PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Wels vs Graz UBSC Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-78
22-19 22-16 21-9 15-34
Position#2
Record21-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game74.1
Wels 🏆
Austria
vs
Position#8
Record13-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game79.3
AustriaSuperligaRound 9· Raiffeisen Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Wels v Graz UBSC
04 Apr 2025
WEL80
GRAZ78
26 Dec 2024
WEL88
GRAZ67
25 Apr 2024
WEL90
GRAZ68
20 Apr 2024
WEL81
GRAZ82
16 Mar 2024
WEL78
GRAZ69
04 Nov 2023
WEL80
GRAZ65
26 Jan 2023
WEL78
GRAZ70
27 Nov 2021
WEL83
GRAZ93
29 Dec 2020
WEL91
GRAZ85
04 Feb 2018
WEL88
GRAZ66
21 Oct 2017
WEL84
GRAZ57
17 Apr 2017
WEL84
GRAZ65
26 Dec 2016
WEL82
GRAZ56
28 Mar 2016
WEL103
GRAZ75
28 Nov 2015
WEL74
GRAZ97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Graz UBSC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
St. Polten
#10
W
73-53
73
53
+20
68avg 75
H08/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
62avg 75
A15/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
W
73-61
73
61
+12
70avg 75
H01/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
L
94-96
94
96
-2
85avg 75
A07/03
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#8
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 75
A09/03
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
W
66-53
66
53
+13
67avg 75
H15/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 75
H21/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
65avg 75
A23/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
82-59
82
59
+23
85avg 75
H28/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
54avg 75
A30/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
21-25
19-8
16-9
18-20
13-21
18-17
18-16
20-14
13-20
21-15
19-12
26-32
32-23
18-22
18-19
8-15
26-15
23-21
20-17
22-13
17-15
8-15
19-10
22-19
20-19
21-17
23-18
21-21
20-20
12-25
21-26
20-7
23-15
28-16
11-21
11-21
15-23
19-20
24-16
147.0Avg total
76.1Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.674.1156.7+8.478%
Season at home (14)82.972.3155.2+10.693%
Season away (13)82.276.2158.4+6.162%
Last 10 (10)76.170.9147.0+5.260%
Last 5 (5)75.471.4146.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.062.0122.0-2.00%
vs Similar (13)78.874.0152.8+4.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.773.9159.6+11.987%
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graz UBSCAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUBSC
Date
Competition
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
L
85-86
85
86
-1
78avg 72
A02/02
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
74avg 72
H15/02
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
86-74
86
74
+12
80avg 72
H01/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
L
69-86
69
86
-17
58avg 72
A07/03
Superliga
Wels
#2
L
68-77
68
77
-9
64avg 72
H09/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
W
69-63
69
63
+6
no box
A16/03
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
L
53-84
53
84
-31
41avg 72
H21/03
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
L
57-69
57
69
-12
47avg 72
A23/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
87avg 72
H28/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
L
81-83
81
83
-2
80avg 72
A30/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
16-19
20-28
28-15
24-22
17-17
28-23
15-20
17-20
20-19
24-13
25-22
20-20
13-28
17-18
19-20
15-8
15-26
21-23
17-20
25-13
7-22
21-7
16-21
13-20
18-15
16-24
6-25
8-12
21-20
10-20
18-17
19-28
26-21
19-21
28-24
24-19
18-12
16-22
23-30
154.2Avg total
74.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.979.3159.2+0.646%
Season at home (14)82.676.9159.5+5.864%
Season away (14)77.181.7158.9-4.629%
Last 10 (10)74.479.8154.2-5.430%
Last 5 (5)70.478.6149.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.281.5156.7-6.229%
vs Similar (6)86.380.0166.3+6.350%
vs Weaker (6)86.772.7159.3+14.083%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
WelsGraz UBSC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Polten
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A15/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H01/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A07/03
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A09/03
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H15/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H21/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A23/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H28/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A30/03
Superliga
75.4Avg total
38.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.579.4+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.935.677.6+6.382%-
Last 30 away (13)41.939.881.8+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.975.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.672.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.024.049.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (13)41.038.579.5+2.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.137.481.5+6.787%-
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graz UBSCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A02/02
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/02
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A07/03
Superliga
Wels
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H09/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A16/03
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H21/03
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A23/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H28/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/03
Superliga
74.2Avg total
35.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.179.6+1.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.936.278.1+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.481.3-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)35.738.574.2-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.472.2-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.740.681.3+0.141%-
vs Similar (6)43.036.379.3+6.750%-
vs Weaker (6)38.238.276.3+0.033%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.2
53.1%
-34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.9
30.6%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.5
73.5%
-12.5
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Graz UBSCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graz UBSC: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.8
47.3%
-31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.0
34.0%
-21.0
🏀 Free throws17.613.0
73.9%
-13.0
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wels
LWLWWWLWLW
Graz UBSC
LLLLWLLWWL
#2
League position
#8
-1.8
Net rating
+1.2
103.9
Offensive rating
108.7
105.7
Defensive rating
107.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.6%
3-point %
34.0%
60.2%
Assist %
48.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Wels   ■ Graz UBSC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Wels wins
4
Graz UBSC wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Graz UBSC v Wels68-77
26/12/24Wels v Graz UBSC88-67
31/10/24Graz UBSC v Wels77-87
28/04/24Graz UBSC v Wels89-73
25/04/24Wels v Graz UBSC90-68
23/04/24Graz UBSC v Wels76-69
20/04/24Wels v Graz UBSC81-82
07/04/24Graz UBSC v Wels76-82
16/03/24Wels v Graz UBSC78-69
21/12/23Graz UBSC v Wels72-69
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25ATraiskirchen Lions69-80
28/03/25HKlosterneuburg Dukes82-59
23/03/25ASwans Gmunden74-92
21/03/25HSwans Gmunden86-73
15/03/25HOberwart Gunners66-53
09/03/25AGraz UBSC77-68
07/03/25AKlosterneuburg Dukes94-96
01/03/25HTraiskirchen Lions73-61
15/02/25ATraiskirchen Lions67-74
08/02/25HSt. Polten73-53
Graz UBSClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25AKlosterneuburg Dukes81-83
28/03/25HSwans Gmunden92-94
23/03/25AOberwart Gunners57-69
21/03/25HOberwart Gunners53-84
16/03/25ATraiskirchen Lions69-63
09/03/25HWels68-77
07/03/25ASwans Gmunden69-86
01/03/25HKlosterneuburg Dukes86-74
15/02/25HKapfenberg Bulls84-82
02/02/25AKlosterneuburg Dukes85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wels
Superliga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL78%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%93%62%
Points / game82.682.982.2
Allowed / game74.172.376.2
Point differential+8.4+10.6+6.1
Avg total156.7155.2158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%57%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Graz UBSC
Superliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%64%29%
Points / game79.982.677.1
Allowed / game79.376.981.7
Point differential+0.6+5.8-4.6
Avg total159.2159.5158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wels2721678%82.674.1+8.4
2 Oberwart Gunners2721678%81.673.8+7.8
3 Swans Gmunden2820871%85.878.3+7.5
4 Klosterneuburg Dukes28171161%81.979.5+2.3
5 Traiskirchen Lions28161257%77.875.7+2.1
6 BBC Nord27151256%80.682.0-1.4
7 Graz UBSC28131546%79.979.3+0.6
8 Kapfenberg Bulls27121544%82.778.2+4.6
9 Vienna Basket2882029%78.785.4-6.7
10 St. Polten2762122%73.782.7-9.0
11 Furstenfeld272257%71.487.8-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wels2222211580
Graz UBSC191693478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.