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Welcome vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 73-75
20-17 15-17 22-24 16-17
Position#11
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game58.0
vs
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game75.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya
Other2018-19
Meetings · Welcome v Nacional
16 Oct 2025
WELC106
NACI117
30 Jan 2025
WELC69
NACI117
16 Oct 2018
WELC73
NACI75
16 Apr 2018
WELC68
NACI70
09 Apr 2018
WELC79
NACI85
02 Apr 2018
WELC85
NACI67
05 Oct 2017
WELC81
NACI74
26 Nov 2012
WELC81
NACI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#11
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
L
101-106
101
106
-5
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#13
W
79-58
79
58
+21
A11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
19-25
22-14
22-21
–
–
–
–
23-25
21-22
28-24
15-20
25-17
24-19
23-34
29-36
24-18
17-24
27-16
17-9
23-19
21-19
16-22
17-20
17-18
21-20
22-26
19-21
19-23
28-15
22-16
20-21
19-11
13-26
21-20
15-13
17-16
24-8
20-22
18-12
163.1Avg total
83.4Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.058.0137.0+21.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)79.058.0137.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.479.7163.1+3.740%
Last 5 (5)78.473.6152.0+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (22)85.484.1169.5+1.241%
vs Weaker (8)84.879.9164.6+4.975%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A20/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H24/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A27/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H01/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A05/05
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A06/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H11/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-21
26-22
21-19
23-19
15-28
16-22
21-20
11-19
26-13
20-21
13-15
30-21
17-19
16-15
18-21
15-18
18-22
15-20
13-19
27-22
20-22
18-18
26-19
17-23
18-14
6-17
14-20
21-22
24-12
17-25
15-25
20-18
22-17
19-18
18-13
22-26
33-10
20-18
23-30
155.2Avg total
77.2Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.575.0163.5+13.5100%
Season at home (1)98.084.0182.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)79.066.0145.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.278.0155.2-0.860%
Last 5 (5)80.077.8157.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (26)80.581.4161.9-0.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.278.5166.8+9.875%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
WelcomeNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A11/10
Liga Uruguaya
80.6Avg total
41.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.140.082.1+2.152%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.540.883.3+1.743%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.381.0+2.560%-
Last 10 (9)41.738.980.6+2.844%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.075.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (22)42.040.982.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker (7)42.337.379.6+5.057%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H12/04
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#4
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A20/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H24/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A27/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/05
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A05/05
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A06/10
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#8
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H11/10
Liga Uruguaya
80.0Avg total
41.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.739.180.8+2.555%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.739.278.8+0.531%-
Last 30 away (16)43.239.182.4+4.175%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.380.0+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.282.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (25)41.639.581.1+2.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.837.078.8+4.850%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Welcome wins
5
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
17/04/18Welcome v Nacional68-70
12/04/18Nacional v Welcome75-89
09/04/18Welcome v Nacional79-85
05/04/18Nacional v Welcome80-77
02/04/18Welcome v Nacional85-67
06/03/18Nacional v Welcome88-96 OT
18/12/17Nacional v Welcome106-86
06/10/17Welcome v Nacional81-74
26/11/12Welcome v Nacional81-71
09/10/12Nacional v Welcome78-65
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/18ASayago79-58
17/04/18HNacional68-70
12/04/18ANacional89-75
09/04/18HNacional79-85
05/04/18ANacional77-80
02/04/18HNacional85-67
26/03/18HHebraica y Macabi101-106
23/03/18HGoes87-91
18/03/18AUrunday86-80
12/03/18HAguada83-85
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/18HGoes98-84
06/10/18AMalvin79-66
05/05/18AAguada77-84
01/05/18HAguada55-74
27/04/18AAguada91-81
24/04/18HAguada61-79
20/04/18AAguada81-76
17/04/18AWelcome70-68
12/04/18HWelcome75-89
09/04/18AWelcome85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game58.0-58.0
Point differential+21.0-+21.0
Avg total137.0-137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.598.079.0
Allowed / game75.084.066.0
Point differential+13.5+14.0+13.0
Avg total163.5182.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Welcome110100%79.058.0+21.0
2 Defensor330100%94.075.3+18.7
3 Nacional220100%88.575.0+13.5
4 Hebraica y Macabi32167%80.370.7+9.7
5 Goes32167%84.381.7+2.7
6 Aguada32167%75.074.7+0.3
7 Olimpia Kings32167%78.378.7-0.3
8 Trouville21150%81.580.5+1.0
9 Verdirrojo21150%80.080.5-0.5
10 Malvin31233%76.781.0-4.3
11 Urunday31233%70.378.0-7.7
12 Bigua3030%80.089.0-9.0
13 Atenas3030%72.788.0-15.3
14 Sayago2020%64.080.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome2015221673
Nacional1717241775
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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