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Alkar vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-79
18-16 14-27 19-14 25-22
Position#9
Record4-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#4
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game83.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 7· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alkar v Samobor
27 Dec 2026
ALKA v SAMO
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ALKA69
SAMO65
09 Nov 2025
ALKA76
SAMO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
74avg 67
A21/05
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 67
H27/09
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
72-64
72
64
+8
61avg 67
A04/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
74-72
74
72
+2
62avg 67
H11/10
Premijer liga
Voluntari
#3
L
72-92
72
92
-20
62avg 67
A14/10
ENBL
Split
#2
L
62-79
62
79
-17
57avg 67
A17/10
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#19
L
76-81
76
81
-5
75avg 67
H21/10
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
70avg 67
H26/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
84avg 67
A02/11
Premijer liga
Tal Tech
#14
L
51-85
51
85
-34
40avg 67
A05/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
14-28
13-19
24-21
17-23
24-14
19-12
22-25
25-18
9-20
19-16
19-10
23-12
14-21
17-18
20-21
10-25
27-25
26-31
9-11
23-20
9-22
18-21
12-16
12-16
22-17
17-23
25-25
16-15
15-23
18-17
21-17
18-18
23-22
18-21
16-14
14-21
13-23
12-15
12-26
152.8Avg total
72.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.774.3149.0+0.367%
Season at home (3)75.372.7148.0+2.767%
Season away (3)74.076.0150.0-2.067%
Last 10 (10)72.880.0152.8-7.240%
Last 5 (5)69.480.4149.8-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.980.4153.3-7.538%
vs Similar (6)74.069.0143.0+5.083%
vs Weaker (3)74.057.0131.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
66avg 82
H24/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
94-65
94
65
+29
100avg 82
A27/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
96-86
96
86
+10
94avg 82
H07/05
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
95avg 82
A10/05
Prva Liga
Split
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
61avg 82
A26/09
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
96-90
96
90
+6
99avg 82
H05/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 82
A10/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
80-99
80
99
-19
68avg 82
H17/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
88avg 82
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
103-63
103
63
+40
107avg 82
H02/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
16-16
20-11
14-15
30-10
22-17
25-27
17-11
31-20
25-29
16-22
24-15
32-18
20-19
14-17
20-20
24-16
10-28
14-14
23-17
24-25
30-15
18-24
24-26
14-22
20-20
25-20
21-21
11-22
15-27
28-26
26-24
22-25
21-18
24-27
23-19
26-19
23-16
17-16
37-12
167.2Avg total
87.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.783.2169.8+3.550%
Season at home (3)93.084.0177.0+9.067%
Season away (3)80.382.3162.7-2.033%
Last 10 (10)87.479.8167.2+7.670%
Last 5 (5)89.884.8174.6+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.587.0162.5-11.50%
vs Similar (11)88.582.1170.5+6.473%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.379.9168.2+8.481%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +4.9+4.9
AlkarSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/05
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/09
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A04/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/10
Premijer liga
Voluntari
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A14/10
ENBL
Split
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A17/10
Premijer liga
Bristol Flyers
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/10
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A02/11
Premijer liga
Tal Tech
#14
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A05/11
ENBL
76.9Avg total
35.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.975.6-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.834.769.5+0.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.442.580.9-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.176.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)33.039.472.4-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.040.577.6-3.548%-
vs Similar (6)36.738.375.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker (3)34.728.363.0+6.367%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H24/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A27/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H07/05
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A10/05
Prva Liga
Split
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A26/09
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H05/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H17/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H02/11
Premijer liga
83.4Avg total
43.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.986.6+2.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.440.985.3+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)44.943.188.0+1.943%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.483.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.883.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.046.576.5-16.50%-
vs Similar (11)45.639.885.5+5.855%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.142.588.6+3.650%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.7
46.0%
53.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.6
35.0%
34.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.510.4
71.7%
74.3%10.4
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.023.9
56.9%
53.2%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.7
34.4%
34.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.315.7
77.3%
74.3%15.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWLLLLWWWL
Samobor
WWLLWLWWWW
#9
League position
#4
-10.0
Net rating
+9.4
94.4
Offensive rating
109.6
104.5
Defensive rating
100.2
48.5%
Effective FG%
55.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.3%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.0%
3-point %
34.4%
70.7%
Assist %
63.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 109.6Defence104.5 · 100.2Shooting48.5% · 55.0%3-point %35.0% · 34.4%Ball care20.2% · 18.3%Off. rebounds24.4% · 26.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Alkar   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alkar wins
0
Samobor wins
No previous meetings.
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25ATal Tech51-85
02/11/25ACedevita Junior88-85 OT
26/10/25HDubrovnik70-72
21/10/25HBristol Flyers76-81
17/10/25ASplit62-79
14/10/25AVoluntari72-92
11/10/25HDinamo Zagreb74-72
04/10/25AGKK Sibenka72-64
27/09/25HDubrava82-74
21/05/25ASplit81-96
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HDubrava103-63
26/10/25ACedevita Junior90-89
17/10/25HZadar80-99
10/10/25ADubrovnik80-83
05/10/25HZabok96-90
26/09/25ASplit71-75
10/05/25AMladost86-74
07/05/25HMladost96-86
27/04/25AJazine94-65
24/04/25HJazine78-74 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game74.775.374.0
Allowed / game74.372.776.0
Point differential+0.3+2.7-2.0
Avg total149.0148.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game86.793.080.3
Allowed / game83.284.082.3
Point differential+3.5+9.0-2.0
Avg total169.8177.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%92.375.4+16.9
2 Split65183%84.578.7+5.8
3 Dubrovnik75271%79.475.6+3.9
4 Zabok64267%83.378.7+4.7
5 Alkar64267%74.774.3+0.3
6 Samobor63350%86.783.2+3.5
7 Cibona63350%84.581.2+3.3
8 Dinamo Zagreb63350%79.077.8+1.2
9 Cedevita Junior72529%84.184.7-0.6
10 Dubrava72529%75.087.7-12.7
11 Kvarner71614%70.380.3-10.0
12 GKK Sibenka7070%70.383.9-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1814192576
Samobor1627142279
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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