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Wisconsin vs Purdue Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#50
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game58.0
vs
Position#126
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Wisconsin v Purdue
08 Dec 2026
WISC v PURD
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
WISC73
PURD89
04 Feb 2024
WISC69
PURD75
02 Mar 2023
WISC61
PURD63
01 Mar 2022
WISC70
PURD67
18 Feb 2020
WISC69
PURD65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wisconsin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
78-45
78
45
+33
H05/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
A13/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A14/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H19/03
NCAA
Denver
#359
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Delaware
#271
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#245
W
89-42
89
42
+47
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-21
54-52
34-21
44-24
52-47
45-46
43-33
42-49
30-36
48-42
28-28
37-40
41-39
41-44
44-30
31-38
35-28
38-36
52-20
37-22
153.1Avg total
82.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.058.0137.0+21.0100%
Season at home (3)79.058.0137.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.570.6153.1+11.980%
Last 5 (5)76.865.0141.8+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.485.6170.0-1.157%
vs Similar (10)79.578.1157.6+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.566.9148.5+14.685%
This opponent (Purdue) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A15/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H26/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A29/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#165
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
39-39
38-38
42-34
45-33
59-38
38-40
41-29
39-35
40-42
38-31
26-48
36-33
42-39
32-20
26-38
36-28
40-31
37-28
43-34
150.3Avg total
79.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.569.0147.5+9.575%
Season at home (4)78.569.0147.5+9.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.371.0150.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)75.671.0146.6+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.780.7155.3-6.033%
vs Similar (9)77.869.8147.6+8.078%
vs Weaker (18)80.872.2152.9+8.672%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +2.6+2.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +2.6+2.6
WisconsinPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A13/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A14/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/03
NCAA
Denver
#359
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Delaware
#271
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#245
W
52-20
52
20
+32
H11/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
39.5Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.571.6+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.232.273.5+9.082%-
Last 30 away (13)33.935.269.1-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.530.369.8+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.029.069.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.739.677.3-1.929%-
vs Similar (10)37.335.973.2+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.828.467.2+10.585%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A15/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H22/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A29/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#165
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H06/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#300
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio
#170
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H14/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
37.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.271.4+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.534.273.8+5.376%-
Last 30 away (13)36.631.868.4+4.862%-
Last 10 (10)37.331.368.6+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.063.8+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.039.075.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (9)37.831.969.7+5.978%-
vs Weaker (18)38.932.871.7+6.172%-
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Wisconsin wins
5
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Purdue v Wisconsin93-97
04/01/26Wisconsin v Purdue73-89
15/02/25Purdue v Wisconsin84-94
16/03/24Purdue v Wisconsin75-76 OT
10/03/24Purdue v Wisconsin78-70
04/02/24Wisconsin v Purdue69-75
03/03/23Wisconsin v Purdue61-63
02/03/22Wisconsin v Purdue70-67
04/01/22Purdue v Wisconsin69-74
03/03/21Purdue v Wisconsin73-69
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HFairfield89-42
07/11/26HDelaware73-64
03/11/26HDenver75-68
19/03/26HHigh Point82-83
14/03/26AMichigan65-68
13/03/26AIllinois91-88 OT
12/03/26HWashington85-82
07/03/26APurdue97-93
05/03/26HMaryland78-45
28/02/26AWashington90-73
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOhio80-62
10/11/26HIllinois State76-59
06/11/26HValparaiso80-83 OT
03/11/26HGonzaga78-72
29/03/26AArizona64-79
26/03/26HTexas79-77
22/03/26HMiami (FL)79-69
20/03/26HQueens Royals104-71
15/03/26AMichigan80-72
14/03/26AUCLA73-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wisconsin
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game58.058.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total137.0137.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Purdue
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game78.578.5-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+9.5+9.5-
Avg total147.5147.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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