10
+33
H21/12
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H29/12
NCAA
62.6Avg total
36.5Scored
26.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.028.461.4+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.626.865.4+11.879%-
Last 30 away (16)28.129.857.9-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)36.526.162.6+10.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.024.463.4+14.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.035.364.3-6.333%-
vs Similar (17)30.827.558.3+3.459%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)38.030.068.0+8.075%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#283
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A17/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H21/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H23/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Rocky Mountain
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H01/12
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A06/12
NCAA
SAGU
#433
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H17/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H20/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A29/12
NCAA
67.8Avg total
34.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.166.5+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.430.668.1+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)32.831.664.5+1.254%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.567.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (10)32.331.363.6+1.060%-
vs Weaker (18)38.130.668.7+7.478%-
This opponent (Weber State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Weber State wins
6
Montana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HMontana93-63
21/12/23HGilbert Buccaneers90-39
17/12/23AWyoming84-71
14/12/23ANevada55-72
10/12/23HCal Poly78-50
06/12/23AUtah Valley State54-70
28/11/23HNavajo Skyhawks107-45
19/11/23AColgate55-57
18/11/23HYale75-65 OT
17/11/23AGardner Webb61-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AIdaho State74-66
22/12/23ACS Northridge70-82
20/12/23HSouthern Utah89-88 OT
17/12/23HSAGU106-81
06/12/23AWashington61-85
01/12/23HRocky Mountain62-70
26/11/23HLong Beach State69-75
23/11/23HUC Riverside69-68
21/11/23HWisc. Green Bay53-54 OT
17/11/23ACalifornia63-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Weber State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game75.889.861.7
Allowed / game59.454.064.8
Point differential+16.3+35.8-3.2
Avg total135.2143.8126.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%100%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game73.978.767.2
Allowed / game71.971.372.8
Point differential+2.0+7.4-5.6
Avg total145.8150.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %17%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State139469%72.568.8+3.8
2 Weber State128467%75.859.4+16.3
3 Montana127558%75.171.2+3.9
4 Idaho137654%71.768.5+3.2
5 Montana State126650%73.971.9+2.0
6 Northern Arizona126650%66.175.3-9.2
7 Northern Colorado115645%76.977.1-0.2
8 East. Washington125742%76.272.9+3.3
9 Idaho State124833%68.166.8+1.2
10 Sacramento State123925%72.972.7+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Weber State434386
Montana State343064
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