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Samobor vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-99
11-22 15-27 28-26 26-24
Position#4
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.7
Samobor
Croatia
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game77.3
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 4· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samobor v Zadar
18 Dec 2026
SAMO v ZAD
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
SAMO84
ZAD88
17 Oct 2025
SAMO80
ZAD99
16 Dec 2024
SAMO55
ZAD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 82
A06/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 82
H13/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
73avg 82
A17/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
66avg 82
H24/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
94-65
94
65
+29
100avg 82
A27/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
96-86
96
86
+10
94avg 82
H07/05
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
95avg 82
A10/05
Prva Liga
Split
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
61avg 82
A26/09
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
96-90
96
90
+6
99avg 82
H05/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 82
A10/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
20-28
25-20
13-13
22-19
17-28
32-17
15-17
21-32
19-22
21-22
16-22
14-22
16-16
20-11
14-15
30-10
22-17
25-27
17-11
31-20
25-29
16-22
24-15
32-18
20-19
14-17
20-20
24-16
10-28
14-14
23-17
24-25
30-15
18-24
24-26
14-22
20-20
25-20
21-21
164.3Avg total
83.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.382.7165.0-0.333%
Season at home (1)96.090.0186.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)75.579.0154.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)83.780.6164.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)85.881.6167.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (10)87.084.0171.0+3.070%
vs Weaker (18)88.078.8166.8+9.283%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 75
A26/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
65-46
65
46
+19
60avg 75
H05/06
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
79-65
79
65
+14
77avg 75
H08/06
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 75
A11/06
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
67-65 OT
67
65
+2
57avg 75
A14/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 75
A27/09
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 75
H02/10
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 75
A06/10
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 75
A10/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
83-85
83
85
-2
68avg 75
A12/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-16
20-15
22-22
14-8
19-11
17-12
15-15
23-17
23-17
15-15
18-16
19-24
21-21
20-18
13-11
16-10
8-20
19-20
17-10
27-22
23-15
19-27
17-14
26-24
20-16
24-18
23-13
27-21
16-16
19-16
23-26
25-17
21-16
23-30
18-20
20-19
27-25
25-20
11-21
151.4Avg total
79.8Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.777.3166.0+11.3100%
Season at home (1)93.071.0164.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)86.580.5167.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.871.6151.4+8.280%
Last 5 (5)86.879.2166.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.585.5162.0-9.050%
vs Similar (9)74.971.3146.2+3.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.270.1157.3+17.195%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
SamoborZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H13/04
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A17/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H24/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A27/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H07/05
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A10/05
Prva Liga
Split
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A26/09
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H05/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/10
Premijer liga
85.1Avg total
42.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.341.186.4+4.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.340.385.5+5.053%-
Last 30 away (15)45.341.987.2+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.585.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.488.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (10)45.340.385.6+5.050%-
vs Weaker (18)46.141.187.2+5.061%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A26/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H05/06
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/06
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A11/06
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A14/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A27/09
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H02/10
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A06/10
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A10/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A12/10
ABA League
76.5Avg total
41.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.635.978.5+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.133.477.5+10.785%-
Last 30 away (17)41.437.979.3+3.565%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.276.5+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)46.438.284.6+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (9)40.435.976.3+4.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.335.479.6+8.984%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.0
56.4%
53.2%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.9
32.5%
34.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
74.3%13.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.816.5
53.6%
53.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.6
32.0%
34.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.016.4
74.5%
74.3%16.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LWLWWWWLWL
Zadar
LWWWWWLWWW
#4
League position
#1
+3.2
Net rating
+10.2
106.3
Offensive rating
111.0
103.1
Defensive rating
100.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.5%
3-point %
32.0%
62.5%
Assist %
63.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 111.0Defence103.1 · 100.8Shooting53.5% · 50.8%3-point %32.5% · 32.0%Ball care19.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.9% · 35.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Samobor   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
1
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
16/12/24Samobor v Zadar55-87
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25ADubrovnik80-83
05/10/25HZabok96-90
26/09/25ASplit71-75
10/05/25AMladost86-74
07/05/25HMladost96-86
27/04/25AJazine94-65
24/04/25HJazine78-74 OT
17/04/25AMarsonia77-98
13/04/25HJazine86-81
06/04/25ASkrljevo73-80
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25APerspektiva Ilirija83-85
10/10/25AZabok87-83
06/10/25ACrvena zvezda85-79
02/10/25HKvarner93-71
27/09/25ACibona86-78
14/06/25ASplit67-65 OT
11/06/25ASplit73-74
08/06/25HSplit79-65
05/06/25HSplit65-46
26/05/25ACibona80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game82.396.075.5
Allowed / game82.790.079.0
Point differential-0.3+6.0-3.5
Avg total165.0186.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.793.086.5
Allowed / game77.371.080.5
Point differential+11.3+22.0+6.0
Avg total166.0164.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar330100%88.777.3+11.3
2 Split43175%80.874.8+6.0
3 Alkar43175%72.572.2+0.2
4 Cibona32167%89.780.3+9.3
5 Cedevita Junior32167%85.077.0+8.0
6 Dinamo Zagreb32167%78.072.7+5.3
7 Zabok31233%80.078.7+1.3
8 Samobor31233%82.382.7-0.3
9 Dubrava31233%76.782.3-5.7
10 Dubrovnik31233%76.084.3-8.3
11 Kvarner3030%67.080.3-13.3
12 GKK Sibenka3030%72.388.3-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor1115282680
Zadar2227262499
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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