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Weber State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 82-79 (OT)
28-29 39-38 15-12
Position#201
Record13-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game77.1
Weber State 🏆
USA
vs
Montana State
USA
Position#144
Record15-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Weber State v Montana State
09 Jan 2027
WEBE v MONT
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
WEBE82
MONT79
18 Jan 2025
WEBE71
MONT80
11 Mar 2024
WEBE82
MONT91
30 Dec 2023
WEBE86
MONT64
09 Feb 2023
WEBE73
MONT63
05 Feb 2022
WEBE57
MONT78
06 Feb 2021
WEBE82
MONT74
04 Feb 2021
WEBE96
MONT88
23 Jan 2020
WEBE61
MONT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Weber State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Weber StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H16/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H18/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A23/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
88-91
88
91
-3
A25/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
90-104
90
104
-14
A03/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H06/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H08/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A13/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-44
49-36
29-41
38-34
43-36
22-45
42-45
46-46
33-38
48-41
32-53
58-51
33-42
41-46
38-32
34-21
44-21
39-51
24-51
42-33
158.4Avg total
77.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.677.1158.7+4.448%
Season at home (14)87.273.0160.2+14.264%
Season away (13)75.581.5157.0-6.131%
Last 10 (10)77.780.7158.4-3.040%
Last 5 (5)77.080.2157.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.280.7146.8-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.781.4160.1-2.730%
vs Weaker (14)86.971.3158.1+15.679%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-30
41-62
32-31
44-36
36-27
37-41
38-34
36-28
45-42
46-46
38-45
42-38
21-23
33-40
36-26
37-40
34-37
37-35
38-37
44-34
149.5Avg total
76.3Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.870.7148.5+7.058%
Season at home (12)83.866.7150.4+17.183%
Season away (14)72.674.2146.9-1.636%
Last 10 (10)76.373.2149.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)72.071.0143.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.376.7146.0-7.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.770.8146.4+4.967%
vs Weaker (14)78.668.4147.0+10.157%
This opponent (Weber State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.3-0.3
Weber StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Weber StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H18/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A23/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A25/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A03/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H06/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
44-21
44
21
+23
A13/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A14/02
NCAA
76.3Avg total
36.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.073.7+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.032.672.6+7.456%-
Last 30 away (14)35.139.975.0-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)36.040.376.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.874.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.839.268.0-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.536.574.0+1.040%-
vs Weaker (14)41.734.376.0+7.471%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H06/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H08/02
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
36.6Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.231.969.0+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.531.673.2+9.985%-
Last 30 away (17)33.832.165.9+1.841%-
Last 10 (10)36.633.269.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.667.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.334.064.3-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.531.768.2+4.875%-
vs Weaker (14)38.632.471.0+6.150%-
This opponent (Weber State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Weber State wins
8
Montana State wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Montana State v Weber State91-88
14/02/25Montana State v Weber State74-66
19/01/25Weber State v Montana State71-80
11/03/24Weber State v Montana State82-91
05/03/24Montana State v Weber State76-64
30/12/23Weber State v Montana State86-64
08/03/23Montana State v Weber State60-58 OT
10/02/23Weber State v Montana State73-63
14/01/23Montana State v Weber State67-52
12/03/22Montana State v Weber State69-66
Weber Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AEast. Washington66-84
13/02/26AIdaho83-72
08/02/26HNorthern Arizona72-53
06/02/26HNorthern Colorado74-88
03/02/26ASacramento State90-104
31/01/26HIdaho State81-79
25/01/26AMontana State88-91
23/01/26AMontana65-81
18/01/26HIdaho67-75
16/01/26HEast. Washington91-80
Montana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AMontana82-71
08/02/26HEast. Washington71-72
06/02/26HIdaho73-66
31/01/26APortland State54-63
30/01/26ASacramento State80-83
25/01/26HWeber State91-88
23/01/26HIdaho State74-62
20/01/26ANorthern Colorado73-68
18/01/26HMontana76-67
10/01/26AIdaho89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Weber State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%64%31%
Points / game81.687.275.5
Allowed / game77.173.081.5
Point differential+4.4+14.2-6.1
Avg total158.7160.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %58%83%36%
Points / game77.883.872.6
Allowed / game70.766.774.2
Point differential+7.0+17.1-1.6
Avg total148.5150.4146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%42%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State2417771%77.869.8+8.0
2 Northern Colorado27171063%83.076.7+6.3
3 Montana State26151158%77.870.7+7.0
4 Idaho26141254%79.573.7+5.8
5 Montana26141254%78.473.3+5.1
6 Weber State27131448%81.677.1+4.4
7 Idaho State27101737%74.376.0-1.7
8 Northern Arizona27101737%72.676.0-3.4
9 Sacramento State2591636%78.982.3-3.4
10 East. Washington2691735%77.180.1-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Weber State28391582
Montana State29381279
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