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Wels vs Graz UBSC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 81-82
17-20 20-17 20-18 24-27
Position#5
Record20-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#7
Record19-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game78.0
AustriaSuperligaSuperliga - Quarter-finals· Raiffeisen Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wels v Graz UBSC
04 Apr 2025
WEL80
GRAZ78
26 Dec 2024
WEL88
GRAZ67
25 Apr 2024
WEL90
GRAZ68
20 Apr 2024
WEL81
GRAZ82
16 Mar 2024
WEL78
GRAZ69
04 Nov 2023
WEL80
GRAZ65
26 Jan 2023
WEL78
GRAZ70
27 Nov 2021
WEL83
GRAZ93
29 Dec 2020
WEL91
GRAZ85
04 Feb 2018
WEL88
GRAZ66
21 Oct 2017
WEL84
GRAZ57
17 Apr 2017
WEL84
GRAZ65
26 Dec 2016
WEL82
GRAZ56
28 Mar 2016
WEL103
GRAZ75
28 Nov 2015
WEL74
GRAZ97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Graz UBSC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 74
H03/03
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
89-65
89
65
+24
89avg 74
A06/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
78avg 74
A10/03
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
68avg 74
H16/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
80-69
80
69
+11
74avg 74
H21/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
no box
A24/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
58avg 74
A29/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 74
H01/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 74
A07/04
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
60avg 74
H13/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
19-17
21-27
12-21
18-6
26-22
24-19
21-18
20-20
18-15
19-25
24-13
24-15
20-15
17-26
17-13
30-15
19-21
11-20
20-13
9-13
18-15
13-20
20-12
18-17
19-16
17-16
12-19
26-29
18-21
15-16
22-14
20-17
14-26
23-13
25-20
23-22
13-28
17-22
23-15
151.9Avg total
77.5Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.073.1152.1+5.962%
Season at home (16)82.773.0155.7+9.775%
Season away (16)75.273.2148.4+2.150%
Last 10 (10)77.574.4151.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)75.277.2152.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.074.2150.2+1.875%
vs Similar (12)73.272.2145.4+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.371.4159.7+16.986%
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graz UBSCAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUBSC
Date
Competition
St. Polten
#9
W
81-79
81
79
+2
76avg 71
A02/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 71
H08/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
103-99 OT
103
99
+4
no box
H10/03
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
69-78
69
78
-9
61avg 71
A16/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
87-72
87
72
+15
77avg 71
H22/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
63-77
63
77
-14
50avg 71
A24/03
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
103-92
103
92
+11
99avg 71
H30/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
80-84
80
84
-4
72avg 71
A01/04
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
60avg 71
H07/04
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
65-93
65
93
-28
51avg 71
A13/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
17-21
19-14
27-21
21-21
21-18
24-16
25-30
20-16
25-21
19-26
23-24
15-24
15-20
26-17
13-17
21-22
30-16
17-12
19-22
15-30
15-10
19-12
14-25
30-18
31-21
19-26
23-27
21-20
12-21
18-18
29-25
17-20
26-14
13-23
20-25
15-21
17-20
19-30
14-22
165.9Avg total
81.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.278.0157.2+1.259%
Season at home (16)83.279.4162.6+3.869%
Season away (16)75.276.6151.9-1.450%
Last 10 (10)81.884.1165.9-2.350%
Last 5 (5)77.485.6163.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.080.5157.4-3.545%
vs Similar (5)83.677.8161.4+5.880%
vs Weaker (5)87.470.0157.4+17.4100%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
WelsGraz UBSC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/03
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A06/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/03
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H16/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H21/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A24/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H01/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/04
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H13/04
Superliga
75.8Avg total
39.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.834.373.1+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.935.376.1+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)36.933.470.4+3.556%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.775.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.876.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.538.574.0-3.025%-
vs Similar (12)35.733.669.2+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.433.776.1+8.679%-
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graz UBSCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Polten
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/03
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H22/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A24/03
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H30/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A01/04
Superliga
Wels
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/04
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/04
Superliga
79.9Avg total
40.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.979.1-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.539.480.8+2.162%-
Last 30 away (17)37.540.377.8-2.835%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.779.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.241.079.3-2.835%-
vs Similar (5)43.039.882.8+3.260%-
vs Weaker (5)39.435.474.8+4.080%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.7
51.5%
51.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.6
34.0%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.513.1
74.9%
71.9%13.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Graz UBSCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graz UBSC: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.523.5
54.0%
51.4%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.76.8
36.4%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.311.2
64.7%
71.9%11.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wels
LWWLLWWWWL
Graz UBSC
LLLWLWLWWW
#5
League position
#7
+9.5
Net rating
-5.4
106.1
Offensive rating
106.2
96.6
Defensive rating
111.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.2%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
21.5%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.0%
3-point %
36.4%
63.3%
Assist %
44.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 106.2Defence96.6 · 111.6Shooting51.3% · 54.2%3-point %34.0% · 36.4%Ball care19.5% · 21.5%Off. rebounds32.9% · 34.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Wels   ■ Graz UBSC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Wels wins
4
Graz UBSC wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24Graz UBSC v Wels76-82
16/03/24Wels v Graz UBSC78-69
21/12/23Graz UBSC v Wels72-69
04/11/23Wels v Graz UBSC80-65
26/01/23Wels v Graz UBSC78-70
27/11/22Graz UBSC v Wels71-78
01/11/22Graz UBSC v Wels83-72
08/01/22Graz UBSC v Wels73-64
27/11/21Wels v Graz UBSC83-93 OT
29/12/20Wels v Graz UBSC91-85
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HSt. Polten76-87
07/04/24AGraz UBSC82-76
01/04/24HSwans Gmunden81-80
29/03/24AKlosterneuburg Dukes66-68
24/03/24ATraiskirchen Lions71-75 OT
21/03/24HKlosterneuburg Dukes80-69
16/03/24HGraz UBSC78-69
10/03/24ASwans Gmunden81-73
06/03/24ASt. Polten89-65
03/03/24HTraiskirchen Lions71-82
Graz UBSClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24ATraiskirchen Lions65-93
07/04/24HWels76-82
01/04/24AKlosterneuburg Dukes80-84
30/03/24HSt. Polten103-92
24/03/24ASwans Gmunden63-77
22/03/24HTraiskirchen Lions87-72
16/03/24AWels69-78
10/03/24HKlosterneuburg Dukes103-99 OT
08/03/24HSwans Gmunden91-85
02/03/24ASt. Polten81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wels
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game79.082.775.2
Allowed / game73.173.073.2
Point differential+5.9+9.7+2.1
Avg total152.1155.7148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Graz UBSC
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL59%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game79.283.275.2
Allowed / game78.079.476.6
Point differential+1.2+3.8-1.4
Avg total157.2162.6151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Klosterneuburg Dukes3226681%81.971.5+10.3
2 Swans Gmunden3122971%84.373.6+10.6
3 Traiskirchen Lions32211166%76.570.2+6.3
4 Wels32201262%79.073.1+5.9
5 Kapfenberg Bulls32201262%86.381.2+5.2
6 Graz UBSC32191359%79.278.0+1.2
7 Oberwart Gunners32181456%79.873.0+6.9
8 Vienna Basket31171455%83.278.2+5.0
9 St. Polten32141844%79.880.7-0.8
10 Vienna Timberwolves3282425%70.882.7-11.9
11 BBC Nord3242812%75.692.9-17.4
12 Furstenfeld322306%71.792.5-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wels1720202481
Graz UBSC2017182782
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