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Zadar vs Vienna Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record2-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 11· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2026
Meetings · Zadar v Vienna Basket
11 Dec 2026
ZAD v VIE
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ZAD98
VIE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Vienna Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
84avg 79
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 79
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 79
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 79
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 79
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
155.6Avg total
83.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.175.9151.0-0.743%
Season at home (3)85.069.7154.7+15.3100%
Season away (4)67.880.5148.2-12.80%
Last 10 (10)83.771.9155.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (5)67.274.8142.0-7.620%
vs Weaker (23)87.170.4157.5+16.778%
This opponent (Vienna Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vienna BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
78-99
78
99
-21
70avg 78
A11/10
ABA League
Szczecin
#16
W
96-93
96
93
+3
93avg 78
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#13
W
78-63
78
63
+15
86avg 78
H16/10
ABA League
Parnu
#39
L
69-86
69
86
-17
67avg 78
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#16
L
88-94
88
94
-6
79avg 78
H24/10
ABA League
Keravnos
#18
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 78
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Bosna
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
68avg 78
H30/10
ABA League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
74-60
74
60
+14
no box
A07/11
ABA League
Nancy
#4
L
86-101
86
101
-15
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-27
22-24
18-24
23-27
24-21
23-20
26-25
22-21
18-13
21-14
17-15
21-14
16-24
17-24
15-24
26-23
27-20
16-27
19-24
22-26
25-22
20-22
16-15
17-27
28-21
21-21
15-19
19-20
23-20
17-21
25-19
21-13
16-18
22-12
15-17
22-25
25-25
19-30
20-21
166.6Avg total
81.7Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.583.2163.7-2.733%
Season at home (4)82.885.0167.8-2.225%
Season away (2)76.079.5155.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)81.784.9166.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)81.682.8164.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)88.192.6180.7-4.533%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.984.1166.0-2.340%
vs Weaker (2)86.087.0173.0-1.050%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
ZadarVienna Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/11
ABA League
76.6Avg total
42.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.676.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.278.9+10.593%-
Last 30 away (16)38.436.875.2+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.276.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.078.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.079.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.036.468.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker (23)43.035.578.6+7.578%-
This opponent (Vienna Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vienna BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A11/10
ABA League
Szczecin
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H16/10
ABA League
Parnu
#39
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H24/10
ABA League
Keravnos
#18
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Bosna
#6
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/10
ABA League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A07/11
ABA League
Nancy
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
86.4Avg total
43.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.687.4-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.444.489.9+1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)39.844.984.6-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.186.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.487.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.647.991.5-4.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.142.584.5-0.447%-
vs Weaker (2)47.541.589.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
57.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
33.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
73.2%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vienna Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vienna Basket: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.3
52.2%
57.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.1
34.9%
33.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
73.2%17.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLLWWWWLW
Vienna Basket
LWWLLLLWWL
#13
League position
#15
+21.3
Net rating
-6.6
102.8
Offensive rating
95.1
81.5
Defensive rating
101.7
55.5%
Effective FG%
52.2%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.7%
3-point %
34.9%
60.2%
Assist %
70.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 95.1Defence81.5 · 101.7Shooting55.5% · 52.2%3-point %34.7% · 34.9%Ball care13.7% · 15.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Zadar   ■ Vienna Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zadar wins
1
Vienna Basket wins
DateGameScore
16/10/26Vienna Basket v Zadar78-63
06/02/26Vienna Basket v Zadar77-86
05/12/25Zadar v Vienna Basket98-78
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPartizan81-74
09/11/26HKvarner109-80
05/11/26ASpartak Subotica51-67
02/11/26ADubai75-89
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HNancy86-101
07/11/26APerspektiva Ilirija74-60
04/11/26ANitra Blue Wings84-80
30/10/26HKK Bosna81-88
27/10/26HKeravnos83-85
24/10/26HMega Basket88-94
22/10/26AParnu69-86
16/10/26HZadar78-63
13/10/26HSzczecin96-93
11/10/26APartizan78-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game75.185.067.8
Allowed / game75.969.780.5
Point differential-0.7+15.3-12.8
Avg total151.0154.7148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vienna Basket
ABA League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game80.582.876.0
Allowed / game83.285.079.5
Point differential-2.7-2.2-3.5
Avg total163.7167.8155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai770100%94.080.7+13.3
2 Partizan76186%88.077.0+11.0
3 Crvena zvezda65183%93.283.5+9.7
4 Buducnost75271%89.481.9+7.6
5 Cedevita Olimpija64267%85.580.0+5.5
6 KK Bosna64267%90.587.3+3.2
7 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+0.9
8 Spartak Subotica74357%83.082.3+0.7
9 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-2.3
10 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-5.5
11 Igokea73443%85.985.6+0.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%85.786.3-0.6
13 Zadar73443%75.175.9-0.7
14 Cibona73443%86.088.1-2.1
15 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-2.7
16 Mega Basket62433%82.392.7-10.3
17 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-3.3
18 Perspektiva Ilirija72529%75.379.6-4.3
19 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-9.6
20 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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