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Welcome vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 83-85
20-25 19-25 22-14 22-21
Position#4
Record16-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#1
Record17-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.6
UruguayLiga UruguayaRound 4
Other2017-18
Meetings · Welcome v Aguada
30 Jan 2026
WELC86
AGUA74
06 Jan 2025
WELC74
AGUA104
16 Nov 2018
WELC90
AGUA97
12 Mar 2018
WELC83
AGUA85
27 Oct 2017
WELC96
AGUA80
05 Dec 2016
WELC0
AGUA20
10 Feb 2016
WELC86
AGUA89
07 Nov 2012
WELC63
AGUA72
16 Dec 2011
WELC76
AGUA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#12
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
A06/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
17-22
23-19
28-21
16-22
19-14
20-25
22-19
21-22
13-22
23-20
18-20
24-22
14-18
23-22
19-26
26-18
26-16
25-28
13-22
24-22
29-21
21-20
27-23
31-22
9-16
15-14
18-28
24-31
20-26
22-23
19-14
19-21
21-16
21-19
11-16
22-14
24-17
21-24
25-30
172.8Avg total
86.8Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.082.7168.7+3.359%
Season at home (13)88.981.5170.4+7.569%
Season away (14)83.483.9167.2-0.550%
Last 10 (10)86.886.0172.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)89.486.6176.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.081.5147.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)87.483.6171.0+3.961%
vs Weaker (10)83.880.9164.7+2.960%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#8
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bohemios
#13
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#10
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
9-8
20-22
19-24
22-16
14-19
25-20
19-22
29-21
14-18
13-26
28-23
16-14
20-15
22-23
19-24
11-18
17-22
16-20
34-20
30-22
13-19
16-17
21-24
18-18
15-13
22-12
15-19
18-29
21-13
17-23
27-34
14-21
26-14
13-22
28-22
24-17
16-19
23-16
18-24
156.5Avg total
78.1Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.775.6153.3+2.163%
Season at home (12)77.970.9148.8+7.083%
Season away (15)77.579.4156.9-1.947%
Last 10 (10)78.178.4156.5-0.360%
Last 5 (5)79.079.6158.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.079.5148.5-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.582.4162.8-1.953%
vs Weaker (9)80.868.2149.0+12.689%
This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
WelcomeAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#12
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H09/03
Liga Uruguaya
84.1Avg total
43.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.381.2+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.938.982.9+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.779.6+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.184.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.285.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.538.065.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.939.982.8+2.967%-
vs Weaker (10)43.138.481.5+4.770%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#8
W
28-19
28
19
+9
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bohemios
#13
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#7
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
71.3Avg total
36.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.973.4-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.435.373.6+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)34.838.473.1-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)36.634.771.3+1.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.076.0+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.240.270.5-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.539.275.7-2.647%-
vs Weaker (9)39.031.270.2+7.878%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Welcome wins
4
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
17/01/18Aguada v Welcome80-77
28/10/17Welcome v Aguada96-80
05/12/16Welcome v Aguada0-20
16/02/16Aguada v Welcome68-72
13/02/16Aguada v Welcome57-77
11/02/16Welcome v Aguada86-89
15/11/15Aguada v Welcome63-71
07/11/12Welcome v Aguada63-72
19/09/12Aguada v Welcome67-76
17/12/11Welcome v Aguada76-66
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/18HDefensor92-85
06/03/18ANacional96-88 OT
02/03/18AMalvin85-94
16/02/18HHebraica y Macabi73-80
30/01/18ADefensor101-86
27/01/18AGoes90-84
23/01/18HBigua80-88
19/01/18AMalvin75-84
17/01/18AAguada77-80
08/01/18HLarre Borges99-91
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/18AMalvin81-76
07/03/18AHebraica y Macabi81-79
02/03/18ADefensor83-99
16/02/18HOlimpia Kings70-62
13/02/18ANacional80-82
29/01/18HTrouville78-80
24/01/18ABohemios77-76
20/01/18HHebraica y Macabi84-88
17/01/18HWelcome80-77
13/01/18HDefensor67-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game86.088.983.4
Allowed / game82.781.583.9
Point differential+3.3+7.5-0.5
Avg total168.7170.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW63%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayWLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %63%83%47%
Points / game77.777.977.5
Allowed / game75.670.979.4
Point differential+2.1+7.0-1.9
Avg total153.3148.8156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)67% (6)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aguada27171063%77.775.6+2.1
2 Goes27161159%82.177.6+4.4
3 Welcome27161159%86.082.7+3.3
4 Malvin27161159%78.675.6+3.0
5 Hebraica y Macabi27161159%84.582.1+2.4
6 Urunday27151256%81.383.3-2.1
7 Nacional27141352%81.578.0+3.5
8 Trouville27141352%80.678.1+2.5
9 Defensor27131448%87.084.2+2.9
10 Olimpia Kings27121544%78.080.2-2.2
11 Bigua27121544%76.879.1-2.3
12 Larre Borges2791833%77.082.3-5.2
13 Bohemios2442017%72.586.3-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome2019222283
Aguada2525142185
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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