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Western Carolina vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-74
0-0 33-32 0-0 45-42
Position#221
Record12-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game78.3
Western Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
Mercer
USA
Position#117
Record18-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Western Carolina v Mercer
18 Jan 2027
WEST v MERC
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
WEST78
MERC74
12 Jan 2025
WEST85
MERC82
10 Feb 2024
WEST79
MERC46
07 Jan 2023
WEST73
MERC45
19 Feb 2022
WEST69
MERC65
27 Feb 2021
WEST85
MERC61
11 Jan 2020
WEST79
MERC71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#117
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A22/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
88-58
88
58
+30
H24/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A07/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
87-49
87
49
+38
H11/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A14/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H19/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
81-62
81
62
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
24-41
0-0
52-47
0-0
39-33
0-0
49-25
0-0
49-35
0-0
41-53
0-0
39-41
0-0
35-47
0-0
36-42
0-0
42-39
0-0
36-41
0-0
30-36
0-0
52-25
0-0
35-24
0-0
39-29
0-0
42-47
0-0
45-36
0-0
46-41
0-0
38-30
0-0
43-32
155.6Avg total
81.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.778.3157.0+0.444%
Season at home (11)85.768.5154.2+17.373%
Season away (16)73.885.1158.9-11.225%
Last 10 (10)81.274.4155.6+6.860%
Last 5 (5)81.268.2149.4+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.086.6158.6-14.627%
vs Similar (12)75.581.7157.2-6.225%
vs Weaker (6)88.862.5151.3+26.383%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H22/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A24/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H30/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A07/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H12/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A14/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-24
0-0
47-52
0-0
43-36
0-0
34-44
0-0
43-29
0-0
52-48
0-0
43-37
0-0
52-44
0-0
37-34
0-0
38-45
0-0
22-40
0-0
27-29
0-0
29-31
0-0
40-33
0-0
18-25
0-0
52-29
0-0
39-44
0-0
51-50
0-0
44-41
0-0
45-45
155.7Avg total
79.7Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.375.3158.7+8.062%
Season at home (14)93.172.1165.3+21.093%
Season away (15)74.278.3152.5-4.133%
Last 10 (10)79.776.0155.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)73.473.4146.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.076.0137.0-15.00%
vs Similar (10)71.076.5147.5-5.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.477.7165.1+9.671%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
Western CarolinaMercer
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#117
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A22/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H24/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H11/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A14/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H19/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A21/02
NCAA
75.0Avg total
39.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.074.3+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.434.275.6+7.275%-
Last 30 away (18)34.638.973.4-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.375.0+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.274.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.440.573.8-7.127%-
vs Similar (12)37.038.775.7-1.742%-
vs Weaker (6)44.231.075.2+13.2100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#221
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H22/01
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H30/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
18-25
18
25
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/02
NCAA
70.0Avg total
35.9Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.534.775.2+5.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.033.279.2+12.871%-
Last 30 away (16)35.736.171.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.170.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)30.436.266.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.028.062.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (10)33.636.069.6-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.735.978.6+6.865%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Western Carolina wins
4
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
22/01/26Mercer v Western Carolina88-76
07/03/25Mercer v Western Carolina67-66
01/03/25Mercer v Western Carolina81-69
12/01/25Western Carolina v Mercer85-82
10/02/24Western Carolina v Mercer79-46
13/01/24Mercer v Western Carolina52-64
18/02/23Mercer v Western Carolina68-71
07/01/23Western Carolina v Mercer73-45
05/03/22Mercer v Western Carolina81-53
19/02/22Western Carolina v Mercer69-65
Western Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AVMI81-62
19/02/26HNC Greensboro91-77
14/02/26AChattanooga Mocs81-76
11/02/26HCitadel87-49
07/02/26AWofford66-77
04/02/26ANC Greensboro78-81
01/02/26HSamford74-88
30/01/26AEast Tennessee St90-88
24/01/26HVMI88-58
22/01/26AMercer76-88
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HSamford89-86
20/02/26HChattanooga Mocs90-94
14/02/26ACitadel70-54
12/02/26HFurman69-64
07/02/26ASamford49-69
06/02/26AChattanooga Mocs75-79
31/01/26HVMI95-81
30/01/26HNC Greensboro95-77
24/01/26AWofford77-80
22/01/26HWestern Carolina88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW44%
HomeLWLWW73%
AwayWLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %44%73%25%
Points / game78.785.773.8
Allowed / game78.368.585.1
Point differential+0.4+17.3-11.2
Avg total157.0154.2158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%55%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %62%93%33%
Points / game83.393.174.2
Allowed / game75.372.178.3
Point differential+8.0+21.0-4.1
Avg total158.7165.3152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%71%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St2921872%78.668.4+10.2
2 Furman30191163%76.369.8+6.5
3 Mercer29181162%83.375.3+8.0
4 Wofford29181162%78.876.9+1.9
5 Samford29161355%78.575.3+3.2
6 Western Carolina27121544%78.778.3+0.4
7 Chattanooga Mocs29121741%76.074.3+1.6
8 NC Greensboro29121741%78.580.9-2.4
9 Citadel30102033%69.875.7-6.0
10 VMI2962321%72.279.7-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Western Carolina03304578
Mercer03204274
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