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Wels vs Graz UBSC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-69
24-15 20-15 17-26 17-13
Position#5
Record16-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game72.6
Wels 🏆
Austria
vs
Graz UBSC
Austria
Position#7
Record17-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game76.7
AustriaSuperligaRound 4· Raiffeisen Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wels v Graz UBSC
04 Apr 2025
WEL80
GRAZ78
26 Dec 2024
WEL88
GRAZ67
25 Apr 2024
WEL90
GRAZ68
20 Apr 2024
WEL81
GRAZ82
16 Mar 2024
WEL78
GRAZ69
04 Nov 2023
WEL80
GRAZ65
26 Jan 2023
WEL78
GRAZ70
27 Nov 2021
WEL83
GRAZ93
29 Dec 2020
WEL91
GRAZ85
04 Feb 2018
WEL88
GRAZ66
21 Oct 2017
WEL84
GRAZ57
17 Apr 2017
WEL84
GRAZ65
26 Dec 2016
WEL82
GRAZ56
28 Mar 2016
WEL103
GRAZ75
28 Nov 2015
WEL74
GRAZ97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Graz UBSC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
53avg 75
A06/01
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
71-62
71
62
+9
66avg 75
H13/01
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#2
W
71-66
71
66
+5
64avg 75
A21/01
Austria Cup
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
80-63
80
63
+17
78avg 75
A28/01
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
W
93-69
93
69
+24
97avg 75
H03/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
68-80 OT
68
80
-12
no box
A11/02
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
97-63
97
63
+34
96avg 75
H17/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 75
H03/03
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
89-65
89
65
+24
89avg 75
A06/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
78avg 75
A10/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
11-14
14-18
20-21
18-14
16-13
19-14
18-21
20-18
10-15
23-20
18-13
14-14
26-15
19-14
21-20
22-18
21-25
19-18
31-8
16-20
18-12
12-14
15-15
20-9
21-17
27-25
29-12
19-17
19-17
21-27
12-21
18-6
26-22
24-19
21-18
20-20
18-15
19-25
24-13
148.1Avg total
78.5Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.772.6152.3+7.164%
Season at home (12)84.071.9155.9+12.175%
Season away (13)75.873.2149.0+2.554%
Last 10 (10)78.569.6148.1+8.970%
Last 5 (5)81.272.6153.8+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.079.6152.6-6.640%
vs Similar (12)72.273.8145.9-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.570.8161.3+19.792%
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graz UBSCAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUBSC
Date
Competition
Furstenfeld
#12
W
88-65
88
65
+23
87avg 73
A07/01
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
74-61
74
61
+13
63avg 73
H13/01
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
77-69
77
69
+8
67avg 73
A21/01
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
36avg 73
A28/01
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
L
64-69
64
69
-5
54avg 73
H04/02
Superliga
BBC Nord
#11
W
92-61
92
61
+31
94avg 73
A10/02
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 73
H17/02
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
81-79
81
79
+2
76avg 73
A02/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
91-85
91
85
+6
91avg 73
H08/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
103-99 OT
103
99
+4
no box
H10/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
20-19
19-13
19-18
13-19
24-19
18-12
19-11
20-23
21-12
21-14
15-20
25-17
15-22
17-21
22-15
14-11
20-19
14-21
16-18
25-19
9-14
26-10
32-18
13-25
24-21
16-23
24-25
18-23
17-21
19-14
27-21
21-21
21-18
24-16
25-30
20-16
25-21
19-26
23-24
158.3Avg total
82.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.776.7156.4+3.068%
Season at home (13)81.978.8160.7+3.269%
Season away (12)77.274.5151.8+2.867%
Last 10 (10)82.675.7158.3+6.980%
Last 5 (5)88.883.6172.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.880.1157.9-2.353%
vs Similar (6)76.280.5156.7-4.350%
vs Weaker (6)85.567.5153.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
WelsGraz UBSC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/01
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#4
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H13/01
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A21/01
Austria Cup
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/01
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A11/02
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H17/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/03
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A06/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/03
Superliga
69.3Avg total
37.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.235.073.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.532.872.2+6.875%-
Last 30 away (18)37.436.473.8+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.232.169.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.031.070.0+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.238.270.4-6.020%-
vs Similar (12)35.234.970.1+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.333.576.8+9.883%-
This opponent (Graz UBSC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graz UBSCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furstenfeld
#12
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A07/01
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H13/01
Superliga
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A21/01
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A28/01
Superliga
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H04/02
Superliga
BBC Nord
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A10/02
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H17/02
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/03
Superliga
77.0Avg total
39.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.278.6-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.377.5-1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.179.7-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.577.0+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.878.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.141.880.8-2.735%-
vs Similar (6)36.042.778.7-6.733%-
vs Weaker (6)37.733.871.5+3.883%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.0
49.7%
51.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.0
37.7%
32.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.312.0
73.6%
71.9%12.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Graz UBSCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graz UBSC: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.8
54.5%
51.4%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.35.8
31.7%
32.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws16.712.0
71.9%
71.9%12.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wels
WWLWLWWWWL
Graz UBSC
WWWLWLWWWW
#5
League position
#7
+15.2
Net rating
+4.6
107.5
Offensive rating
106.4
92.3
Defensive rating
101.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.4%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
20.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.7%
3-point %
31.7%
68.9%
Assist %
49.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 106.4Defence92.3 · 101.9Shooting52.8% · 52.4%3-point %37.7% · 31.7%Ball care20.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds33.8% · 33.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Wels   ■ Graz UBSC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Wels wins
5
Graz UBSC wins
DateGameScore
21/12/23Graz UBSC v Wels72-69
04/11/23Wels v Graz UBSC80-65
26/01/23Wels v Graz UBSC78-70
27/11/22Graz UBSC v Wels71-78
01/11/22Graz UBSC v Wels83-72
08/01/22Graz UBSC v Wels73-64
27/11/21Wels v Graz UBSC83-93 OT
29/12/20Wels v Graz UBSC91-85
30/10/20Graz UBSC v Wels105-100
08/04/18Graz UBSC v Wels85-87 OT
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24ASwans Gmunden81-73
06/03/24ASt. Polten89-65
03/03/24HTraiskirchen Lions71-82
17/02/24HVienna Timberwolves97-63
11/02/24ATraiskirchen Lions68-80 OT
03/02/24HVienna Basket93-69
28/01/24AKapfenberg Bulls80-63
21/01/24ATraiskirchen Lions71-66
13/01/24HOberwart Gunners71-62
06/01/24AKlosterneuburg Dukes64-73
Graz UBSClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HKlosterneuburg Dukes103-99 OT
08/03/24HSwans Gmunden91-85
02/03/24ASt. Polten81-79
17/02/24HSwans Gmunden77-94
10/02/24ABBC Nord92-61
04/02/24HKapfenberg Bulls64-69
28/01/24AVienna Basket79-75
21/01/24AVienna Timberwolves77-69
13/01/24HTraiskirchen Lions74-61
07/01/24AFurstenfeld88-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wels
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%75%54%
Points / game79.784.075.8
Allowed / game72.671.973.2
Point differential+7.1+12.1+2.5
Avg total152.3155.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%58%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Graz UBSC
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWLLWW69%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %68%69%67%
Points / game79.781.977.2
Allowed / game76.778.874.5
Point differential+3.0+3.2+2.8
Avg total156.4160.7151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Klosterneuburg Dukes2521484%83.270.8+12.4
2 Swans Gmunden2417771%84.473.3+11.0
3 Traiskirchen Lions2517868%76.269.2+6.9
4 Graz UBSC2517868%79.776.7+3.0
5 Wels2516964%79.772.6+7.1
6 Vienna Basket24131154%84.677.6+7.0
7 Kapfenberg Bulls24131154%83.483.2+0.1
8 St. Polten25131252%79.977.4+2.5
9 Oberwart Gunners25111444%76.374.6+1.7
10 Vienna Timberwolves2461825%70.480.5-10.1
11 BBC Nord2532212%73.891.6-17.8
12 Furstenfeld251244%70.293.6-23.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wels2420171778
Graz UBSC1515261369
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