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Welcome vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 74-104
23-26 22-17 22-29 7-32
Position#12
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record7-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game79.3
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2024-25
Meetings · Welcome v Aguada
30 Jan 2026
WELC86
AGUA74
06 Jan 2025
WELC74
AGUA104
16 Nov 2018
WELC90
AGUA97
12 Mar 2018
WELC83
AGUA85
27 Oct 2017
WELC96
AGUA80
05 Dec 2016
WELC0
AGUA20
10 Feb 2016
WELC86
AGUA89
07 Nov 2012
WELC63
AGUA72
16 Dec 2011
WELC76
AGUA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 63
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
69-99
69
99
-30
57avg 63
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
64-115
64
115
-51
49avg 63
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
82-105
82
105
-23
69avg 63
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
60-86
60
86
-26
41avg 63
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 63
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 63
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
111-120 OT
111
120
-9
107avg 63
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 63
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
74avg 63
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
25-27
18-19
18-19
20-25
16-30
15-22
18-22
14-34
14-32
23-20
13-29
22-27
5-30
28-23
27-25
11-23
10-28
12-22
27-13
18-23
24-13
13-16
11-22
18-16
21-19
19-26
19-22
24-22
15-26
27-18
28-28
21-17
18-28
12-21
15-25
18-21
14-21
30-27
24-23
171.6Avg total
75.6Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.696.0171.6-20.40%
Season at home (5)77.095.2172.2-18.20%
Season away (5)74.296.8171.0-22.60%
Last 10 (10)75.696.0171.6-20.40%
Last 5 (5)81.292.0173.2-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.291.2169.4-13.08%
vs Similar (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (4)91.084.5175.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
57avg 87
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 87
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
96-84
96
84
+12
97avg 87
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
111-97
111
97
+14
115avg 87
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
88-67
88
67
+21
89avg 87
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
96-73
96
73
+23
95avg 87
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
102-83
102
83
+19
102avg 87
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
81-67
81
67
+14
76avg 87
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
76avg 87
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 87
H17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
24-20
14-20
23-7
13-12
21-30
18-26
19-13
23-31
26-11
24-16
23-26
28-24
30-33
24-25
29-15
31-14
13-21
22-12
22-20
23-21
26-15
28-20
19-17
29-23
24-20
21-24
28-16
20-16
23-10
21-18
17-23
27-14
23-24
24-23
14-29
19-20
19-12
22-18
23-15
168.6Avg total
89.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.379.3168.6+10.070%
Season at home (5)93.280.6173.8+12.680%
Season away (5)85.478.0163.4+7.460%
Last 10 (10)89.379.3168.6+10.070%
Last 5 (5)90.075.6165.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.090.0178.0-2.00%
vs Similar (14)88.384.6172.9+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.979.9171.9+12.080%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -9.2-9.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -9.2-9.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.6+3.6
WelcomeAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#9
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
28-66
28
66
-38
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
83.4Avg total
34.2Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.045.082.1-8.028%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.244.080.2-7.820%-
Last 30 away (14)37.946.184.1-8.236%-
Last 10 (10)34.249.283.4-15.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.279.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.045.981.9-10.020%-
vs Similar (1)39.035.074.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)45.341.086.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H17/12
Liga Uruguaya
84.7Avg total
45.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.341.988.2+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.243.192.4+6.179%-
Last 30 away (16)43.840.884.5+3.056%-
Last 10 (10)45.239.584.7+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)46.635.081.6+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.038.088.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (14)44.843.688.4+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.540.587.9+7.080%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.5
50.4%
51.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.0
27.7%
33.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
71.7%12.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.8
57.1%
51.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.8
31.9%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.513.4
72.4%
71.7%13.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLLLLLLLLL
Aguada
WLWWWWWWLL
#12
League position
#2
-25.8
Net rating
+12.8
94.8
Offensive rating
111.8
120.5
Defensive rating
99.0
46.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.0%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.7%
3-point %
31.9%
49.5%
Assist %
64.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 111.8Defence120.5 · 99.0Shooting46.6% · 53.1%3-point %27.7% · 31.9%Ball care19.7% · 16.0%Off. rebounds26.8% · 30.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Welcome   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Welcome wins
6
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
28/01/19Aguada v Welcome81-67
16/11/18Welcome v Aguada90-97
12/03/18Welcome v Aguada83-85
17/01/18Aguada v Welcome80-77
28/10/17Welcome v Aguada96-80
05/12/16Welcome v Aguada0-20
16/02/16Aguada v Welcome68-72
13/02/16Aguada v Welcome57-77
11/02/16Welcome v Aguada86-89
15/11/15Aguada v Welcome63-71
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24AUrupan86-92
11/12/24HPenarol66-91
05/12/24HDefensor111-120 OT
02/12/24ATrouville77-83
16/11/24HUrunday66-74
10/11/24HMalvin60-86
05/11/24HHebraica y Macabi82-105
01/11/24ANacional64-115
28/10/24ABigua69-99
26/10/24ACordon75-95
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HTrouville83-65
13/12/24HNacional88-90
05/12/24AMalvin81-67
03/12/24AHebraica y Macabi102-83
17/11/24AUrupan96-73
11/11/24HBigua88-67
08/11/24HCordon111-97
05/11/24HDefensor96-84
31/10/24AUrunday71-81
28/10/24APenarol77-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.677.074.2
Allowed / game96.095.296.8
Point differential-20.4-18.2-22.6
Avg total171.6172.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%20%0%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game89.393.285.4
Allowed / game79.380.678.0
Point differential+10.0+12.6+7.4
Avg total168.6173.8163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional10100100%92.176.1+16.0
2 Malvin108280%79.674.1+5.5
3 Aguada107370%89.379.3+10.0
4 Penarol107370%80.971.8+9.1
5 Hebraica y Macabi116555%86.188.3-2.2
6 Defensor94544%85.981.2+4.7
7 Urunday94544%77.081.2-4.2
8 Bigua104640%84.586.0-1.5
9 Cordon114736%83.485.5-2.2
10 Urupan103730%79.884.1-4.3
11 Trouville103730%72.782.7-10.0
12 Welcome100100%75.696.0-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome232222774
Aguada26172932104
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