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Zadar vs Spartak Subotica Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-66
25-18 18-21 12-12 21-15
Position#10
Record6-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game73.7
Zadar 🏆
vs
Spartak Subotica
Position#8
Record8-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2024
Meetings · Zadar v Spartak Subotica
01 Jan 2027
ZAD v SSU
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
ZAD70
SSU85
27 Dec 2024
ZAD76
SSU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spartak Subotica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
76avg 77
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
64-58
64
58
+6
53avg 77
A29/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
L
65-68
65
68
-3
54avg 77
H02/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
55avg 77
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 77
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 77
H12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
71-61
71
61
+10
70avg 77
A15/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#16
W
87-55
87
55
+32
83avg 77
A16/12
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
80-53
80
53
+27
74avg 77
H20/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
81-55
81
55
+26
75avg 77
A23/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
27-21
15-13
24-19
17-12
11-18
22-19
14-9
19-21
25-19
12-11
9-17
21-23
16-11
16-17
10-20
25-23
23-11
11-14
18-15
21-14
18-12
26-18
24-23
18-17
24-13
15-26
14-5
20-22
26-19
26-6
15-8
16-11
22-14
20-10
22-18
13-13
27-18
23-10
18-14
137.8Avg total
76.0Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.773.7148.4+1.046%
Season at home (8)72.176.0148.1-3.925%
Season away (5)78.870.0148.8+8.880%
Last 10 (10)76.061.8137.8+14.280%
Last 5 (5)81.658.2139.8+23.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.580.2146.8-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (5)72.473.4145.8-1.040%
vs Weaker (20)82.464.3146.7+18.195%
This opponent (Spartak Subotica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak SuboticaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSubotica
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
93-86
93
86
+7
90avg 86
H14/10
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 86
A20/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
85-64
85
64
+21
78avg 86
H27/10
ABA League
Split
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
87avg 86
A04/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
83avg 86
H10/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
78-75
78
75
+3
74avg 86
A17/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
82avg 86
H01/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
70avg 86
A08/12
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
110-86
110
86
+24
109avg 86
H14/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
73-66
73
66
+7
69avg 86
A22/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
29-21
20-21
18-25
25-23
16-28
18-10
20-19
27-14
20-21
15-13
23-16
27-24
27-21
23-9
14-17
23-19
19-17
17-27
27-12
23-13
17-22
18-22
20-18
28-18
18-25
26-32
15-19
24-19
23-27
23-22
12-23
28-17
31-23
30-28
21-18
11-20
19-12
24-18
19-16
165.2Avg total
86.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.380.6165.9+4.762%
Season at home (6)90.282.3172.5+7.867%
Season away (7)81.179.1160.3+2.057%
Last 10 (10)86.478.8165.2+7.670%
Last 5 (5)86.082.4168.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.088.0169.0-7.017%
vs Similar ◀ (5)86.479.8166.2+6.680%
vs Weaker (18)87.074.2161.2+12.889%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
ZadarSpartak Subotica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A17/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A29/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H02/12
ABA League
Dubai
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H08/12
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A16/12
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H20/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A23/12
ABA League
73.2Avg total
40.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.176.1+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.634.375.9+7.476%-
Last 30 away (13)40.136.276.3+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)40.632.673.2+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)41.030.671.6+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.242.277.5-7.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.638.074.6-1.460%-
vs Weaker (20)43.032.775.7+10.280%-
This opponent (Spartak Subotica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak SuboticaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H14/10
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A20/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H27/10
ABA League
Split
#14
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A04/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H01/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/12
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H14/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A22/12
ABA League
86.4Avg total
46.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.284.1+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.440.187.5+7.377%-
Last 30 away (17)43.038.581.5+4.571%-
Last 10 (10)46.140.386.4+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.283.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.587.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)45.437.683.0+7.8100%-
vs Weaker (18)45.737.683.3+8.172%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.8
51.1%
54.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.7
30.5%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.5
73.0%
75.6%13.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spartak Suboticatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spartak Subotica: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.3
53.4%
54.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.4
39.3%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
75.6%14.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWWWWWLLWW
Spartak Subotica
WWLLWWWWLW
#10
League position
#8
+20.5
Net rating
+10.0
106.8
Offensive rating
112.0
86.4
Defensive rating
102.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
55.5%
42.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.5%
3-point %
39.3%
61.9%
Assist %
56.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 112.0Defence86.4 · 102.0Shooting48.7% · 55.5%3-point %30.5% · 39.3%Ball care14.6% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Zadar   ■ Spartak Subotica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zadar wins
0
Spartak Subotica wins
No previous meetings.
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/24AMornar Bar81-55
20/12/24HZabok80-53
16/12/24ASamobor87-55
15/12/24AAlkar71-61
12/12/24HBorac Mozzart89-67
08/12/24HKvarner77-63
06/12/24HDubai63-71
02/12/24HMega Basket65-68
29/11/24ADinamo Zagreb64-58
17/11/24AFMP Beograd83-67
Spartak Suboticalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24ABorac Mozzart73-66
14/12/24HMega Basket110-86
08/12/24ACedevita Olimpija82-91
01/12/24HCrvena zvezda87-94
17/11/24ABuducnost78-75
10/11/24HIgokea86-75
04/11/24ASplit91-71
27/10/24HMornar Bar85-64
20/10/24ADubai79-80
14/10/24HFMP Beograd93-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW46%
HomeLWLLW25%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %46%25%80%
Points / game74.772.178.8
Allowed / game73.776.070.0
Point differential+1.0-3.9+8.8
Avg total148.4148.1148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%12%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
Spartak Subotica
ABA League 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game85.390.281.1
Allowed / game80.682.379.1
Point differential+4.7+7.8+2.0
Avg total165.9172.5160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan1311285%93.773.2+20.5
2 Buducnost1311285%88.874.2+14.6
3 Crvena zvezda1311285%87.879.8+7.9
4 Dubai1411379%85.678.0+7.6
5 Spartak Subotica138562%85.380.6+4.7
6 Igokea148657%81.282.4-1.2
7 Mega Basket137654%80.177.7+2.4
8 Cedevita Olimpija137654%82.782.2+0.5
9 FMP Beograd137654%81.283.5-2.3
10 Zadar136746%74.773.7+1.0
11 Split135838%77.983.5-5.6
12 Studentski Centar134931%83.887.2-3.3
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1331023%82.588.2-5.7
14 Borac Mozzart1331023%74.885.4-10.5
15 Cibona1321115%74.987.5-12.6
16 Mornar Bar131128%74.392.8-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2518122176
Spartak Subotica1821121566
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