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Wels vs Graz UBSC Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-67
25-24 21-20 23-15 19-8
Position#2
Record10-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game73.5
Wels 🏆
Austria
vs
Position#8
Record7-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game79.5
AustriaSuperligaRound 14· Raiffeisen Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Wels v Graz UBSC
04 Apr 2025
WEL80
GRAZ78
26 Dec 2024
WEL88
GRAZ67
25 Apr 2024
WEL90
GRAZ68
20 Apr 2024
WEL81
GRAZ82
16 Mar 2024
WEL78
GRAZ69
04 Nov 2023
WEL80
GRAZ65
26 Jan 2023
WEL78
GRAZ70
27 Nov 2021
WEL83
GRAZ93
29 Dec 2020
WEL91
GRAZ85
04 Feb 2018
WEL88
GRAZ66
21 Oct 2017
WEL84
GRAZ57
17 Apr 2017
WEL84
GRAZ65
26 Dec 2016
WEL82
GRAZ56
28 Mar 2016
WEL103
GRAZ75
28 Nov 2015
WEL74
GRAZ97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Graz UBSC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
W
70-68
70
68
+2
60avg 77
H19/10
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#9
W
93-89
93
89
+4
87avg 77
H26/10
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
84avg 77
A31/10
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 77
H02/11
Superliga
St. Polten
#10
W
92-54
92
54
+38
88avg 77
A09/11
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#11
W
75-61
75
61
+14
68avg 77
H16/11
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
W
99-77
99
77
+22
96avg 77
H30/11
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
78avg 77
A07/12
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 77
H15/12
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 77
A21/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
25-16
12-13
14-18
30-18
28-31
13-18
22-22
24-22
16-23
20-18
27-14
23-23
25-22
24-26
17-16
20-18
26-10
26-12
20-14
21-9
17-18
14-17
23-17
21-20
31-13
21-25
26-19
23-19
19-18
18-19
21-17
22-25
16-20
20-15
18-22
26-17
20-20
16-13
17-21
158.0Avg total
84.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.273.5158.7+11.691%
Season at home (6)83.777.3161.0+6.383%
Season away (5)87.069.0156.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.173.9158.0+10.290%
Last 5 (5)82.072.8154.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.076.5157.5+4.5100%
vs Similar (12)78.574.2152.8+4.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.973.3157.2+10.773%
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graz UBSCAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUBSC
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 71
A13/10
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
88-71
88
71
+17
91avg 71
H18/10
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#11
W
88-59
88
59
+29
70avg 71
A27/10
Superliga
Wels
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 71
H31/10
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 71
A09/11
Superliga
St. Polten
#10
W
85-66
85
66
+19
90avg 71
H15/11
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
W
96-93
96
93
+3
93avg 71
A30/11
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
W
73-68
73
68
+5
71avg 71
H08/12
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#11
W
95-83
95
83
+12
88avg 71
H15/12
Superliga
BBC Nord
#5
L
86-94
86
94
-8
75avg 71
A21/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
14-21
20-9
22-28
28-16
23-14
14-23
23-18
29-14
22-10
9-15
28-20
22-24
23-16
18-20
14-27
19-28
23-17
19-17
11-21
16-13
17-23
26-11
26-19
26-23
25-24
16-20
29-26
24-20
14-9
19-20
16-19
24-27
12-11
29-24
30-21
18-26
22-20
22-24
24-24
162.9Avg total
83.9Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.679.5163.1+4.158%
Season at home (6)85.074.5159.5+10.583%
Season away (6)82.284.5166.7-2.333%
Last 10 (10)83.979.0162.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)87.080.8167.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.180.5157.5-3.441%
vs Similar (4)92.282.2174.5+10.075%
vs Weaker (4)85.075.0160.0+10.075%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
WelsGraz UBSC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/10
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#9
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H26/10
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/10
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H02/11
Superliga
St. Polten
#10
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A09/11
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#11
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H16/11
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/11
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/12
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H15/12
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A21/12
Superliga
83.5Avg total
45.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.977.8+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.738.782.3+5.067%-
Last 30 away (15)38.135.273.3+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)45.238.383.5+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.879.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (12)41.336.077.3+5.375%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.537.177.6+3.560%-
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graz UBSCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Swans Gmunden
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A13/10
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H18/10
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#11
W
51-24
51
24
+27
A27/10
Superliga
Wels
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H31/10
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A09/11
Superliga
St. Polten
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H15/11
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A30/11
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H08/12
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H15/12
Superliga
BBC Nord
#5
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A21/12
Superliga
80.8Avg total
42.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.379.4+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.335.780.1+8.680%-
Last 30 away (15)37.940.978.8-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.480.8+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.039.079.0+1.055%-
vs Similar (4)50.836.086.8+14.875%-
vs Weaker (4)37.537.274.8+0.225%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.2
53.1%
-34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.9
30.6%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.5
73.5%
-12.5
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Graz UBSCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graz UBSC: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.8
47.3%
-31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.0
34.0%
-21.0
🏀 Free throws17.613.0
73.9%
-13.0
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wels
WLWWWWWWWW
Graz UBSC
LWWWWLLWWL
#2
League position
#8
-1.8
Net rating
+1.2
103.9
Offensive rating
108.7
105.7
Defensive rating
107.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.6%
3-point %
34.0%
60.2%
Assist %
48.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Wels   ■ Graz UBSC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Wels wins
4
Graz UBSC wins
DateGameScore
31/10/24Graz UBSC v Wels77-87
28/04/24Graz UBSC v Wels89-73
25/04/24Wels v Graz UBSC90-68
23/04/24Graz UBSC v Wels76-69
20/04/24Wels v Graz UBSC81-82
07/04/24Graz UBSC v Wels76-82
16/03/24Wels v Graz UBSC78-69
21/12/23Graz UBSC v Wels72-69
04/11/23Wels v Graz UBSC80-65
26/01/23Wels v Graz UBSC78-70
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AKapfenberg Bulls79-71
15/12/24HOberwart Gunners76-82
07/12/24AKlosterneuburg Dukes81-73
30/11/24HTraiskirchen Lions99-77
16/11/24HFurstenfeld75-61
09/11/24ASt. Polten92-54
02/11/24HSwans Gmunden89-87
31/10/24AGraz UBSC87-77
26/10/24HVienna Basket93-89
19/10/24HKapfenberg Bulls70-68
Graz UBSClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ABBC Nord86-94
15/12/24HFurstenfeld95-83
08/12/24HTraiskirchen Lions73-68
30/11/24AKapfenberg Bulls96-93
15/11/24HSt. Polten85-66
09/11/24AOberwart Gunners72-83
31/10/24HWels77-87
27/10/24AFurstenfeld88-59
18/10/24HKlosterneuburg Dukes88-71
13/10/24ASwans Gmunden79-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wels
Superliga 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW91%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%83%100%
Points / game85.283.787.0
Allowed / game73.577.369.0
Point differential+11.6+6.3+18.0
Avg total158.7161.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Graz UBSC
Superliga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game83.685.082.2
Allowed / game79.574.584.5
Point differential+4.1+10.5-2.3
Avg total163.1159.5166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wels1110191%85.273.5+11.6
2 Swans Gmunden1311285%88.977.2+11.7
3 Oberwart Gunners129375%85.478.6+6.8
4 Graz UBSC127558%83.679.5+4.1
5 Klosterneuburg Dukes127558%78.477.1+1.3
6 Traiskirchen Lions127558%79.077.7+1.3
7 BBC Nord116555%83.686.1-2.5
8 Kapfenberg Bulls134931%84.983.5+1.4
9 Vienna Basket1331023%80.385.3-5.0
10 St. Polten1321115%76.286.2-10.0
11 Furstenfeld121118%67.387.2-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wels2521231988
Graz UBSC242015867
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