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Western Illinois vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-67
30-33 42-34
Position#296
Record9-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#232
Record14-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Western Illinois v Morehead State
21 Feb 2026
WEST59
MORE81
15 Feb 2025
WEST72
MORE67
22 Feb 2024
WEST57
MORE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#188
L
52-72
52
72
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A18/01
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H24/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
51-72
51
72
-21
H25/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A07/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A08/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
19-39
33-33
26-21
21-30
32-39
34-39
26-35
25-27
23-27
28-45
19-32
40-39
29-37
36-32
33-38
36-49
34-38
36-43
45-31
42-31
132.2Avg total
61.7Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)67.870.5138.3-2.735%
Season at home (14)71.168.1139.3+3.043%
Season away (12)63.973.2137.1-9.325%
Last 10 (10)61.770.5132.2-8.810%
Last 5 (5)70.074.0144.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.077.1141.1-13.18%
vs Similar ◀ (14)66.465.6132.0+0.957%
vs Weaker (4)82.265.2147.5+17.075%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H18/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H07/02
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
62-76
62
76
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-26
40-30
21-26
30-21
40-38
42-27
37-26
36-40
33-30
21-35
35-26
31-39
26-34
38-38
22-38
29-42
34-39
28-37
16-33
44-40
129.5Avg total
63.0Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)67.269.1136.2-1.954%
Season at home (13)70.865.5136.4+5.369%
Season away (13)63.572.6136.1-9.238%
Last 10 (10)63.066.5129.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)60.673.2133.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)63.473.5136.9-10.238%
vs Similar ◀ (10)65.367.3132.6-2.060%
vs Weaker (6)80.066.7146.7+13.383%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -1.0-1.0
Western IllinoisMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#188
L
19-39
19
39
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
26-21
26
21
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/01
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H25/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
19-32
19
32
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/02
NCAA
62.3Avg total
28.6Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.833.564.4-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.331.863.1-0.535%-
Last 30 away (13)30.235.866.1-5.623%-
Last 10 (10)28.633.762.3-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)32.035.267.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.338.068.3-7.78%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.730.661.3+0.143%-
vs Weaker (4)32.830.563.2+2.250%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H07/02
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A14/02
NCAA
60.7Avg total
29.1Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.063.4-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.929.961.9+2.064%-
Last 30 away (16)30.833.964.7-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)29.131.660.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)26.634.060.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.034.264.2-4.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.531.762.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (6)33.328.862.2+4.583%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Illinois wins
3
Morehead State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HSouthern Indiana87-62
08/02/25AUT Martin70-81
07/02/25ATennessee State69-87
01/02/25HSiu Edwardsville65-69
31/01/25HEastern Illinois59-71
25/01/25HSoutheast Missouri State51-72
24/01/25HUALR51-62
18/01/25ASouthern Indiana66-78
17/01/25AMorehead State47-51
11/01/25HTennessee State52-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25ALindenwood60-73
08/02/25HUALR62-76
07/02/25HSoutheast Missouri State51-80
31/01/25HTennessee Tech64-72
29/01/25HSouthern Indiana66-65
25/01/25ASiu Edwardsville54-65
24/01/25AEastern Illinois73-66
18/01/25HLindenwood82-65
17/01/25HWestern Illinois51-47
11/01/25ASoutheast Missouri State67-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW35%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %35%43%25%
Points / game67.871.163.9
Allowed / game70.568.173.2
Point differential-2.7+3.0-9.2
Avg total138.3139.3137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL54%
HomeWWLLL69%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%69%38%
Points / game67.270.863.5
Allowed / game69.165.572.6
Point differential-1.9+5.3-9.2
Avg total136.2136.4136.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville2617965%72.465.4+7.0
2 UALR27171063%68.765.4+3.3
3 Southeast Missouri State26161062%74.367.3+7.0
4 Morehead State26141254%67.269.1-1.9
5 Tennessee State26131350%79.674.3+5.3
6 Tennessee Tech26131350%72.373.8-1.5
7 Lindenwood26121446%70.469.8+0.6
8 UT Martin26111542%75.772.2+3.5
9 Southern Indiana2591636%71.973.6-1.6
10 Western Illinois2691735%67.870.5-2.7
11 Eastern Illinois2681831%66.270.5-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Illinois304272
Morehead State333467
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