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Western Kentucky vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-76 (OT)
33-39 34-28 14-9
Position#182
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#214
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game63.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#36
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A22/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H05/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A10/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#458
W
104-76
104
76
+28
H13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A26/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
79-65
79
65
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-36
26-51
38-43
46-48
36-35
36-39
49-32
55-44
30-31
36-30
40-28
39-34
33-45
35-42
36-40
54-42
32-33
47-32
44-31
40-29
154.0Avg total
79.5Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.773.1153.8+7.667%
Season at home (6)84.572.0156.5+12.583%
Season away (3)73.075.3148.3-2.333%
Last 10 (10)79.574.5154.0+5.060%
Last 5 (5)80.071.2151.2+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.874.7150.5+1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.077.0156.0+2.054%
vs Weaker (10)82.971.7154.6+11.270%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-60
35
60
-25
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
113-37
113
37
+76
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H08/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-51
38-38
14-27
21-33
54-19
59-18
39-41
29-42
44-30
44-37
36-30
43-31
30-35
45-42
44-30
35-36
33-25
30-36
33-33
40-20
140.4Avg total
75.0Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.863.1142.9+16.675%
Season at home (6)80.359.2139.5+21.283%
Season away (2)78.075.0153.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)75.065.4140.4+9.660%
Last 5 (5)73.863.6137.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.076.1144.1-8.110%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.465.8136.2+4.660%
vs Weaker (4)74.261.0135.2+13.2100%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +5.1+5.1
Western KentuckyMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#36
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A22/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H05/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#458
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H17/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H21/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H11/12
NCAA
73.5Avg total
38.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.574.4+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.836.876.6+3.150%-
Last 30 away (12)34.836.271.0-1.342%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.473.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.472.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.237.774.8-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.736.973.6-0.238%-
vs Weaker (10)38.635.874.4+2.850%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
14-27
14
27
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H04/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H08/12
NCAA
68.7Avg total
36.6Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.067.4+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.231.865.9+2.456%-
Last 30 away (12)34.934.869.7+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.168.7+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.230.665.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.239.672.8-6.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.929.663.5+4.360%-
vs Weaker (4)35.032.567.5+2.575%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Western Kentucky wins
0
Murray State wins
DateGameScore
15/11/23Murray State v Western Kentucky81-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HTennessee State84-60
07/12/24AEvansville79-65
01/12/24HMarshall90-82
26/11/24AKentucky68-87
21/11/24HJackson State79-62
17/11/24HLipscomb66-61
13/11/24HCampbellsville104-76
10/11/24AGrand Canyon72-74
05/11/24HWichita State84-91
22/03/24AMarquette69-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HSoutheast Missouri State73-53
04/12/24HEvansville63-61
26/11/24HUT Arlington79-66
23/11/24HUtah Valley State75-77
21/11/24HMd.-East. Shore79-61
16/11/24AMiddle Tenn. St.88-67
09/11/24APittsburgh68-83
05/11/24HBethel (TN)113-37
07/03/24HMissouri State35-60
03/03/24AIndiana State77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%83%33%
Points / game80.784.573.0
Allowed / game73.172.075.3
Point differential+7.6+12.5-2.3
Avg total153.8156.5148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game79.880.378.0
Allowed / game63.159.275.0
Point differential+16.6+21.2+3.0
Avg total142.9139.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty109190%77.257.6+19.6
2 Louisiana Tech119282%78.667.7+10.9
3 Middle Tenn. St.107370%82.871.3+11.5
4 Kennesaw State107370%80.371.3+9.0
5 UTEP96367%75.666.7+8.9
6 Western Kentucky96367%80.773.1+7.6
7 Delaware106460%78.275.1+3.1
8 Jacksonville State95456%79.667.4+12.1
9 Missouri State95456%77.074.0+3.0
10 Sam Houston St.105550%78.678.8-0.2
11 New Mexico State104640%72.574.3-1.8
12 Florida International93633%73.970.1+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake990100%75.055.2+19.8
2 Bradley98189%83.666.1+17.4
3 Belmont108280%83.276.9+6.3
4 Murray State86275%79.863.1+16.6
5 Northern Iowa106460%76.464.4+12.0
6 Illinois (Chi.)106460%82.174.5+7.6
7 Indiana State106460%82.876.8+6.0
8 Illinois State95456%79.972.6+7.3
9 Valparaiso84450%77.069.8+7.2
10 Southern Illinois104640%74.674.5+0.1
11 Evansville103730%69.073.2-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Western Kentucky33341481
Murray State3928976
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