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Tennessee State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 49-68
22-35 27-33
Position#176
Record12-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#34
Record16-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game62.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tennessee State v Morehead State
16 Jan 2027
TENN v MORE
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
TENN93
MORE67
15 Jan 2026
TENN105
MORE100
27 Feb 2025
TENN64
MORE55
01 Feb 2024
TENN49
MORE68
29 Dec 2022
TENN75
MORE83
15 Jan 2022
TENN64
MORE71
11 Feb 2021
TENN66
MORE79
04 Mar 2020
TENN74
MORE67
16 Jan 2020
TENN64
MORE48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boyce
#599
W
117-59
117
59
+58
H16/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A20/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
75-91
75
91
-16
H29/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H30/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A05/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A06/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
85-53
85
53
+32
H19/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
58-36
59-23
38-42
31-48
46-53
29-38
41-44
49-38
33-40
34-29
31-42
37-36
30-30
45-30
36-30
49-23
21-28
37-29
26-28
38-32
146.7Avg total
76.8Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.370.7146.0+4.657%
Season at home (10)81.665.9147.5+15.780%
Season away (11)69.575.0144.5-5.536%
Last 10 (10)76.869.9146.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)70.061.6131.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)63.080.7143.7-17.70%
vs Similar (17)76.075.4151.4+0.659%
vs Weaker (10)81.364.1145.4+17.280%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#586
W
101-39
101
39
+62
H21/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A31/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H05/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
78-52
78
52
+26
A12/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A13/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H19/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A20/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-25
32-44
47-22
54-17
40-33
43-31
33-32
49-25
42-31
36-37
36-23
42-29
20-28
28-33
49-26
35-40
42-28
39-42
28-20
36-30
136.3Avg total
76.7Scored
59.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.862.5139.2+14.376%
Season at home (10)86.255.2141.4+31.0100%
Season away (11)68.269.1137.3-0.955%
Last 10 (10)76.759.6136.3+17.180%
Last 5 (5)71.059.8130.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (6)66.573.0139.5-6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)76.859.7136.5+17.182%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +10.5+10.52nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: +6.6+6.6
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +10.5+10.52nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: +6.6+6.6
Tennessee StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boyce
#599
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H16/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A20/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H29/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A05/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A06/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A27/01
NCAA
73.3Avg total
36.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.335.271.6+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.335.373.7+3.040%-
Last 30 away (15)34.335.169.5-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)36.037.373.3-1.320%-
Last 5 (5)28.831.660.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.739.374.0-4.733%-
vs Similar (17)35.737.272.9-1.529%-
vs Weaker (10)37.930.668.5+7.370%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#153
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A19/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#586
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H21/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A31/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H05/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A13/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H19/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A20/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H27/01
NCAA
64.1Avg total
37.3Scored
26.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.229.264.4+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.426.465.8+13.1100%-
Last 30 away (16)31.631.763.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.326.864.1+10.590%-
Last 5 (5)35.025.060.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (6)33.033.266.2-0.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)36.427.563.8+8.982%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AEastern Illinois64-60
20/01/24AWestern Illinois58-57
19/01/24HTennessee Tech85-53
13/01/24HLindenwood75-60
06/01/24AMorehead State68-78
05/01/24ASouthern Indiana67-69
30/12/23HUALR90-82
29/12/23HUT Martin75-91
20/12/23AIndiana State69-90
16/12/23HBoyce117-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HWestern Illinois64-50
20/01/24ASouthern Indiana81-70
19/01/24HUT Martin84-66
13/01/24ASiu Edwardsville48-61
12/01/24AEastern Illinois78-52
06/01/24HTennessee State78-68
05/01/24HTennessee Tech82-57
31/12/23ASoutheast Missouri State83-64
21/12/23HAlice Loyd101-39
19/12/23AIndiana68-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%80%36%
Points / game75.381.669.5
Allowed / game70.765.975.0
Point differential+4.6+15.7-5.5
Avg total146.0147.5144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%100%55%
Points / game76.886.268.2
Allowed / game62.555.269.1
Point differential+14.3+31.0-0.9
Avg total139.2141.4137.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2116576%76.862.5+14.3
2 Western Illinois2113862%69.865.4+4.3
3 Tennessee State2112957%75.370.7+4.6
4 UT Martin2112957%81.878.0+3.8
5 Siu Edwardsville2112957%70.667.0+3.6
6 UALR21111052%79.078.9+0.1
7 Eastern Illinois21101148%69.866.7+3.1
8 Lindenwood2281436%65.971.8-5.9
9 Tennessee Tech2171433%68.575.7-7.2
10 Southeast Missouri State2271532%67.072.6-5.6
11 Southern Indiana2151624%67.371.9-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State222749
Morehead State353368
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