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Zadar vs Spartak Subotica Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 01 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record3-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2026
Meetings · Zadar v Spartak Subotica
01 Jan 2027
ZAD v SSU
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
ZAD70
SSU85
27 Dec 2024
ZAD76
SSU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Spartak Subotica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 79
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 79
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#17
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 79
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 79
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#12
W
95-60
95
60
+35
no box
A15/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
30-16
26-18
17-15
22-11
156.8Avg total
84.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.175.9151.0-0.743%
Season at home (3)85.069.7154.7+15.3100%
Season away (4)67.880.5148.2-12.80%
Last 10 (10)84.572.3156.8+12.270%
Last 5 (5)82.274.0156.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (5)67.274.8142.0-7.620%
vs Weaker (23)87.869.7157.5+18.278%
This opponent (Spartak Subotica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak SuboticaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSubotica
Date
Competition
Vechta
#20
W
96-64
96
64
+32
97avg 75
H07/10
Champions League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
77avg 75
A10/10
ABA League
Hapoel Holon
#29
L
84-86
84
86
-2
70avg 75
H14/10
Champions League
Cluj-Napoca
#12
W
89-75
89
75
+14
84avg 75
H18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 75
H24/10
ABA League
Cholet
#21
W
69-65
69
65
+4
71avg 75
A28/10
Champions League
Mega Basket
#18
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Zadar
#13
W
67-51
67
51
+16
no box
H05/11
ABA League
Cholet
#21
W
75-73
75
73
+2
no box
H10/11
Champions League
Dubai
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
A15/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
25-19
22-17
28-15
17-23
21-16
27-18
17-19
14-27
23-15
19-20
28-24
27-17
24-17
16-20
22-21
15-23
24-22
26-12
15-25
14-11
15-18
26-20
14-16
30-14
20-30
25-25
19-25
12-13
17-16
14-9
24-13
23-18
17-17
21-28
14-10
13-31
22-22
22-21
18-19
159.5Avg total
82.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.082.3165.3+0.757%
Season at home (4)78.875.8154.5+3.050%
Season away (3)88.791.0179.7-2.367%
Last 10 (10)82.676.9159.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)79.077.2156.2+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.888.0163.8-12.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.573.3151.7+5.273%
vs Weaker (10)90.985.3176.2+5.660%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
ZadarSpartak Subotica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#17
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/11
ABA League
Dubrava
#12
W
56-34
56
34
+22
A15/11
Premijer liga
78.6Avg total
43.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.635.377.0+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.533.778.2+10.892%-
Last 30 away (17)39.536.676.1+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)43.235.478.6+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.634.681.2+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.079.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.036.468.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker (23)43.435.278.6+8.278%-
This opponent (Spartak Subotica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak SuboticaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#20
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H07/10
Champions League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/10
ABA League
Hapoel Holon
#29
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/10
Champions League
Cluj-Napoca
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H24/10
ABA League
Cholet
#21
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A28/10
Champions League
Mega Basket
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A02/11
ABA League
Zadar
#13
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/11
ABA League
Cholet
#21
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/11
Champions League
Dubai
#1
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A15/11
ABA League
77.6Avg total
39.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.280.2+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.238.280.4+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.379.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.277.6+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.074.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.048.890.8-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.334.873.1+3.567%-
vs Weaker (10)44.541.085.5+3.560%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
57.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
33.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
73.2%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spartak Suboticatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spartak Subotica: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.4
53.2%
57.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.5
32.9%
33.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.416.2
72.3%
73.2%16.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWWLLWWWWL
Spartak Subotica
LWWWWLWLWW
#13
League position
#8
+21.3
Net rating
+2.1
102.8
Offensive rating
94.0
81.5
Defensive rating
91.9
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.7%
3-point %
32.9%
60.2%
Assist %
63.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 94.0Defence81.5 · 91.9Shooting55.5% · 51.8%3-point %34.7% · 32.9%Ball care13.7% · 16.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Zadar   ■ Spartak Subotica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zadar wins
5
Spartak Subotica wins
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ADubrava95-60
14/11/26HPartizan81-74
09/11/26HKvarner109-80
05/11/26ASpartak Subotica51-67
02/11/26ADubai75-89
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ADubai75-93
10/11/26HCholet75-73
05/11/26HZadar67-51
02/11/26AMega Basket109-104 OT
28/10/26ACholet69-65
24/10/26HPartizan80-82
18/10/26HCluj-Napoca89-75
14/10/26HHapoel Holon84-86
10/10/26APerspektiva Ilirija82-76
07/10/26HVechta96-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game75.185.067.8
Allowed / game75.969.780.5
Point differential-0.7+15.3-12.8
Avg total151.0154.7148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spartak Subotica
ABA League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game83.078.888.7
Allowed / game82.375.891.0
Point differential+0.7+3.0-2.3
Avg total165.3154.5179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai770100%94.080.7+13.3
2 Partizan76186%88.077.0+11.0
3 Crvena zvezda76186%93.383.4+9.9
4 Buducnost75271%89.481.9+7.6
5 KK Bosna75271%89.785.9+3.9
6 Cedevita Olimpija74357%85.182.0+3.1
7 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+0.9
8 Spartak Subotica74357%83.082.3+0.7
9 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-2.3
10 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-5.5
11 Igokea73443%85.985.6+0.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%85.786.3-0.6
13 Zadar73443%75.175.9-0.7
14 Cibona73443%86.088.1-2.1
15 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-2.7
16 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-3.3
17 Perspektiva Ilirija72529%75.379.6-4.3
18 Mega Basket72529%81.691.6-10.0
19 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-9.6
20 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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