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Wright State vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-81
39-34 32-47
Position#94
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game57.0
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#156
Record0-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game80.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Wright State v Toledo
11 Nov 2025
WRIG71
TOLE81
14 Nov 2023
WRIG77
TOLE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wright State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wright StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#332
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H09/02
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
80-88 OT
80
88
-8
A15/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H22/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H28/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#332
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A01/03
NCAA
IU Indy
#332
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Franklin
#614
W
86-37
86
37
+49
H04/11
NCAA
California
#79
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
51-30
40-43
38-39
35-34
31-37
37-42
41-46
35-34
31-45
51-31
44-37
40-54
43-42
55-43
31-41
31-42
39-16
47-21
28-34
39-43
156.3Avg total
79.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.557.0133.5+19.550%
Season at home (1)86.037.0123.0+49.0100%
Season away (1)67.077.0144.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)79.476.9156.3+2.540%
Last 5 (5)79.474.6154.0+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.684.3159.9-8.720%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.474.8150.2+0.536%
vs Weaker (8)79.069.8148.8+9.275%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A14/03
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A04/10
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A19/10
Segunda FEB
Ponferrada
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A02/11
Segunda FEB
South Alabama
#120
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H04/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-35
0-0
37-41
0-0
41-52
0-0
49-48
20-20
12-22
22-14
17-27
32-17
18-18
23-14
25-18
26-19
16-14
27-18
21-22
20-18
20-22
19-22
23-23
12-26
16-16
17-11
17-17
0-0
26-39
0-0
48-37
0-0
40-30
0-0
33-55
25-11
27-15
18-24
27-18
161.9Avg total
82.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.580.5154.0-7.00%
Season at home (2)73.580.5154.0-7.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.779.2161.9+3.540%
Last 5 (5)77.676.8154.4+0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.485.8164.2-7.442%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.176.4152.5-0.342%
vs Weaker (6)89.275.7164.8+13.583%
This opponent (Wright State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
Wright StateToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wright StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#332
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H09/02
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/02
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H28/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#332
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A01/03
NCAA
IU Indy
#332
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H05/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/03
NCAA
Franklin
#614
W
39-16
39
16
+23
H04/11
NCAA
California
#79
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A07/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
37.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.770.6+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.932.270.1+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)35.635.771.3-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.774.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.071.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.238.973.1-4.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.132.669.7+4.564%-
vs Weaker (8)39.930.970.8+9.088%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A14/03
NCAA
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A04/10
Segunda FEB
Valle de Egues
#28
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/10
Segunda FEB
Ponferrada
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A02/11
Segunda FEB
South Alabama
#120
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H04/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H09/11
Segunda FEB
76.4Avg total
39.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.175.8-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.936.475.3+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)36.240.176.4-3.943%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.476.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.472.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.841.277.1-5.442%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.038.074.0-2.042%-
vs Weaker (6)44.732.276.8+12.583%-
This opponent (Wright State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wright State wins
2
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
14/11/24Toledo v Wright State86-77
15/11/23Wright State v Toledo77-78
21/12/19Toledo v Wright State72-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25ACalifornia67-77
04/11/25HFranklin86-37
07/03/25ARobert Morris62-83
05/03/25HIU Indy98-85
01/03/25AIU Indy84-91
28/02/25HCleveland State82-76
22/02/25HNorthern Kentucky76-80
16/02/25AWisc. Green Bay68-79
15/02/25AWisc. Milwaukee80-88 OT
09/02/25HIU Indy91-73
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HJaen97-68
08/11/25HMarshall73-85
04/11/25HSouth Alabama74-76
02/11/25ACaja 8762-70
26/10/25HPonferrada82-85
19/10/25ALeonesa90-73
11/10/25HValle de Egues98-67
04/10/25ACBC Valladolid71-83
14/03/25AAkron90-100
13/03/25HOhio90-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wright State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.586.067.0
Allowed / game57.037.077.0
Point differential+19.5+49.0-10.0
Avg total133.5123.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game73.573.5-
Allowed / game80.580.5-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total154.0154.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Youngstown State32167%88.069.3+18.7
2 Robert Morris32167%81.075.7+5.3
3 Wisc. Milwaukee32167%86.081.3+4.7
4 Wright State21150%76.557.0+19.5
5 Northern Kentucky21150%91.082.0+9.0
6 IPFW31233%92.080.0+12.0
7 Wisc. Green Bay31233%70.080.0-10.0
8 Cleveland State31233%74.090.3-16.3
9 Detroit2020%70.596.5-26.0
10 Oakland2020%77.5104.0-26.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)220100%108.060.5+47.5
2 Bowling Green330100%95.357.7+37.7
3 Akron220100%94.570.0+24.5
4 Ball State220100%79.559.0+20.5
5 Buffalo220100%84.077.5+6.5
6 Kent State32167%97.794.0+3.7
7 UMass21150%77.570.0+7.5
8 Eastern Michigan21150%68.563.5+5.0
9 Ohio21150%78.578.5+0.0
10 Central Michigan21150%68.075.5-7.5
11 Western Michigan31233%79.782.3-2.7
12 Northern Illinois31233%77.789.0-11.3
13 Toledo2020%73.580.5-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wright State393271
Toledo344781
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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