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Western Carolina vs Mercer Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#189
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#263
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Western Carolina v Mercer
18 Jan 2027
WEST v MERC
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
WEST78
MERC74
12 Jan 2025
WEST85
MERC82
10 Feb 2024
WEST79
MERC46
07 Jan 2023
WEST73
MERC45
19 Feb 2022
WEST69
MERC65
27 Feb 2021
WEST85
MERC61
11 Jan 2020
WEST79
MERC71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H19/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
81-62
81
62
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A08/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A08/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#116
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A03/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#258
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#500
W
136-68
136
68
+68
H11/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#181
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-36
46-41
38-30
43-32
33-32
45-42
37-30
49-37
36-35
41-38
38-24
29-45
30-39
42-41
44-40
39-35
75-27
61-41
38-30
30-45
155.9Avg total
83.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.874.5164.2+15.250%
Season at home (2)102.071.5173.5+30.550%
Season away (2)77.577.5155.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)83.972.0155.9+11.970%
Last 5 (5)85.273.4158.6+11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.180.9159.0-2.860%
vs Similar (12)74.882.2157.1-7.417%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)93.066.0159.0+27.075%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#443
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#42
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
A11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#8
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-44
51-50
44-41
45-45
32-33
42-45
49-35
33-41
35-36
38-41
39-21
51-32
24-47
43-49
33-34
43-54
39-46
39-32
28-31
33-44
161.3Avg total
79.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Season at home (1)90.053.0143.0+37.0100%
Season away (4)75.287.5162.8-12.225%
Last 10 (10)79.981.4161.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)68.086.3154.3-18.30%
vs Similar (8)74.075.9149.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (16)84.177.9162.0+6.156%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -1.5-1.5
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -1.5-1.5
Western CarolinaMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H19/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A08/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#116
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#258
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#500
W
75-27
75
27
+48
H11/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#181
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/11
NCAA
73.7Avg total
41.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.975.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.933.177.0+10.883%-
Last 30 away (18)36.937.774.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.432.373.7+9.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.032.077.0+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.436.173.5+1.370%-
vs Similar (12)36.138.874.8-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.031.279.2+16.8100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#443
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#42
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A13/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.673.8+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.633.278.9+12.471%-
Last 30 away (16)33.635.869.4-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.873.0-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.868.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.337.365.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (8)36.536.873.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)40.135.475.6+4.756%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Western Carolina wins
3
Mercer wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLipscomb68-75
11/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg136-68
07/11/26AUNC Asheville83-75
03/11/26ANorth Carolina72-80
08/03/26AEast Tennessee St67-69
08/03/26AMercer77-73
28/02/26HFurman86-67
26/02/26HMercer78-74
21/02/26AVMI81-62
19/02/26HNC Greensboro91-77
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AWest Virginia61-75
11/11/26AGeorgia Southern97-91 OT
08/11/26ADavidson76-88
06/11/26AVirginia Tech67-96
02/11/26HReinhardt90-53
08/03/26HWestern Carolina73-77
28/02/26HEast Tennessee St82-76
26/02/26AWestern Carolina74-78
21/02/26HSamford89-86
20/02/26HChattanooga Mocs90-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Carolina
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game89.8102.077.5
Allowed / game74.571.577.5
Point differential+15.2+30.5+0.0
Avg total164.2173.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game78.290.075.2
Allowed / game80.653.087.5
Point differential-2.4+37.0-12.2
Avg total158.8143.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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