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Zabok vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-80
18-16 17-21 17-23 18-20
Position#7
Record8-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#4
Record6-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game89.4
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 13· Gradska sportska dvorana Zabok
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zabok v Samobor
17 Oct 2026
ZABO79
SAMO72
29 Mar 2026
ZABO82
SAMO89
27 Dec 2025
ZABO70
SAMO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zabok winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZabokCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZabok
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 76
H10/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
86avg 76
A17/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 76
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 76
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
74avg 76
H09/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
82-74
82
74
+8
80avg 76
A15/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
82-79
82
79
+3
71avg 76
H23/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
68avg 76
A06/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 76
H14/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
94-80
94
80
+14
92avg 76
H21/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
16-21
30-23
20-18
15-20
27-11
22-20
22-27
19-23
25-17
23-16
19-15
28-14
24-26
9-25
27-22
24-22
25-12
16-28
14-21
19-20
16-22
20-19
27-13
23-15
21-20
17-23
21-21
19-17
25-17
12-24
17-22
22-23
12-27
24-19
31-18
27-16
21-28
15-14
31-22
164.8Avg total
84.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.279.6162.8+3.767%
Season at home (6)85.581.2166.7+4.367%
Season away (6)81.078.0159.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)84.280.6164.8+3.670%
Last 5 (5)84.080.0164.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.889.1168.9-9.223%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.482.4168.7+4.082%
vs Weaker (6)82.275.2157.3+7.067%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 84
A10/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
80-99
80
99
-19
68avg 84
H17/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
88avg 84
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
103-63
103
63
+40
107avg 84
H02/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
77avg 84
A09/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
77avg 84
H16/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 84
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
112avg 84
A07/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
85-88
85
88
-3
75avg 84
A13/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
86-122
86
122
-36
74avg 84
H19/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
20-20
25-20
21-21
11-22
15-27
28-26
26-24
22-25
21-18
24-27
23-19
26-19
23-16
17-16
37-12
16-18
27-14
14-19
22-25
24-16
17-28
18-22
28-19
26-19
25-26
19-21
12-31
29-18
29-27
14-31
25-21
22-26
23-21
23-21
17-20
27-29
25-26
18-26
16-41
179.0Avg total
88.2Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.489.4176.8-2.050%
Season at home (5)90.491.8182.2-1.460%
Season away (7)85.387.7173.0-2.443%
Last 10 (10)88.290.8179.0-2.650%
Last 5 (5)90.099.6189.6-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.898.2178.0-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.177.4165.5+10.875%
vs Weaker (18)89.683.7173.3+5.978%
This opponent (Zabok) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
ZabokSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZabokLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H10/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A17/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A15/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A06/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H14/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H21/12
Premijer liga
82.1Avg total
42.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.583.4+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.141.582.6-0.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.741.584.2+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.682.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.082.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.544.583.9-5.031%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.240.684.8+3.573%-
vs Weaker (6)43.236.779.8+6.5100%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H17/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H02/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A09/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H16/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A07/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H19/12
Premijer liga
87.9Avg total
44.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.988.2+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.642.987.5+1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)45.942.888.8+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.787.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)49.447.296.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.848.289.0-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.139.483.5+4.850%-
vs Weaker (18)46.843.290.1+3.650%-
This opponent (Zabok) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zaboktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zabok: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.5
56.2%
53.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.3
34.2%
34.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
74.3%14.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.0
50.0%
53.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.79.6
42.3%
34.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.018.2
79.1%
74.3%18.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zabok
WWLWWLWWWL
Samobor
LLWLWWWWLL
#7
League position
#4
+4.3
Net rating
-3.8
108.2
Offensive rating
109.9
103.9
Defensive rating
113.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
19.3%
Turnover %
20.1%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.2%
3-point %
42.3%
63.8%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 109.9Defence103.9 · 113.7Shooting54.1% · 54.9%3-point %34.2% · 42.3%Ball care19.3% · 20.1%Off. rebounds29.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Zabok   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zabok wins
1
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
05/10/25Samobor v Zabok96-90
Zaboklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HKvarner94-80
14/12/25HCibona89-87
06/12/25AAlkar73-80
23/11/25HCedevita Junior82-79
15/11/25ADubrovnik82-74
09/11/25HSplit79-83
31/10/25ADinamo Zagreb88-87
25/10/25HGKK Sibenka86-71
17/10/25ADubrava86-78
10/10/25HZadar83-87
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25HSplit86-122
13/12/25AKvarner85-88
07/12/25ADinamo Zagreb110-106 OT
23/11/25ACibona82-97
16/11/25HGKK Sibenka87-85
09/11/25AAlkar79-76
02/11/25HDubrava103-63
26/10/25ACedevita Junior90-89
17/10/25HZadar80-99
10/10/25ADubrovnik80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zabok
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.285.581.0
Allowed / game79.681.278.0
Point differential+3.7+4.3+3.0
Avg total162.8166.7159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%60%43%
Points / game87.490.485.3
Allowed / game89.491.887.7
Point differential-2.0-1.4-2.4
Avg total176.8182.2173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1211192%88.971.7+17.2
2 Split1211192%94.281.5+12.7
3 Zabok128467%83.279.6+3.7
4 Cibona126650%83.481.3+2.1
5 Samobor126650%87.489.4-2.0
6 Dinamo Zagreb125742%86.885.0+1.8
7 Kvarner125742%75.879.1-3.2
8 Dubrovnik125742%74.879.7-4.9
9 Alkar125742%70.578.5-8.0
10 Dubrava124833%79.686.6-7.0
11 Cedevita Junior123925%80.883.9-3.2
12 GKK Sibenka123925%76.885.8-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zabok1817171870
Samobor1621232080
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