Welcome vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 90-97

16-27 23-28 25-26 26-16

Position#11

Record1-7

FormLLLLL

Points / game72.2

Allowed / game80.1

Welcome

Aguada 🏆

Position#3

Record6-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game76.7

Liga Uruguaya

Other2018-19

Meetings · Welcome v Aguada

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aguada winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Welcome

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nacional

73-75

-2

H16/10

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

73-89

-16

A19/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

#16

77-73

H23/10

South American League

Libertad

77-81

-4

A23/10

South American League

Flamengo

72-86

-14

A24/10

South American League

Atenas

#12

95-102

102

-7

A31/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

67-93

-26

H03/11

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

61-83

-22

A05/11

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

65-72

-7

H09/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

#10

65-69

-4

A12/11

Liga Uruguaya

20-17

15-17

22-24

16-17

19-25

18-20

22-26

14-18

22-24

17-14

23-18

15-17

22-16

19-23

19-21

17-21

11-25

19-18

20-17

22-26

22-31

31-20

21-20

21-31

15-18

15-24

18-26

19-25

15-15

10-25

17-18

19-25

13-22

10-13

23-20

19-17

20-10

13-18

20-21

12-20

154.8Avg total

72.5Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	72.2	80.1	152.4	-7.9	12%
Season at home (3)	68.3	80.0	148.3	-11.7	0%
Season away (5)	74.6	80.2	154.8	-5.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	72.5	82.3	154.8	-9.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	70.6	83.8	154.4	-13.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	69.1	81.0	150.1	-11.9	0%
vs Similar (16)	84.9	83.8	168.6	+1.1	38%
vs Weaker (6)	86.0	82.0	168.0	+4.0	67%

This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aguada

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

#11

83-87

-4

H04/10

South American League

Atenas

#12

81-72

A10/10

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

66-84

-18

A12/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

78-68

+10

H15/10

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

93-97 OT

-4

A18/10

Liga Uruguaya

Verdirrojo

#14

95-75

+20

A26/10

Liga Uruguaya

Sayago

#13

93-75

+18

A29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

77-70

A06/11

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

94-73

+21

A09/11

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

67-76

-9

H14/11

Liga Uruguaya

17-18

16-16

16-24

34-29

23-20

18-15

16-19

24-18

16-20

17-23

4-18

29-23

15-15

16-14

21-18

26-21

18-21

20-22

29-24

18-18

27-12

17-15

31-22

20-26

26-15

27-19

13-17

27-24

15-15

9-12

31-23

22-20

25-14

26-19

25-15

18-25

20-22

11-14

19-15

17-25

160.4Avg total

82.7Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	82.7	76.7	159.3	+6.0	67%
Season at home (2)	72.5	72.0	144.5	+0.5	50%
Season away (7)	85.6	78.0	163.6	+7.6	71%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	77.7	160.4	+5.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	73.8	159.0	+11.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.5	85.5	157.0	-14.0	0%
vs Similar (21)	78.2	74.7	153.0	+3.5	52%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	86.7	73.6	160.3	+13.1	100%

This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WelcomeAguada

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.1	40.9	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.9	18.5	35.4	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	24.4	47.6	-1.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.1	37.9	-0.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	16.4	35.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.6	38.2	+7.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	18.0	33.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.2	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.6	17.6	40.1	+5.0	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	19.8	36.6	-2.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	18.7	39.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	19.2	35.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.0	35.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	14.9	19.8	34.6	-4.9	12%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	16.4	37.0	+4.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.8	18.2	35.0	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.9	34.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.8	33.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	28.0	49.0	-7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	19.4	17.3	36.7	+2.1	71%	-

WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nacional

35-34

H16/10

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

37-45

-8

A19/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

#16

39-38

H23/10

South American League

Libertad

41-39

A23/10

South American League

Flamengo

30-43

-13

A24/10

South American League

Atenas

#12

53-51

A31/10

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

30-42

-12

H03/11

Liga Uruguaya

Trouville

25-40

-15

A05/11

Liga Uruguaya

Hebraica y Macabi

23-35

-12

H09/11

Liga Uruguaya

Bigua

#10

33-28

A12/11

Liga Uruguaya

74.1Avg total

34.6Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.7	39.9	79.6	-0.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.7	39.9	78.6	-1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.6	39.8	80.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	39.5	74.1	-4.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	39.2	72.0	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	31.8	38.2	70.0	-6.5	38%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.4	40.4	82.8	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.8	40.8	84.6	+3.0	60%	-

This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leones Quilpue

#11

33-34

-1

H04/10

South American League

Atenas

#12

41-35

A10/10

Liga Uruguaya

Defensor

33-43

-10

A12/10

Liga Uruguaya

Urunday

31-29

H15/10

Liga Uruguaya

Olimpia Kings

38-43

-5

A18/10

Liga Uruguaya

Verdirrojo

#14

44-27

+17

A26/10

Liga Uruguaya

Sayago

#13

53-34

+19

A29/10

Liga Uruguaya

Nacional

24-27

-3

A06/11

Liga Uruguaya

Malvin

51-33

+18

A09/11

Liga Uruguaya

Goes

31-36

-5

H14/11

Liga Uruguaya

72.0Avg total

37.9Scored

34.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.2	36.2	73.4	+1.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.5	37.3	72.9	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	35.0	73.9	+3.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	34.1	72.0	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	31.4	72.0	+9.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.5	46.0	82.5	-9.5	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	35.5	35.7	71.2	-0.2	35%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.0	34.9	76.9	+7.1	71%	-

This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.1	21.6	41.8	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.4	42.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	21.5	39.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.7	17.7	39.4	+4.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	21.7	39.1	-4.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.6	41.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.2	21.1	38.4	-3.9	12%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.7	42.9	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	22.9	46.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.0	44.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.2	42.3	82.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	43.0	84.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	41.7	80.3	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	42.8	80.7	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	44.6	82.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.4	42.8	80.1	-5.4	12%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.0	42.4	83.4	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.2	41.6	83.8	+0.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.1	38.8	80.9	+3.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	39.9	82.7	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	37.6	78.9	+3.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	42.4	86.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	42.4	87.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	39.5	74.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (20)	41.9	38.7	80.6	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	44.7	38.7	83.4	+6.0	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Welcome wins

Aguada wins

Date	Game	Score
12/03/18	Welcome v Aguada	83-85
17/01/18	Aguada v Welcome	80-77
28/10/17	Welcome v Aguada	96-80
05/12/16	Welcome v Aguada	0-20
16/02/16	Aguada v Welcome	68-72
13/02/16	Aguada v Welcome	57-77
11/02/16	Welcome v Aguada	86-89
15/11/15	Aguada v Welcome	63-71
07/11/12	Welcome v Aguada	63-72
19/09/12	Aguada v Welcome	67-76

Welcomelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/18	A	Bigua	65-69
09/11/18	H	Hebraica y Macabi	65-72
05/11/18	A	Trouville	61-83
03/11/18	H	Goes	67-93
31/10/18	A	Atenas	95-102
24/10/18	A	Flamengo	72-86
23/10/18	A	Libertad	77-81
23/10/18	H	Goes	77-73
19/10/18	A	Malvin	73-89
16/10/18	H	Nacional	73-75

Aguadalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/18	H	Goes	67-76
09/11/18	A	Malvin	94-73
06/11/18	A	Nacional	77-70
29/10/18	A	Sayago	93-75
26/10/18	A	Verdirrojo	95-75
18/10/18	A	Olimpia Kings	93-97 OT
15/10/18	H	Urunday	78-68
12/10/18	A	Defensor	66-84
10/10/18	A	Atenas	81-72
04/10/18	H	Leones Quilpue	83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome

Liga Uruguaya 2018-19

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	12%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	12%	0%	20%
Points / game	72.2	68.3	74.6
Allowed / game	80.1	80.0	80.2
Point differential	-7.9	-11.7	-5.6
Avg total	152.4	148.3	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aguada

Liga Uruguaya 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	67%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	2	7
Win %	67%	50%	71%
Points / game	82.7	72.5	85.6
Allowed / game	76.7	72.0	78.0
Point differential	+6.0	+0.5	+7.6
Avg total	159.3	144.5	163.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	50%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Defensor	8	7	1	88%	89.5	77.9	+11.6
2	Olimpia Kings	10	7	3	70%	85.8	76.5	+9.3
3	Aguada	9	6	3	67%	82.7	76.7	+6.0
4	Goes	9	6	3	67%	83.2	77.7	+5.6
5	Malvin	8	5	3	62%	77.9	75.5	+2.4
6	Nacional	10	6	4	60%	79.5	80.1	-0.6
7	Urunday	9	5	4	56%	81.1	78.0	+3.1
8	Hebraica y Macabi	9	5	4	56%	76.9	76.7	+0.2
9	Atenas	9	5	4	56%	84.6	86.1	-1.6
10	Bigua	10	5	5	50%	78.4	79.3	-0.9
11	Trouville	10	4	6	40%	78.4	77.3	+1.1
12	Verdirrojo	9	2	7	22%	78.3	89.4	-11.1
13	Welcome	8	1	7	12%	72.2	80.1	-7.9
14	Sayago	10	0	10	0%	74.1	89.9	-15.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Welcome	16	23	25	26	90
Aguada	27	28	26	16	97

← all games of the day

Welcome vs Aguada Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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